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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
    He is THE WORST, but it is pretty cool how much he moves the salary ball forward for other guys by having his contract in this structure.
  2. Bertz
    Carson Wentz has $59M guaranteed left on his deal and was the worst full time QB in the NFL last year. I don't understand why it isn't incumbent on them to pay us for the favor of taking him. It's not quite that bad for a team that trades for him. It's basically a 2 year, 47 million dollar deal with two team options after that. As for compensation, it's mostly a competition thing. If multiple teams think they can fix him and have his value go way higher, then that's going to raise his trade value significantly. And the Eagles don't have that much incentive to trade him this year without getting something. Good call on it being 2/47 for the acquiring team. I'm not great at cap stuff. That said I think that still only improves Wentz's contract situation from horrendous to merely pretty bad. Foles and a day 3 pick is probably about as rich as I'd have a taste for.
  3. Bertz
    It also sounds like someone in the Shark/Jake mold is fait accompli, which would bring us up to 42. Teams can slow play 40 man moves (Yankees still haven't made Lemahieu official I believe), but I wonder if the other shoe that needs to drop is a trade or if it's just dumping a couple James Norwood types.
  4. Bertz
    Carson Wentz has $59M guaranteed left on his deal and was the worst full time QB in the NFL last year. I don't understand why it isn't incumbent on them to pay us for the favor of taking him.
  5. Bertz
    This x1000
  6. Bertz
    The ONLY scenario where I want Wentz is if the Eagles are paying us draft picks to take his salary, like the Goff/Stafford trade.
  7. Bertz
    So the Angels' plan is basically to load up on solid players, knowing that Trout and Rendon are SO good, that as long as they avoid a bunch of positions being replacement level that should be plenty good enough. And I'll tell you what, I don't hate it.
  8. Bertz
  9. Bertz
    So watching the video a little closer...he should not have included that slider in the hype video. It's kinda garbage-y. That fastball though...even in laboratory conditions...hot damn. Playing with Savant, last year there were only 10 LHP with an average FB better than 94 and with 90+% active spin.
  10. Bertz
    Setting aside the musical choice for a moment...:shock:
  11. Bertz
    Some data on how Kyle Hendricks manages to be so awesome
  12. Bertz
    So I don't love Wong, but this basically kills the thought of any substantial improvement on the position player side. There's now only 3 first division starter types left in FA: Marcella Ozuna, Jackie Bradley, and Justin Turner. Bradley would have made sense pre-Joc, but at this point none of those three are happening. I still expect a LH IFer and a RH OFer, but we're talking platoon/bench types like Brad Miller and Jake Marisnick rather than real needle-movers. This also means that Kaplan was likely full of horsefeathers. My rough expectation going forward is that we add those two bench bats and bring back Jake or Shark. That only brings payroll back to where it was before we cut Schwarber and traded Darvish. Sure, maybe PTR had set payroll lower than that prior and bumped it up, but Occam's Razor says the situation hasn't been that fluid and Kaplan's just a know-nothing douche.
  13. Bertz
    I think that top 30 is the deepest from a talent standpoint I've seen the Cubs have. Obviously it doesn't have the top end talent of 7-8 years ago. And 3/4s of these guys haven't even touched High A, so that's not to say the system is amazing. But man, like 25 of those 30 guys have legitimate first division potential. There will be lots of attrition given the ages, but that's some real horsefeathering talent.
  14. Bertz
    Derek Carr is interesting. By DYAR (DVOA converted to yards), he's 6th in the NFL the last two years. Here's the top 10 Mahomes - 3040 (lol) Rodgers - 2443 Brees - 2085 Brady - 2068 Wilson - 2038 Carr - 1989 Watson - 1956 Prescott - 1940 Tannehill - 1819 Cousins - 1632 So Mahomes is obviously in another stratosphere. He's basically the new Dan Marino. Rodgers is still, unfortunately, in his own tier. But in terms of just the numbers, Carr's as good as anyone else. His contract situation isn't all that onerous, and he's still a little under 30 (turns in March). That said, he certainly *feels* much more like he belongs in the Stafford tier than the Russell Wilson tier? I think if I trusted advanced analytics in the NFL as much as in MLB, I'd actually be cool with that price. But my gut just screams that he's not nearly that good, and that scheme and/or team quality are not being properly contextualized by those stats.
  15. Bertz
    This is really great, as you generally expect from Sharma. I'm hopeful that this means for a lot of the Cubs' younger minor league hitters, they didn't truly lose a full year of development. If you're 20, spending a year doing video coaching and getting jacked may not be worse than 120 games at South Bend. In that sense it's a good thing that Iowa and Tenn were barren on the position player side :lol: For pitchers I imagine this means we're going to start seeing guys "disappear" for a week or two in the middle of the season to go work in the lab.
  16. Bertz
    I'm curious if we see a veteran righty like Jeffress brought in too, or even Jeffress himself. Overall this should be a solid group, and get really fun when one or more of Marquez/Caraway/Rodriguez/Roberts get the call.
  17. Bertz
    Very nice. I am happy with the right handed options for the pen, but there's not as many lefties who I feel comfortable with, at least in the short term. Brailyn and Caraway aren't likely to be options in April/May.
  18. Bertz
    Not Winston for off-field considerations, but I'd be perfectly fine with Garappolo or Bridgewater and a day 2 pick spent on a QB. If we're going for a veteran QB, and not able to land a legit star, that'd actually be my preferred path. My nightmare scenario for this offseason has been giving up a bunch of picks for someone in the Stafford tier of QBs. My thought is to go big, go young, or be efficient. Absolutely don't give up a first+ for like 11th best QB in the league.
  19. Bertz
    This strikes me as a pretty definitive white flag on Bauer. If they're making a run at Willson, there shouldn't be any further holdup.
  20. Bertz
  21. Bertz
    Rosenthal doesn't frame it as such, but it kinda sounds like this is the players' biggest issue: Essentially, they want to sit on expanded playoffs because nothing on the table currently is worth those, and they know that's their big chip next winter.
  22. Bertz
    Dumb question maybe but what’s the reason for the owners wanting a shortened season? Guessing they think that if they delay the season a month it gives them better odds of having at least some fans in the stands all year? Yeah my guess is the calculus is that they'd rather lose 8 games rather than be capped at something like half attendance in April. My understanding is also that TV contracts can get messy if teams play less than ~145 games, so they don't actually want to throw out a full month of games. For the players, obviously since they're the ones putting their bodies on the line the extra month is massive if they're not giving up any dollars.
  23. Bertz
    After the acrimony of the last four years I won't begrudge the players one bit for aiming for a clear win rather than a draw, but this seems like an imminently fair offer to me.
  24. Bertz
    To an extent that's absolutely fair. I guess some context is that Bryan, after talking with some Cubs folks, has been talking up low approach angle all offseason. Here's a good explainer about it from FG This is the money chart The red is good here. The top right is high pitches from low release points, while the bottom left is low pitches from high release points. The Cubs have been seemingly loading up on guys in the top right, and Williams is the latest example. Extension basically gives you a boost in perceived velocity. I don't remember the number off hand, but it's something like every six inches of extension above average equates to 1 MPH of extra perceived velocity. So while Williams sits at 92, it likely plays up beyond that. As an aside, while I like Bleacher Nation generally, Bryan Smith is legitimately *really* good.
  25. Bertz
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