Signing him through arbitration would be the worst option of all. You've got him controlled through arbitration already. The only thing you'd gain is cost certainty. As I've illustrated, that's a game in which you can win a little, or lose a lot. Buying a few free agent years is the most reasonable motivation for these early extensions, and that shouldn't be a major concern for a team like the Cubs, who have a track record of keeping their guys anyway. This regime has never had a good position player so there's no way they could have a track record of keeping their guys anyway. They kept Santo, Banks, and Williams. Or sorry, you meant after the reserve clause was amended. Yea, I don't know anyone besides Grace who they've kept around. Sandberg, Sosa off the top of my head. We haven't had many good position players worthy of discussing until recently. However, I can't think of a single player that left the team via free agency that we really wanted to keep since Maddux bolted for Atlanta. We also have all of our core pieces locked up for the forseeable future. As far as extending Soto, there's risk in offering the extension and there is risk in not offering it. If you offer it, the risk is he gets hurt or doesn't perform, and you are overpaying. The risk of not offering it is it costs the Cubs more money in the long run. Considering the Cubs are a big-budget, big-market team, I'd prefer they took risk on the side of paying more for players who are deserving than overpaying players who get hurt or suck. The other part of that risk is that players can leave via FA (once they hit that point) if you don't lock them up. Considering we haven't lost a player we wanted to keep to FA in 17 years, I'm not too worried about that. Another thing to consider is that Geo's a catcher. That's the second riskiest position to be doling out unnecessary contracts to besides pitchers. I'm not worried about loosing Geo to FA, let the Cubs pay him more than they otherwise would have after he continues performing like an All-Star.