Bertz

Yeah, I can't imagine more than one of Underwood, Mills, and Chatwood make the team as a reliever at this point. With Chatwood currently penciled into the rotation it's currently just Underwood who should be nervous, but if a KB trade nets a big league ready starter I'd think Mills' odds of making the team drop precipitously as well.

There are two components to a good bench. The first is depth, basically the ability to run 8 good players out there every day even with injuries. The second is having complimentary skillsets, putting your guys in the best position to succeed. In terms of depth, the situation actually isn't that bad. And if Nico is good right away, it's pretty good. That'd make 11 quality guys for 8 spots, and with the positional flexibility present every position has a strong backup. It's not the stupid depth from 2016, but it's about as good as any non-Dodgers team. Though clearly Nico being good right away isn't a given. The complimentary skills aspect is where the bench is severely lacking. The entire starting outfield has severe L/R splits, yet the roster lacks a RH compliment beyond Almora. Speaking of Almora, he's the only real CF on the roster. On the infield, the main guys are all right handed aside from Rizzo, but the only LH complimentary bat is Descalso. There's also the whole high fastball thing which is pretty systemic throughout the roster, as well as basically no speed beyond Nico and Javy. The team is very vulnerable to certain matchups. In an ideal world we'd add something like Brock Holt, Kevin Pillar, and Billy Hamilton to patch all those holes. From there send Almora to Iowa until August a la Happ and Descalso would get until Nico'sready to prove he shouldn't be DFAd. Instead we're going to have to hope Descalso's issue was just the ankle and that Almora was overexposed and will do better as a matchup guy. Neither is unreasonable, but when combined with Nico being a rookie and the short track record of the new and improved Happ there is a lot more downside risk than any of us would probably like to see. Something I'd like to see to help combat this is a lot more Willson and KB (if applicable) in the outfield. This would really help Ross have as many positive matchups as possible at his disposal. Yes, Willson essentially lost a game in Pittsburgh last year with his defense, but that was on Joe for putting him out there with almost no prep. If he played once a week or so out there, he'd be an adequate defender and we could get both him and Caratini into the lineup more. KB in CF further solves a lot of the imbalance issues on the roster, and he has the speed to handle it. I really really want to see this if he doesn't get moved. Overall, I'd like to see something like this: Willson - 100 starts at C, 30 in OF Caratini - 60 at C, 10 at 1B Rizzo - 150 at 1B Nico - 50 in MiLB, 60 at 2B, 15 in CF, 15 at SS Baez - 145 at SS Bote - 60 at 3B, 60 at 2B KB - 80 at 3B, 50 in CF, 20 in OF Happ - 80 in CF, 15 at 2B, 15 at 3B, 20 in OF Schwarber/Heyward - 130 in LF/RF respectively Nico and Happ probably don't have to move around quite this much, but it's in service of keeping them both legitimately usable as super utility types.

I expected him to wind up being the LH part of our 2B situation. Hopefully this means we're aiming higher like Holt and not just letting it ride with Asuaje.

That's a pretty fantastic group of talent for a local network, but yeah forcing Len and JD to babysit someone a couple dozen games a year is just monumentally dumb.

Tangentially related: Michael Keaton would be a fantastic IGT theme this season

Bastian and Mooney both with articles since last night about a Baez extension. We've been hearing this all winter, so there's seemingly something there. I'm assuming at this point the offseason plan is either: - KB out, ~$5M worth of bench help in, Javy extended, a little bit of money squirreled away for the deadline - Q out, ~$2M worth of bench help in, Javy extended, austerity deadline Probably depending on what the offers for KB look like.

Ah, yes, that's right. I think I got mixed up because there have been all these split contracts which do use up a spot.

I also believe this fills the 40 man

Yeah I think this is right, with Winkler probably being the next guy up if any of these guys have a tough spring.

He's probably the most fun of all these blah relievers, I got vaguely excited about him a few days ago when the Dodgers DFAd him. Not having MiLB kinda sucks though.

This is....this is the greatest thing I've ever seen

https://twitter.com/CespedesBBQ/statuses/1217887010561708033

https://twitter.com/NicoleAuerbach/statuses/1217873501933252608

Yeah, Marcus Semien and Ketel Marte combined for nearly 15 WAR last year, it's hard for me to take declarations of ceiling too strongly anymore. Ceilings IMO are limited based on defensive value and power potential. Shifting has IMO reduced the spread between players within positions, and the juiced ball has democratized power. We're talking about a SS with above average raw power, it doesn't take a lot to get such a guy to 4+ WAR, just look at Paul Dejong.

[tweet] [/tweet] Account is still active. He’s following the Mets account, Brodie Van Wagenen and 8 people who report on or write about the Mets. It's getting better

Interesting arm that can be had for a song, but unfortunately no remaining minor league options

Marquez comes in at #9, and is credited with the best fastball among the group.

If they were on the Astros level, thatwould partially ruin it for me. If they were on the Red Sox level, that would change almost nothing. I am betting that more teams than not were doing something along the lines of what the Sox were doing.

They have two fun young major league starters: Zac Gallen and Luke Weaver. They've also got a fantastic farm, but nothing super close to the majors, so one of those two would have to be the headliner I'd think. I love Zac Gallen and was surprised how quickly Miami dealt him away. That said, not sure he screams "headliner" in a trade for our superstar third baseman. Yeah I tend to agree. I think the Dbacks are similar to the Braves, where they certainly have the ability to provide fair value for Bryant, but they don't have a "THE GUY" who I would be happy with headlining a deal.

They have two fun young major league starters: Zac Gallen and Luke Weaver. They've also got a fantastic farm, but nothing super close to the majors, so one of those two would have to be the headliner I'd think. They have like 6 SS’s or CF’ers in their fangraphs org top 10. There’s gotta be a guy or two to like in there I’d imagine. Gallen, 2 of those guys and a little something else maybe? I’m not familiar with any of their prospect names other than Seth Beer. I believe the way FGs future values work is that a 50 or better is a top 100 caliber prospect, a 45 is someone you should be happy having in your org top 10, and a 40 is someone you should be happy having in your org top 30. https://blogs.fangraphs.com/top-47-prospects-arizona-diamondbacks/ So using this list, I would think a KB deal would look like: Weaver or Gallen One of those 50 FV SS/CFs One of those 45+ pitchers, probably Martin or Bukauskus as they're closer to the majors It's more quantity than quality for my taste, but I'd guess that'd be the fair expectation.