squally1313
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Everything posted by squally1313
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From opening day until May 10 (picked because it seemed like the easiest way to split the season to date in half), we had a 123 wRC, since then we've had a 108 wRC, which is (still) 8th in baseball. The baserunning and defense has been and remains elite. The overall package, even running cold or whatever you want to call this, is absolutely still good enough to win.
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nice, bullpen regression lines up perfectly with the 12 runs we've scored in the last 15 innings.
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usually when you pound something that hard, you do it in the privacy of your own home
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The parking lot guy!
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I mean, we were second in baseball through April, and a month and 20 days later we've fallen all the way to...third. This isn't some freefall. The Yankees just went like 30 innings without scoring a run and their offense is a buzzsaw. These stretches happen.
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I understand we've been struggling offensively lately. Probably some legitimate cause for concern under the hood, probably at least a little based on the elite starting pitching we have faced and continue to face, probably just the ups and downs of how baseball works. But third base offensive production as a whole (Shaw has taken about 60% of the PAs) has been a black hole the entire season, and we are, YTD, the third best offense in baseball. The problem to address, to the extent that a 45-29 team has Serious Problems, is pitching. Not the guy batting 9th who can run and field.
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Man, signing on for roughly $25m and two years more of a veteran 3B who hasn't been an above average hitter in any season in his entire career is so bleak.
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They're 5.5 games up in a very weak division. This is EXACTLY the time to let a guy like Shaw work his way through the learning curve.
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PCA got 117 PAs in AAA last year and also got 410 PAs in the majors. 527 total, 149 games. The idea that he was used sparingly anywhere is just wrong.
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"He wasn't playing every day"
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What are you talking about, when PCA got called up on 4/24/24 the Cubs were 15-9 and you could argue his bad play contributed to them falling off from there (and then his good play in the second half helped bring them back in it). They were 71-66 and three games out of a playoff spot on September 1st.
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2024 Fangraphs Top 100 Prospect List: PCA 20, Shaw 32 2025 Fangraphs Top 100 Prospect List: Shaw 13 Through 170 PAs last year (Shaw is at 167 going into today), PCA was slashing 194/241/284. Shaw is at 225/299/325. Obviously I'm not saying that we should expect a similar progression. But they were absolutely similarly regarded, Shaw is doing better at this point in his major league career, the learning curve at the MLB level is very steep, and this weird thing where Shaw's development is somehow tied to people thinking Dansby sucks in specific at bats is dumb and should stop.
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If only we had any evidence on hand of what happened when you let a top prospect struggle at the major league level for a few hundred PAs while providing plus defense, and how that turned ultimately turned out by the end of the year and going forward
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Michael Busch is so good at hitting
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someone update the weird 'Ian Happ in the first inning' stat from a couple days ago
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yeah, we're going to need some strikeouts in a bad way. Nico and PCA can't get to everything.
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We can’t treat every game like it’s October. We’ve got 10 more games in a row after this. This is counsells calling card and it’s probably an approach that comes out ahead over six months. Yeah it’s one of those double value games but we’ve got four more of those coming up on Monday. As others have mentioned, another two games down with them not picking up any games. It’s frustrating but fine. this was also probably overdue regression from Jameson, if I can go back to my favorite dead horse. Get a starter.
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105 MPH GIDP. sure.
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Didn't love the check swing call for strike two, but generally yes.
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lol Happ with an all time sell job
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The 'Hypothetical Other Bullpen Option(s)' has a career 0.00 ERA
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We certainly don't know that
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Tucker hit the ball hard four times yesterday and already once today, keep it here and I like one of those guys figuring this out.
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Not sure I love that Brujan PR for Busch there, have a much weaker lineup going into the 9th/extras.
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Michael Busch is pretty clearly the second best hitter on this team so far this year and him batting 7th is probably the biggest lineup issue.
