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chopsx9

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Everything posted by chopsx9

  1. Yeah, I think Busch gets another year before they look at 1B with any seriousness.
  2. I don't think this is correct at all. I think most front offices have in house propriety metrics that they utilize. Also I think if you used WAR to project Hoerner's contract it far exceeds his actual contract.
  3. I'm going to nit pick on a couple of things. One isn't that PCA's current season is better than any of Dawson's. I don't think you even need to look at WAR to get justification of that - other than maybe to get a reference point for defense. If you extrapolate Dawson's strike shortened 1981 season to a near full season, he exceeds 10 WAR. Who knows if that would have actually been the result - but he was on the right track. He has a couple other seasons where he gets close to 7 So I'm taking exception with the "a country mile" designation. Again is 2026's season by PCA better than any of Dawson's? Absolutely. Was Dawson allergic to taking a walk? Allergic seems pretty strong. Dunston was allergic to taking a walk. Buckner was allergic to taking a walk. Could Dawson have taken a few more? Sure. His lifetime OBP is .323. I looked up league OBP from 1976 to 1996 and came up with .325. So over the lifetime of his career Dawson got on base slightly less than the MLB average. 2% So in terms of not making outs Dawson was ever so slightly below league average. I'll take that in conjunction with the rest of his numbers. For WAR it's not only that a gap of .1 doesn't mean anything; much larger differences are not reliable. Fangraphs completely dismisses a difference of .3 and has to go to a much larger difference before they're willing to make any sort of proclamation - "However, a 6.4 WAR player and a 4.1 WAR player are different enough that you can have a high level of confidence that the first player has been more valuable to their team over the given season." Not definitely, not absolutely - but a high level of confidence. This is from Fangraphs, the org that actually calculates the number. Baseball prospectus, I believe, says there is likely a 20% margin of error in their calculations. There is nothing wrong with WAR, for what it is; but it is not absolute in its nature - the organizations that calculate it are very up front about this. Is Dawson a inner circle HOFer? Absolutely not. Deed he need a 20 year career to get in? Probably. Is he a HOFer? I think so.
  4. Does the runs allowed include inherited runners scoring?
  5. How many Reds viewers are going to be doing double takes when they flash up PCA's stat line during his ABs..
  6. I find myself pulling up his stat line daily, and just looking at it for 6 or 7 minutes.
  7. He's hitting .347 - regardless of what his babip is that's unsustainable. It's a pretty cool story for however long it lasts though. He's already out WARed Gausman on the year I believe.
  8. Brett Bateman is Raking. 330/380/whatever. The Toronto media LOVE him.
  9. I don't think I realized he was Bahamian. I lived there until I was 16. I know Jazz Chisolm is as well. Don't know if there have been any others.
  10. I don't think that word means what you think it means.
  11. From 3rd out strike out to 3 run HR - thank god for challenges. Massive turn around.
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