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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
    I think with all the ups and downs Hoffman's had they'd probably take the opportunity to sell him on an up rather than risk holding onto him long enough for the next down. Bieber's interesting too. There's nothing obviously wrong with him and we know this team has had a hard on for him for a while. I *think* his issues are just pitch mix. If you told me we were going to have a two SP deadline I'd happily take Bieber as the second.
  2. Bertz
    Luke Weaver got specifically name-checked by Mooney this AM, often a meaningful sign:
  3. Bertz
    I mentioned this a few weeks back but I do think there's some merit to just steering into the skid rotation-wise and going bullpen of doom. Like don't totally punt on the rotation, but e.g. use one of your blue chippers on Mason Miller and then pair that with something like a Freddy Peralta/Luke Weaver trade (which given Peralta's struggles should be doable with just mid-level guys).
  4. Bertz
    Cubs are 5 games up on a playoff spot and, because of the tiebreaker with the Phillies, essentially 2 games up on hosting in the Wildcard round
  5. Bertz
    Christian Olivo pulled after the first inning. He stole a base so I'm assuming he hurt himself on that, though he stayed in long enough to come around to score. It's hug watch season though so keep it back of mind.
  6. Bertz
    Kepley back in the lineup, so whatever pulled him from the game was thankfully minor
  7. Bertz
    This to me is the most interesting thing this deadline is what approach do you take from a pure volume/bodies standpoint. The pen is at least three, you could easily argue five guys short at the moment. But like you say the injury risk SPs all fit well in the pen. The back-end SPs also fit well in the pen. Aside from Taillon they all have previous bullpen success. Doesn't feel like wishful thinking to assume we get quality innings from multiple guys ostensibly labeled SPs. So like, do you just go get one closer type to tie things together up top and then let Craig go all "out getters" everywhere else? Or do you add some volume knowing that it's not a guarantee that from here on out hurt guys get healthy faster than healthy guys get hurt?
  8. Bertz
    I think if you wanted to spend big on a bat you'd add an outfielder rather than a catcher. When you combine catcher attrition with our depth there it's just not justifiable. An outfielder's not my favorite use of resources but I think he (or Seiya) could be a semi-full time DH for the next two months and then the new guy would get a starting spot for '27. Offense is fine with marginal tweaks. Get Pedro in there more against RHP, shorten Happ's leash against LHP. Maybe add a RHH 4th outfielder (Lane Thomas?) to help with the latter, but anything more than that carries significant opportunity cost.
  9. Bertz
    This is maybe the most fun story on the farm right now. It's this or Jace Beck's ascent.
  10. Bertz
    Yeah that's basically Adam Frazier and feels like a very reasonable comp. Triantos has more speed but alsoas a righty won't be as easily slid into a platoon in years where the bat is lagging more.
  11. Bertz
    I'd be really curious to hear from the team side how they'd evaluate someone like James Triantos On the one hand, he's about 900 PAs into his AAA tenure and still hovering right around league average for total offensive output. Not great. On the other hand he's doing a lot of things right - His GB rate, long his biggest issue, is down to a roughly average 43% - His chase rate is down to just a hair below 30% (slightly worse than average) and his z-swing is way up - His power numbers are poor but not awful, a ~14th percentile barrel rate and a ~29th percentile hard hit rate - His contact numbers are great, ~90th percentile - He is at this point because of his speed I believe he is considered a good baserunner, good defensive 2B, and solid defensive 3B and OFer - He's still just 23. In an org with a less crowded infield he'd almost certainly be a big leaguer before his 24th birthday So like when you're projecting how he'll be as a major leaguer, do you take his wRC+ and apply an adjustment (e.g. knock 25 points off)? Or do you take each of his component skills, adjust those for MLB, and try to back into a slashline? Feels like those approaches would lead to very different results
  12. Bertz
    Only 48 PA's because of the ASB but he's hitting .250/.354/.675 with a 25% K-rate in July. Juan Tomas also has his K-rate down to 25% in July. Hopefully these guys can take these gains and hit the ground running at MB next spring. Cruz/Tomas/Cabada, plus probably Bailey for a little bit...Myrtle should be fun as hell to open next year.
  13. Bertz
  14. Bertz
    My app says it should be done before 8 🤷‍♂️
  15. Bertz
    Joe Ryan and the Twins trying to get his enrire HR rate regression out of the way in one start ahead of the deadline. Smart
  16. Bertz
    2025 Jameson Taillon 2026 Michael Wacha
  17. Bertz
    Jameson Taillon is probably cooked. That said two of his first three years here he's given up a stupid number of homeruns in the first half of the year and just randomly stopped in the second half. Hell, last year the switch flipped while he was on the IL with a leg injury. Maybe we can make it three of four. If not I just hope the leash is short.
  18. Bertz
    Pedro is honestly the platonic ideal of what we'd want a 10th man on this roster to look like. I'm not going to throw out words like untouchable for him but he's not someone you go to market trying to cash in, he's someone you're willing to listen on for the right return. I think Rojas and Kepley are the most obvious trade bait in the org. I also think Jed and co need to take a breather and have an honest convo about Mo's defense. Because this org suddenly pretty flush with LHH bats with thump. so if Mo's not a catcher or barely a catcher it's probably best to cash him in as well.
  19. Bertz
    Sharma this AM *sigh*
  20. Bertz
    I wonder what a Gausman/Hoffman package from Toronto would cost I similarly wonder what a Peralta/Weaver package would cost I REALLY wonder what buying low on Hunter Brown would look like
  21. Bertz
    Brett Bateman's hitting .310/.435/.426 as an age appropriate CF at Iowa. He's also got major platoon splits, which is a bad thing if you're hoping for a full time regular but is very a good thing if all you're aiming for is a bench guy. Triantos and Long are also red hot right now. It feels like they can sense that this is their opportunity to hit themselves into a different org with more runway for their respective skillsets.
  22. Bertz
    Kepley came out mid-game. Probably an injury but small chance of hug watch
  23. Bertz
    Kohl carving guys up. And he was throwing gas down in AZ where we had Statcast, right? Man it'd be great to have him back at Iowa before the end of the year.
  24. Bertz
    Said ball
  25. Bertz
    Twins' lineup against LHP, especially without Buxton, is not great. Hopefully a good day for Shota. Then we get the Tigers while missing both Skubal and Mize.
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