To be fair, you think the Brewers will end the year by winning their next 14 games. The problem for the Brewers is the only way they win the division is by finishing something like 12-2 because of the 7 H2H games between the Cards and Cubs. They're currently 4% on FG and 6% on 538. BP hasn't updated yet but they jumped 1.4% on FG today and doing that would put them at 3.5% on BP. So they're between 1 in 20 and 1 in 30 to win the division. If they go 10-4, the Cards would have to go 6-8. Well, half of those games are against the Cubs. So unless something crazy happens like the Cards get destroyed by the Nats and DBacks but crush the Cubs, the Cubs are probably winning 4 of those games. So 5-2 against Pittsburgh and Cincy and we end up tied. If they go 9-5, the Cards would have to go 5-9. Now you're looking at the Cubs probably going 5-2 against St. Louis which means 4-3 in those other games gives the Cubs the division. I'm not going to say it's impossible, because they were around 1 in 20 last year at the end of August and they got super hot and tied the Cubs. They were also a much better team last year, that had Yelich, plus a healthy and producing Cain and a lights out bullpen. They don't have those things this year. So sure, if they go nuts the next two weeks, win 11 or 12 of 14 and win the division, I'll tip my cap to them. But they've got no margin for error. i remember all this stuff looking even more promising last year