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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Would explain why he's been getting a crazy number of strikeouts lately
  2. Probably should have checked the MiLB app before posting, he gave up four runs in the fourth No walks or HBP though at least?
  3. Last outing looks like it was a corner turning and not a dead cat bounce
  4. Really encouraging. Probably won't see the third inning of another game this year, but if he's healthy enough to play in the pitch lab that's a huge sigh of relief.
  5. Yeah he's real bad. I'd assume the over/under on when Manny Rodriguez takes his roster spot is like Monday
  6. Six?! That's a ton, I'm curious if that's guys leaving the ACL in general, so like inclusive of the pair of injury rehab dudes mentioned, or if it's legit six guys going from the ACL to Myrtle Beach.
  7. Mark Leiter Jr. now has a 2.54 ERA, 3.89 FIP, and 3.09 xFIP when facing hitters the first time through the order (both starting and relieving). His K rate is 29.8%, BB rates is 7.5%, and GB rate is 47.8%. He hasn't really gotten a velo boost out of the pen, so I wouldn't be especially confident ascribing the extra dongs to bad luck, but it's looking like that changeup or splitter is an absolute weapon in short looks. At minimum he's looking more and more like a cromulent 7th inning guy?
  8. The Cubs have only struck out 20 times in the four games so far this series. Not sure if that's a compliment to the Cubs' bats or an insult to the Cards' pitching but seems noteworthy
  9. It's absurd. Let's just assume he keeps this up for the rest of the season. That'd get him to about 150 PAs. Since the start of 2010 here are the 18 or younger hitters with a wRC+ of more than 120 in full season A Ball with a minimum 150 PAs https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/minor-league?pos=all&level=4&lg=2,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,14,12,13,15,16,17,18,30,32,33&stats=bat&qual=150&type=0&team=&season=2010&seasonEnd=2022&org=all&ind=0&splitTeam=true&players=&sort=24,1&filter=Age%7Clt%7C18,wRC%2B%7Cgt%7C120 (It doesn't show in this query but apparently Wander Franco and Vladito did it in High A which...holy horsefeathers) First off, only 21 players in 12 years. But by my count 11 stars, 2 current prospects, 5 solid players, and 3 busts. Obviously let's see Moises keep this up for another month but he's doing incredibly special stuff.
  10. Err I guess technically told he's in, not actually inducted yet
  11. I normally hate taking the camera off the field but that was really horsefeathering cool
  12. That stretch from the London games to the ASB is kind la brutal, especially since they gave the team's two days off on the way to London instead of on the way home. Otherwise though, looks pretty balanced? No super easy blocks no super hard ones, at least as teams are currently constructed.
  13. xwOBA doesn't take into account horizontal launch angle, or speed. A faster spray hitter like Madrigal (or Hoerner) will exceed that number on a systemic basis. It's not gonna make a massive difference, but a regular 15-20 points of "over performing" is probably safe to routinely expect. It's the inverse of the Schwarber conundrum.
  14. My theory on Madrigal is that with his speed he gets to a well above average number of balls, but his arm makes it so he converts a below average number into outs (and a lot of routine plays are closer than they should be). Net net he's a positive defender but those unmade plays stick in people's craw and he fails the eye test.
  15. Very good news from a labor perspective. The Angels I believe have never passed the luxury tax. Even if the new owner is more PTR and less Steve Cohen, it should still result in more money in players' pockets. Also feels like this will push the Angels into having an impactful offseason, TBD whether that's a teardown or a build up
  16. that's super interesting. Do you have any articles that talk about this? I've always been a QB and lines (O and D) guy in terms of constructing a football team. Here's a good one from PFF: https://www.pff.com/news/pro-pff-data-study-coverage-vs-pass-rush The first point is what I've seen most often in regards to this discussion. Basically the way that offenses have evolved has probably shifted the balance more towards coverage over pass rush.
  17. I believe the football sabermetric consensus at the moment is that defensively the guys in the secondary matter a good deal more than the guys up front. Feels like comparing the '21/'22 Bears will be a good test case for that.
  18. Sharma's article in the Athletic this AM made it sound like even if both sides are super happy with the relationship it'd likely have to be an extension:
  19. Crawly was wrong, though I would still assume Kilian gets Wednesday
  20. I wonder if one or both stay up. Thompson's presumably in the pen from here out, Hendricks is done for the year, and Miley seems pretty close. Ross poo-poo'd a six man rotation but maybe a piggyback deal with the youths? Or is Steele close to being shut down/shifted to the pen himself?
  21. Who said the Cardinals weren't good? I know It's a common tactic here to move the goalposts in the middle of arguments, but I'm keeping them in place. They are mildly good, the definition of mediocre. I mean, you literally just did say they aren’t good by calling them the definition of mediocre. You said it a few days ago too.
  22. Woof The (very faint) silver lining is that the timing is ideal. I remember while reading The Arm there was some mention of studies that showed better recovery for guys who got closer to 18 months between surgery and competitive games. Going under the knife now means he should be 100% for ST 2024.
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