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chopsx9

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Everything posted by chopsx9

  1. chopsx9
    So you're completely unaware of how many times the "summer swoon" myth has been debunked? Yes, I can see why they hate him, because he has a low batting average (the most cited stat when talking about what a disappointment he is) and he spins when he strikes out (the thing most often referenced when mocking him). Legitimate Question: How has it been debunked? His stats last 2 years at the end of May: 2008 .310/.412/.854 2009 .309/.439/.946 Totals by seasons end 2008 .257/.359/.738 2009 .259/.379/.796 How is that not a swoon? I've seen the argument where there are "summer" months that he has hit well - but I could care less if he hits .650 one month if he's going to hit .015 the other months. He certainly has value but I don't see how you can say over his 2 year history that his offense isn't significantly worse after May. I absolutely hope that changes this year but that's not going to change the past.
  2. chopsx9
    Link? Nicely Done. I agree with JCF. I understand all the other points but at I'd still give the nudge to Jackson at this point. It's just nice to be able to have this debate about position players. "Link?" - I'm still giggling like a school girl.
  3. chopsx9
    Done
  4. chopsx9
    I actually e-mailed the trade suggestion to Hendry.
  5. chopsx9
    June 2008 - .789 July 2008 - .688 Aug 2008 - .546 June 2009 - .507 July 2009 - .926 Aug 2009 - .904 Averaging numbers together doesn't provide a pattern. There would be a pattern if his numbers in 2009 were similar to his numbers in 2008. As can be seen, there's really no similarity whatsoever between his July/Aug 2008 numbers and his July/Aug 2009 numbers. What happened to September's numbers?? September is after May. That was the time period in question. After May. If you don't want to average the numbers...fine. March - May 2008 .294/.398 June - Oct 2008 .224/326 March - May 2009 .309/.437 June - Oct 2009 .240/351 In both years his BA drops .070 and OBP drops .070 & .087. Again certainly nothing is set in stone but for the last 2 years he has been better in the first two months that the last 4. I hope he is better in the last 4 of 2010 than the first 2.
  6. chopsx9
    good god, how many times do I have to post this in various places? August 2009: .287/.398/.506/.904 The whole Fukudome sucks past April thing needs to die. He was even better in July. (.307/.392/.534/.926) But, he did get worse by the month in 2008, and was awful in September and October of last year, so which is going to be proven most true of him? I think that someone pointing out that he was awful past April is just as valid as posting that he had a good two month stretch last season. Neither is more or less valid than the other, in my opinion. It depends on what people are trying to say when they post those stats. If they're trying to imply that it's a given that he's going to suck come summer, then it's a huge leap. If you're merely pointing out his 2009 stats and saying that it isn't a given, that's one heck of a lot more valid. Also...you're throwing October 2009 out there as a full month to try and help your case? Really? June to Oct for 2008/2009 I get .232/.339 - I know I'm a little low on the OBP due to quick math - that seems to be worse. Doesn't have to be that way this year - but it certainly seems to be a pattern the first 2 years.
  7. chopsx9
    Headline was he apologized to team then went out an played well. I think the Marlins probably handled this appropriately. Possibly...I'd still have tasered him though.
  8. chopsx9
    Shawon had a cannon. yeah, he could throw it 100mph into the 1st base side stands I was very young at the time, but I remember someone telling me that the Cubs drafted the best available arm but he happened to be a SS instead of a pitcher. The quote I remeber, which I'm going to attribute to Davy Johnson, went something along the lines of "of course the Cubs drafted Dunston ahead of Gooden...he has the better arm" Dunston had a cannon for sure. Oddly one of the throws I remember best was when he played some RF for the Cardinals and he GUNNED down Grace trying to score - granted, not that tough to do - but the throw was an absolute laser beam...but the best thing was Dunston then covered the lower third of his face with his glove for about the next 5 minutes because he was absolutely killing himself laughing at poor Gracie.
  9. chopsx9
    The Sandberg Game hands down, followed by Wood's game. I guess they are fairly obvious choices but... Nothing beats Costas' calling of the end of Sandbergs game though - repeatedly trying to wrap up the broadcast, naming Mcgee MVP and doing end of game shout outs only to be stopped in his tracks each time.
  10. chopsx9
    Not only that but I'd show up at his house the next night and taser him again just to drive home the point.
  11. chopsx9
    This has been shown false about 75 times on the forum, but I'll throw the updated numbers out there: Overall: .278/.350/.445/.794 RISP: .258/.342/.444/.786 RISP, 2 out: .250/.339/.482/.821 bases loaded: .290/.333/.419/.753 Oddly enough, the scoring spree against AZ has created a gap. That's the biggest difference there's been all year and it's pretty much only batting average that's different. In fairness wouldn't you need to use a line for no runners in scoring position (so overall # - RISP #) rather than the overall line which I assume includes the RISP numbers?
  12. chopsx9
    Isn't that 70/125 over 500 AB's? I'd be positively euphoric if he could keep that up. or was that a green font thing?
  13. chopsx9
    An even .300 BABIP, 9% LD (29 ABs). Mayhap a bit o' luck. Unless of course it ends up he's really a .330 hitter and its actually a bit of bad luck.
  14. chopsx9
    In Lous defense, Colvin was 2-5 and Hill 2-4 and Tracy did what Ramirez probably wouldn have done anyway. I really wish there was a way to keep Colvin in the lineup, but as long as Sorianos hot, Byrds productive, and Kosukes not a black hole, hes a 4th or 5th outfielder. As for Hill, as far as backup catchers go, hes pretty good. I dont mind the occasional start, but Geos our starting catcher and should start 4 out of every 5 games. Be careful what you wish for. I like Colvin, but I'm not sure he's an everyday starter in the ML. Maybe not but it is a least looking like it could be possible.
  15. chopsx9
    I don't know where you could find it in the spring, or if it's even possible given the lack of detailed PBP. Last year it was 17.7%, 20.5% at Daytona and 16.8% at Tennessee. Yeah, I don't know of any place that keeps track of spring PBP trajectory (although I might be able to find something with the raw data). I'm just curious if his LD% was increasing or if he's getting a bunch of seeing-eye grounders. I'm sure with a near .600 BABIP, he's getting more than his fair share, but if his LD% was sitting really high this string, then I have at least a sliver of hope he'll be productive at the plate this year. i've been trying to find LD% for the spring as well unsucessfully. His performance, obviously, isn't sustainable because of the babip, but if he's hitting the ball harder, then there is still some hope that he could be serviceable. He's going to see a lot of pitches thrown out of the strike zone though I would think... Do we really have to dig down to BABIP to determine his performence is unsustainable? If his BABIP were .290 his performence would be even more unsustainable.
  16. chopsx9
    Is it just me or is that anatomically placed button smiling? ...and yes you win.
  17. chopsx9
    Another couple of hits from Colvin and Aducci on the way to a 5 spot in the 2nd. Aducci has been dark horse favorite of mine for a bit. A question for anyone that's seen him play. He's got a little bit of height to him does he have the physicality (word??) that could allow some power to emerge? Is a Mark Kotsay type of player the best possible outcome or is that a pie in the sky impossibility?
  18. chopsx9
    The assumption here is that Barney or Blanco will be able to perform at an average replacement player level though, correct?
  19. chopsx9
    That fact actually implies the opposite of what you think it does. How so? A player who has gotten better several years in a row is likely get worse in the immediate future, and vice-versa. So...trade the farm for Aaron Miles? Or perhaps the time is right for a return of Cpatt?
  20. chopsx9
    Because the "Win - Loss" calculation for position players is still in beta testing.
  21. chopsx9
    I seem to recall some old adage that might be applicable here. Something about books and covers? Nah, I'm probably way off. I get that. It just caught me off-guard. I know! It always surprises me when those coloreds end up at Ivy League schools too! Kids these days. That guy was an actual baseball player? I thought he was like their janitor or something more fitting for a man of his color. I have it from a good source that the editors from The Onion troll NSBB; maybe you guys will luck out.
  22. chopsx9
    This. With bells on...
  23. chopsx9
    Bobby Hill and Sam Fuld were two guys I thought were black for no discernable reason.
  24. chopsx9
    They didn't quite crack the three year mark but Dave Martinez and Mel Hall were passable and had some early success as regulars with the Cubs. Derrick May lasted longer than 3 years I think, but not sure he would be counted as a regular. I remember Darrin Jackson having a couple of decent years but, again I don't think he was a regular for the Cubs.
  25. chopsx9
    Serious Question -If they were simply just bad hitters why wouldn't they have had those numbers anyway? I can see a high number being easy to identify as an outlier but I would assume low numbers are problematic because its pretty conceivable for a player to be that bad (short of a decent amount of history pointing to the contrary)
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