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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. All in all the team is not *that* far out of contention. Now I certainly don't expext them to get back in it at this point, but particularly without any fun rentals to sell it makes sense to wait and make sure they don't have like an 11-5 run in them heading into the deadline. I also think, pretty much regardless of standings, the team should be sniffing around on guys who would positively impact the 2025 team such as Vlad Jr. Though I expect the team will not be as zealous as I would in this direction.
  2. missed this yesterday
  3. I know Trueblood tried to be like "he hits too many balls to CF case closed" but I've yet to see an actual good argument that Morel's not a 120ish wRC+ bat simply getting BABIPed to hell right now. The defense is a problem but the added contact this year has made the bat pretty hard to argue against IMO.
  4. It's tracking to be really really good. The silver lining of the wheels coming off here will be getting all these young closer caliber arms runway to establish themselves.
  5. One thing I really hope we see the rest of the year is Wesneski in the rotation for the duration. Dong problems are fleeting about 95% of the time, there's not a ton of reason to thing Wesneski's part of the 5% (last year when it was all lefties hitting them it seemed more potentially systemic) and Wesneski's non-dong aspects all say #3 starter. Even if you want to use Hayden as currency rather than keep him around. a good back half of the season would do wonders.
  6. I wonder if the Bigge move is a sign they're officially throwing up the white flag on 2024, because otherwise it's probably not ideal from a 40 man standpoint. The 40 man is not packed to the gills, but there are several guys who aren't going to be long term fixtures on the roster who you do hold onto for a bit if you're trying to win. For example David Bote as a short side platoon 3B, or Kyle Hendricks as emergency SP depth. If you're trying to win still though, Jorge Lopez and Colten Brewer are the two truly painless cuts you can make. Davis too I guess though I don't love that from an off-field standpoint. So by calling up Bigge now you're using up one of your 2-3 "free" moves, with Merryweather and Alzolay also due back by the end of the month requiring two more. It doesn't lock you out of anything per se, but I do think calling up Bigge and making the 40 man move instead of just calling up Palencia likely says something about direction.
  7. Yeah especially with that double-header looming next Saturday they would not have fake an SP injury right now.
  8. Fun, earlier than I expected but fun. Curious how they're managing this roster-wise, probably a Brewer DFA?
  9. Probably not a huge difference maker today but likely helps a bit more than it hurts given the matchups.
  10. It'd be really cool if Hendricks pitched well today.
  11. Yeah this is my understanding as well. Especially with how much IL time they've got they're over. They probably need to move a salary to stay under, that said it shouldn't take a huge one. If they moved like Smyly that'd be plenty.
  12. Christian Franklin on base 2x again already. Starting 6/19 and including tonight he's played in 16 games. 13 of those games he's gotten on base at least twice, only one game has he been held off base entirely. When Triantos and Shaw go to Iowa presumably coming out of the ASB Franklin needs to be with them.
  13. Wow who knew a player who'd been highly productive the last five years wasn't cooked after two bad months. Oh well no lesson to be learned here.
  14. I think you might be right. Him and Leiter both they really downplayed as "better safe than sorry", I just usually assume once they're on it'll take a little extra time to come off.
  15. I'd be pretty shocked if he comes off after a minimum stay but good to see
  16. Let's try a fun little thing where we just don't let Logan O'Hoppe leave town?
  17. So sans any transactions, this is likely the starting pitching depth chart to open next year? Steele Imanaga Taillon Wicks Brown Assad Horton Wesneski Birdsell Noland That is pretty phenomenal depth. Like you probably wouldn't want Noland starting a bunch of games next year but you feel good if someone like him is's your 10th starter. I definitely think there's opportunity to deal someone in the Taillon to Assad range while adding a SP in FA.
  18. Moving Connor Noland up to Iowa would accommodate that nicely. 10 strikeouts through 6 innings tonight, and he's only at 73 pitches so decent chance he goes out for the seventh with a chance to tack on a few more.
  19. It's the 3rd inning and Christian Franklin has already been on base two more time. He clearly wants to be part of the post draft moving day.
  20. I think if you can move Taillon’s whole salary you move him and if you can't you don't. I think Taillon’s probably a smidge above average starter right now, and you'd expect him south of average the last two of his deal. So I think you need a team that A) has been bitten by the injury bug and B) has enough going on in other facets that they mostly just want a SP who won't sink them. The Orioles would be a great fit if they weren't so unbelievably cheap. Maybe their austerity the last few years is passed with ownership changing over? but that should probably be a believe it when you see it thing. Dodgers maybe? Every SP of theirs except for Stone and Glasnow has been bad and/or hurt this year, and Glasnow's obviously got some history with the IL. Taillon being a boring innings eater next year as they transition Ohtani back to the rotation is more feature than bug. They are also less than 12 months removed from having no choice but to pitch Lance Lynn in an elimination game so understand floor raising moves Astros? Their rotation has also seen the IL extensively this year, and they definitely appear to be in "last hurrah" mode with this core over the next 1.5 seasons so $17M Taillon in '26 might be tomorrow's problem.
  21. I think the hole is too deep, but the schedule is really light from here. Your mileage may vary on the quality of the top teams in the AL Central, but the only good teams the Cubs face the next two months are arguably them and then the Orioles and the Brewers.
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