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chopsx9

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Everything posted by chopsx9

  1. chopsx9
    ho hoh hoh hoh hoh hoh!
  2. chopsx9
    Did some fall out of the stands??
  3. chopsx9
    #StarlinGIF
  4. chopsx9
    JD!!
  5. chopsx9
    who pitches the 9th?
  6. chopsx9
    Do we know what the issue was with Cassies's medicals?
  7. chopsx9
    You can add a dong to that.
  8. chopsx9
    Is there a reason Bush wouldn't have moved to 1B after pinch hitting?
  9. chopsx9
    Greatest pitcher ever.
  10. chopsx9
    Well tell them to put a little giddy-up on it.
  11. chopsx9
    ?? It wouldn't be a curve if it worked linearly - the drop pretty universally gets steeper. I doubt anybody expects Pressley to be on the Cubs for more than a year regardless of how he pitches and he will likely be out of the league within 3 years. I'm not panicking at this point but if this was his last year as a MLB pitcher it wouldn't be all that noteworthy. 2024 zips had Ohtani at 3.7 WAR so I don't really know if that is something to hang your hat on.
  12. chopsx9
    How great is this. I'm a Cubs fan so I am fully prepared for both Smith and Bellinger to outperform Tucker, who will hate Chicago and demand a trade, by Memorial Day, to the Tigers for the corpse of Javy Baez.
  13. chopsx9
    Get out your umbrella's it's raining strawmen.
  14. chopsx9
    That's a lot of ifs and placing value on outcomes that may or may not happen in the future, in situations that may or may not come about. It's also not a single at bat it is the totality of all the single at bats over the course of an entire season. You are also pre-supposing that that approach leads to success in all hitters - it may in some but the flame out rate in MLB hitters tells you that's they are going to be in the minority.. Sure, Judge and Soto come up then, hey, swing away like River Phoenix in Signs but we've already stated that these guys are unicorns and in over 85% of the bats it's going to be some player with lesser skills and lesser results.
  15. chopsx9
    " but that's a strawman; now on is saying that." - but it's not a strawman because in my post I literally suggest that nobody has ever thought that. "So the strikeout RESULT is not as bad because it is part of a PROCESS that leads to greater results more often" - You can make the exact same type of argument for putting the ball in play. And there are many a player who are now selling used Fords for which that process did not yield greater results more often. "Though I'd suggest that Anthony Rizzo's going for contact with 2 strikes is an interesting balanced approach." - hmm I wonder what his reasoning for that approach is. In any case I've used up my 25 minutes of allotted NSBB time for the week so I'll horsefeathers off now
  16. chopsx9
    What macro position am I justifying? I am absolutely referring to the micro issue of a single at bat. Absolutely a SO CAN be better than bad contact - but you are presupposing that the contact is bad. To make good contact you have make contact in the first place and just like a SO can be a side effect of an effective hitting approach (it can also be the side effect of a bad hitting approach) so is weak contact. You can't avoid either but with a SO you have 0% chance of making good contact - putting the ball in play gives you roughly a 30% chance of getting a hit. Making weak contact can have better results than hard contact but nobody tries to make weak contact - well, I guess that's not true; players bunt all the time and shorten their swing with 2 outs, and try to hit and run.
  17. chopsx9
    That was the point in my initial post. How meaningful is the comparison: "So cherry picking the worst outcome of putting the ball in play and equating it to best possible outcome of a SO - not hitting into a double play - doesn't really seem all that meaningful, no? " No player is going to try and not make contact and they can't choose the quality of contact they ultimately make.
  18. chopsx9
    Nobody has said to stop trying to make hard contact. The original question was are SOs less bad than perceived. Strike Outs are inevitable - even players that don't try to hit home runs are going to SO. Just because they are inevitable doesn't make them less negative. Those two are not mutually exclusive. In the age of the universal DH has there been a single at bat with a runner on third where anyone has thought "Well I hope he strikes out here"? - without issuing some sort of qualification on the contact made. The question was how negative are SO's - not should players try to avoid strike outs at all cost.
  19. chopsx9
    Absolutely agree that "not striking out" is not the approach to take - and I have not suggested that - HOWEVER that does not lessen negativity of a SO. Just because they are going to occur doesn't somehow make them less negative.
  20. chopsx9
    But you are assuming only players trying to hit home runs strike out AND that the players striking out will eventually hit enough HRs to justify their SOs. Non - home run hitters strike out all the time. Zack Geloff struck out 188 times and hit 18 home runs. Ryan Mcmahon and O'neil Cruz had similar numbers. Hell Jacob Young struck out 102 times and hit 3 HRs. Obviously an extreme but go back to pitchers hitting - how many HRs did they hit. Even if you want to say that SOs are an acceptable trade off for hitting home runs - and I'm not arguing that they can't be - it doesn't apply to every hitter. It also doesn't take away the negativity of a SO. It wouldn't have to be qualified an "acceptable tradeoff" otherwise.
  21. chopsx9
    I guess I think my issue is with the initial assumption that an out is made. Sure, if you are presupposing that an out is GOING to be made than the differential between what kind of out it is diminishes. In the article it talks about a SO out with nobody on base being the same as any other out. However what is the expectancy of getting on base when the ball is put in play. I'm not going to look it up but its greater than 0. So cherry picking the worst outcome of putting the ball in play and equating it to best possible outcome of a SO - not hitting into a double play - doesn't really seem all that meaningful, no?
  22. chopsx9
    but Mcraes shoes and bat. I feel like Mcrae was more "solid" looking than this pic but its kind of an odd pose so maybe that's clouding the picture
  23. chopsx9
    Looks like Neifi's stance.
  24. chopsx9
    Soto over whatever dead body he's replacing on the Mets would have to be better, no?
  25. chopsx9
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