Bertz
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Everything posted by Bertz
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I like Addison Reed a lot, but no way I give him four years, hell maybe not even three. I don't think I'd give four years to any reliever unless they're some sort of Jansen/Chapman caliber super-reliever. I'd be in on McGee at that price. Otherwise I agree eith above that I'd be more interested in the Neshek/Cishek tier of guys. Also, if we end up getting a third guy I'd love Luke Gregerson on a one year deal.. He was a little worse this year, but like 90%of his issue looks like it was just a flukey HR/FB rate.
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Any interest in Matt Harvey as our second SP acquisition? He was legit terrible this year, not just a victim of BABIP nonsense, but the velocity is still quite good and he'd be another year further out from his surgeries. Strikes me as a good change of scenery guy, especially entering his walk year. The Mets have needs basically everywhere but 1B, SS, and whichever outfield corner they stick Yoenis, so it should be easy to match up with them.
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Oakland makes a lot of sense as a trade partner, even if it's not for something as big as Manaea. They have a lot of pitching at varying levels of pedigree and proximity to the majors, and not much on the positiom player side outside of 1B and 3B. I could see something big like Happ for Manaea, but just as possible is that Beane likes some of our low-ceiling guys in the high minors and we can turn a few of them into a Kendall Graveman.
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The media types make it sound like the Yankees are planning to get under the tax this winter so they can go full on Evil Empire next winter. If true, they won't do much except for maybe fight us on Alex Cobb. The Phillies are interesting. They could legitimately do Darvish and Stanton this winter and still leave room for Harper next winter.
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I expect this winter to be weird. Last year's class was pretty awful, and yet pretty much everyone except the high-end relievers (And Ian Desmond for some reason) got less than expected. A lot of people think that with the 2018 bonanza on the horizon, teams weren't willing to spend just to spend, and that kind of screwed the middle class of free agents. I could see more of the same this year, perhaps to an even more extreme degree.
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I'd love to get one guy near the top of the market (Brandon Morrow?) and then for the other spot(s) I'd wait until after the new year. There are enough set-up type guys who are going to need jobs that I'd bet we can get an impact guy on a good deal, kind of like how the Mets got Addison Reed this past winter.