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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. The Cubs have $504K to play with from the 5% overage. If Horton gets paid at Pick #10 money, that'd save the Cubs another $727K. Combine the two, and that's enough to give their 2nd rounder equivalent to the 25th overall pick, or give their 11th rounder 2nd round money. At pick 12, they save $1.12M. That would allow them to give their 2nd rounder 22nd pick money, or their 11th rounder 45th pick money Pick 15, $1.62M, 2nd rounder = 17th pick, 11th rounder = 35th pick Pick 18, $2.05M, 2nd rounder = 14th pick, 11th rounder = 28th pick Pick 20, $2.30M, 2nd rounder = 13th pick, 11th rounder = 24th pick Obviously you can spread the money around to multiple picks, or go overslot at any other point, but figure the above is illustrative.
  2. He thought the Cubs might take him at 47. He's not getting slot
  3. Horton shouldn't be anywhere near slot, at least I'd hope. He's got another year of college eligibility left, so they don't have a lot of leverage. Sure they do. Let's say the Cubs want to save $1.5M. Horton needs to be a top 15 pick again next year to beat that. That's a ton of risk.
  4. Longenhagen says people think now that Collier might slide far enough to go to school. Wonder if the Cubs could pull together enough scratch to get him at 47
  5. https://twitter.com/Wolak22/status/1548820448862945280?t=cywxBq5fxVoUbICEHRlKyw&s=19 2490 would be 5th amongst qualified pitchers in fastball spin rate between Dylan Cease and Gerrit Cole, 2610 would be 8th between Jordan Lyles (??) And Gerrit Cole
  6. I don see the Horton move much different from if they had done Neto, but I have a really hard time justifying that with Parada and Lee on the board.
  7. Absolutely no excuse to go signability now. At least two of the top 7 now have to be available, so even if the Cubs don't like one or they have outrageous $ demands there's still another
  8. The expectation was 15ish so hold onto your butts
  9. Didn't know about this, the seed is strong with Holliday apparently
  10. Jones for sure goes 2 now, then probably Parada #3 and the Pirates are the next inflection point
  11. Eric Longenhagen says the scuttlebutt is Holliday at 1 but he's not confident enough yet to Woj it
  12. There's not really a right answer except Jones, and not coincidentally he's one of the two guys (with Holliday) who have no chance of being there for us. Who you want ultimately comes down to your thoughts on college vs. highschool and hit vs power. For me personally, it's something like: Jones Lee or Johnson Holliday, Green or Parada Collier or Neto way underslot Berry, Jung, or Neto closer to slot Guys on the same line I see as roughly even.
  13. Canario with a walk in his first PA, now has more walks than Ks here in July, and honestly has his numbers into the acceptable range for his AA stint overall
  14. Not going to do the exact math right now, but he's OPSing about 1.300 the last two weeks. Just prodigious, Soriano-esque hot streaks
  15. Not an arm injury thankfully, but not good
  16. Stroman's had two very strong outings since coming off the IL, great to see. His overall numbers actually look pretty in line with what you expect sanz the disaster against the Cards.
  17. I would normally say there's no way Soto is available right now. That is a franchise altering move and not the sort of thing you do while a team is being handed off to new ownership. But maybe that's exactly why he's available. If you're a new owner and see that dealing him is the right thing to do, forcing your predecessor to pull the trigger and take the PR hit makes a lot of sense? I also imagine any deal would involve taking either Corbin or Strasburg back?
  18. It happened! I think this might mean he'll start Sunday too
  19. Check out the projections in the article,. PCA projects as a low-end regular NEXT YEAR. That's insanity for a guy with ~300 plate appearances in A Ball.
  20. Velo down a decent bit for Keegan tonight. GameDay only has one pitch over 94 MPH through four innings. Hopefully just a little fatigue as he starts approaching triple digits in innings.
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