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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
    I do think it likely says something that the Mariners, who project to have just over 3 WAR from their entire outfield combined, just let him go for nothing. If he was really a good bet to OPS .800+ vs lefties like his career numbers say, he wouldn't have been let go from two reasonably intelligent and very OF needy teams.
  2. Bertz
  3. Bertz
    I'm already looking forward to the inevitable article debating whether Rocker/Leiter is a better 1-2 than Cole/Bauer.
  4. Bertz
    Pretty cool that every level (except Iowa) is going to have at least 3 legit guys in both the lineup and the rotation.
  5. Bertz
    There are some indications we're on the cutting edge of pitching design and development. So either that's true, which would be extremely horsefeathering fun, or we get a huge fire sale in July (which IMO is also pretty fun). Oh and the minors are worth following again.
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  7. Bertz
    I don't hate the Darnold idea. The Jets' have been dysfunctional enough that it's not completely outrageous to think he can be fixed. It's certainly not the likely outcome, but it's a swing at a long term answer. And if/when he fails, he's great tank-fuel. You have to pair him with a draft pick though, he's too much of a long shot to just pair with Foles and call it an offseason. I don't see Pace going for it though. Given the hotseat he's on he'll want someone higher floor. I think he tries hard for Carr or Watson, and ultimately settles for pairing a safe veteran with a draft pick.
  8. Bertz
    Yeah, you have to think he likely starts out at Iowa now. That's fine, because like you said we know he'll be up eventually, and he was never going to make close to 30 starts anyway. Iowa's a better option than long relief IMO. If we assume Adbert at Iowa and Wick opening on the DL out of caution, I'd guess this is the opening day pen? CL - Kimbrel SU - Workman SU - Chafin MRP - Adam MRP - Winkler MRP - TBD Righty (Holder or Stock) MRP - TBD Lefty (Ryan, Wieck, or Morgan) LRP - Underwood or Fenter Those TBD spots I think are going to be the revolving doors for guys with options. We'll see a lot of cycling but I'd think Holder and Ryan will be first up? We might see a 9th reliever, which would probably be an opportunity to stash another out of options guy for low leverage innings.
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  11. Bertz
    Yeah, no appetite on my end to pay that price
  12. Bertz
    Yes, for Marisnick. It has to be Maples, doesn't it? Yeah you'd have to think so. He's the name that sticks out on the out of options list. I think talent wise I'd rather dump Norwood but I assume having options is the bigger deal in their situations. I wonder if they can get a little bit for him or if they just have to let him go.
  13. Bertz
    Still one more 40 man move coming I believe
  14. Bertz
  15. Bertz
    It's hard to compare this to any other deal because it's a fairly recent phenomenon that guys get real money in these deals. Up until a few years ago they were all like the Rizzo deal: 5ish years at tiny salaries and then 2-3 team options at decent money. The union has learned how much of a joke those were, so now you have to lock guys up with less than a year of service time, or wait untilt they're close to FA and pay nearly market rates. This is a total unicorn, which is awesome to see. Given inflation and everything Tatis probably would have gotten close to $500M if he'd stayed awesome until free agency. But we're four years from when the Padres actually had to commit money to him, which is a LONG time. If the Tatis and Machado deals don't blow up though, the Padres are going to be really good for a while.
  16. Bertz
    I'm not going to call any FO (except mayyybe the Rockies) dumb, but the evidence that the prior Phillies' regime was a couple years behind the rest of the league is pretty compelling. That in turn should probably also color opinions on Arrieta's chances of rebounding...
  17. Bertz
    Works for me. Wentz hasn't actually gone anywhere either, so there's still opportunity to revisit when he and/or the Eagles become more reasonable. I tend to think at least one, probably both of Bridgewater/Garappolo can be had too. They're a little lower upside than Wentz, but that much safer. And I'd say the expected production of all three guys is similar (somewhere in the teens if you were ranking every QB ordinally). For me, the play is to get whichever of those three guys costs the least in draft picks and take a day 2 QB in the draft. In FA, do what you can, but don't add any long term $ except maybe a Robinson extension.
  18. Bertz
    No. As part of the health and safety protocols they scrapped that. So 26 man rosters with no pitcher limit. In the abstract I hate it, but it's probably necessary for this year.
  19. Bertz
    He was horsefeathers in his partial season with the Phillies but generally he's been a good setup type arm for the Sox. Sounds like teams are planning to do 9 man bullpens this year, so we're likely looking at: CL - Kimbrel SU - Wick SU - Chafin MRP - Winkler MRP - Adam MRP - Workman MRP - TBD lefty (Ryan as the favorite?) MRP - TBD righty (Underwood as the favorite?) LRP - 6th starter/swingman If Kimbrel is indeed fixed, I actually really like this group
  20. Bertz
    Good News: Davis is all the way up at #41 Bad News: No one else made the top 100 Good News: Marquez and Preciado are both 50 FB guys, which means they're Top 100 caliber Bad News: Whither Miguel Amaya?
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  22. Bertz
    I like the over on the Twins at 88.5 a lot. That division is still dog crap, so them and the White Sox are going to have pretty inflated win totals.
  23. Bertz
    I believe I saw that as of tomorrow they can start 60 day DL-ing people. There's not 3 of those (that we know of), but that might account for 1 or 2 of those spots
  24. Bertz
    I really wish we had a 100% answer on how many options Alzolay has, because that goes a long way to determining how I feel about this
  25. Bertz
    I'm not sure if the news of a deader ball makes me more or less okay with this. On the one hand, the only times he's been a GOOD hitter were juiced ball seasons in hitters parks, basically turning some of his mediocre fly balls into wall-scraper dongs. On the other hand, if the ball is deader, maybe a ~.350 SLG is more roster able? I guess I'm probably cool with it if it's a minor league deal?
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