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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
    Shelby Miller sat 95.7 and got 3 whiffs in a short 14 pitch inning I do not think it's unreasonable to start pencilling him into the September bullpen
  2. Bertz
    I don't think Caple is pitching so well he must be promoted, but I do wonder if he gets one like attaboy start at Iowa to end his season.
  3. Bertz
    Ari Armas with a huge game right after I dropped him from my 20. A heater to end the year and ending up in the vicinity of average offense would be great!
  4. Bertz
    Will Sanders is alive! But he pitched like crap But it was likely because his IL stint was short enough he didn't do a rehab outing? More good than bad I'd say
  5. Bertz
    Fun thought experiment: would you freeze the NL standings right here if it was offered? On the one hand, you are giving up any chance of catching the Brewers and earing a bye, which is obviously a bummer and feels defeatist. On the other hand, it's set up so that we'd get the Dbacks in the Wildcard Round, which feels by far the most favorable matchup available? You also force the Dodgers into a Wildcard matchup with the Phillies. Sanchez/Wheeler/Luzardo in a 3 game set is as good, maybe better, than the Dodgers' top 3. I think the "invincible Dodgers" talk is way overstated but this might be the scariest matchup you could possibly force them into. I'd personally hammer the "freeze standings button", but curious if I'm on an island there.
  6. Bertz
    Bullpen is pretty shredded. Plan IMO should be to piggyback Rea or Garrett with Holmes
  7. Bertz
    I don't think it's hyperbole to say to whatever small extent the Reds window was open Green going down slams it shut? Like their path to the playoffs was "get 15 wins out of Greene/Burns/Elly and have the team be at least decent otherwise." Now you basically need Elly to have a PCA-sized breakout to get there? Which to be fair if there's another guy possibly capable of Pete things he's on the short list but that's still a really tall order.
  8. Bertz
    Sorrell and Valdez dongs early in game 2 Sorrell's swing is pretty but you can imagine high fastballs are going to be what makes or breaks him. Very uppercutty kinda like Jac Cags
  9. Bertz
    Ever play Fallout with the "Mysterious Stranger" perk? That's what Silva showing up with absolutely no backstory and wRC+ing 150-something as a 19 year old feels like.
  10. Bertz
  11. Bertz
    Decided to check in on this fascinating story again. Derniche is struggling pretty mightily right now, he has a 28 wRC+ since the ASB. But what's encouraging is the contact gains appear to be mostly sticking? Even during this period of *deep* struggle he's rocking a 27% K-rate. Still much more likely than not he busts but he does look like a fundamentally different guy.
  12. Bertz
    Yeah I think I'm landing here too. Worth noting too even at his worst Seiya has mashed lefties and our top remaining prospects are LHH outfielders. So even if the back of his deal ends up a little ugly it's probably more "we're way overpaying our 4th outfielder" as opposed to "he's useless and in the way"
  13. Bertz
    This is the rare road trip where I think you should be disappointed if you don't go at least 4-2. Cavalli/Peterson next Thursday is the only game where we shouldn't be favored.
  14. Bertz
    Emergency catcher still would not have replaced Kelly on base there?
  15. Bertz
    Naz, despite being around seemingly forever, is only six months older than Townsend. Even if he opens next season back at SB before a Memorial Day bump to Tenn he's on a good track developmentally.
  16. Bertz
    Interesting thing that kind of snuck up on me: next year's bullpen is already kind of set? CL - Palencia SU - Zef, Webb MR - Rolison, Maton, Shelby Miller, Turd Ferguson LRP - Assad You'd ideally add one more setup guy over Ferguson, and of course the usual gaggle of NRIs, but that's more YoY consistency than we've had since at least the Rondon/Strop era?
  17. Bertz
    After like 2-3 years of the Iowa lineup being varying degrees of loaded, it feels weirdly comforting and nostalgic for it to be 1 guy you care a whole lot about and 8 guys you don't care at all about (Yes Alcantara and Triantos will change that soon)
  18. Bertz
    It's been a year or two so Im fuzzy on the details but there was a Sam Miller that laid out that teams are still way too conservative on sends. Especially in a walkoff situation the breakeven point is pretty low. Good send that simply didn't work out IMO.
  19. Bertz
    Including last September we're up to 22 very good innings from Civale in relief. He's simply good good as a reliever, no major caveats required.
  20. Bertz
    Honestly I think it's more than 50/50 you score that was an insane throw
  21. Bertz
    Seeing that the Cubs would be 6 games up on holding onto a bye if they were in the AL
  22. Bertz
    There's a lot of conspiracy around the Dodgers offer but the obvious explanation is that the Tigers' view of Ryan is similar to Fangraphs: number 22 propsect in all of Baseball and "a monster the second he's healthy"
  23. Bertz
  24. Bertz
    Rea has been pushed to the bullpen already, Assad will be either in the pen or at Iowa after his next start, and Peterson after two more starts. Civale's ostensibly a long reliever as well. It's not bad or crazy but it's surprising they're opting for yet another long guy.
  25. Bertz
    I've been very "Sure, Jan" about the idea of getting Miller back this year but this makes it sound pretty reasonable? Honestly if we can get one of Miller/Harvey and one of Brown/Steele back and throwing well by the time we roll into October we should all be doing backflips
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