squally1313
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Everything posted by squally1313
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This was the bottom of the dodgers lineup today. the Phillies went an entire series in Houston without scoring a run and were swept by the pirates. This is all in the last 5 weeks. Was that not exposing them?
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Lol, the cubs have lost one whole game in a row, people were saying this game was over when they were down 2 with 8 innings left
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If this is your standard for ‘getting exposed’, the NLCS isn’t going to have any teams in it.
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What happened to buxton?
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I mean....not very high? His first four season in Colorado after the trade, 489 games, 1800+ PAs, he put up 2.8 fWAR combined. He bloomed late, and he's a career league average hitter. Plenty of things to lose sleep over, this one ain't it.
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He's probably cooked but he's also probably a better option than Jeimer was for the 'sign him and see if he catches fire in AAA' conversation.
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Forgot about the option, good call. And yeah, I love the idea of Alcantara for the next two years, but I just don't know if right now is the time to make that splash because I don't think 2025 Alcantara, and the opportunity cost required, is the right use of resources to optimize this year's chances of success.
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I was ready to disagree with you, but after digging in a little bit I might be falling into the same camp. Current Alcantara is probably the back end innings eater you want, but with his extra year of control and future upside you're probably paying the 'playoff starter' premium and you might not able to/want to do that twice. He's getting real unlucky on sequencing, and the walk rate is back to being pretty elite, but the strikeout rate, especially given how many batters he's facing, just isn't there, and he's not enough of a ground ball monster to overcome that in my opinion.
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Fair, though also to be fair you were the main person who talked me off that ledge a few weeks ago when I was worried that their arms were going to explode in the middle of August. Turns out it was Taillon's hamstring instead! But yes, Milwaukee probably needs to slow him down at some point. (Minor related nitpick, FG added that row that sums all the different minor league levels for the year and I don't like it. Blending different levels doesn't tell you anything and I screw up and miscount things like total innings at least once a week). The thing that I've kinda made peace with, for better or for worse, is that we have a five game series with them in the middle of August and outside of some extreme swing one way or the other, it's kinda pointless to fret too much about the daily grind until then. For better because....that series is going to be awesome! I still remember that Cardinals one 20 years ago, this one is also at Wrigley, should be an incredible atmosphere. For worse because...we're so much better than they are, and it's annoying to somewhat small sample size it.
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If the Mis guy can simultaneously maintain his .160 BABIP and also maintain the lowest walk rate he's ever had at any professional level, ever, then yes, we're probably going to have some problems with him. But....color me a little skeptical at the moment.
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The Chicago Cubs Could Go "All-In" At The Deadline
squally1313 replied to Matthew Lenz's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Happ the player is fine, he's essentially who he has always been and for that production his contract is very reasonable. Having said that, resigning Tucker probably puts you in a spot where Suzuki or Happ has to go if you want any cash left over to make meaningful improvements in other spots, and that's before considering a big money pitcher like Eovaldi coming in this offseason. A $45m CBA number puts you at $55m under the luxury tax...with only 9 players signed. Steele is making $6.5m this year and I don't think that number can go down, so there's 15 spots left for arbitration costs, piecing back together a bullpen (Pressly, Brasier, Thielbar, and Keller are all FAs), and adding at least one high quality starter, if not two. We'll see where the events of the next few weeks leave the farm system, but going from Suzuki or Happ to Caissie is probably the least painful way to find what is going to be a needed $20m. -
(Quietly) PCA for Skenes, who says no
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Giving up on relievers with a track record of success after a small amount of struggles and a blow up, April is back!
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I haven’t totally thought this through, but third division winner vs first wildcard is a much smaller deal than beating out the dodgers or the NL east champion for a bye right? Obviously a lot of baseball left, but dodgers look fairly human and injuries keep piling up.
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It would never happen, but a loan system in the majors would be pretty great. Sticking with the Royals, we get Maikel Garcia for two months, they get Matt Shaw for two months and a low level prospect as a sweetener.
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The most standard path to 3-3 is going 2-1 in Minneapolis (keeping the Twins on their above referenced pace) and then 1-2 at the Yankees, which should be the reasonable expectation against an over 500 team on the road. 57-39 at the turn, home against Boston and KC and then a trip down to the south side should make up for any ground we theoretically lose before heading up to Milwaukee (and then a soft landing after that, home against hopefully stripped Oriole and Reds rosters).
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He’s 9th among shortstops in defensive fWAR, which is noisy in sub 100 game sample, but just basic competency there goes a long way. League average hitter YTD in the outfield doesn’t get you very far, league average hitter with his shortstop defense basically puts you on par, value wise, with a normal Ian Happ year. Conforto has been bad (and seemingly very unlucky, xwOBA wise), but replacing a corner outfielder is 10x easier than finding a shortstop mid season.
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The injury replacements for arguably every full time starter are sitting at AAA for a reason.
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The cubs have the best run differential in baseball
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I looked up Mookie on FG and saw he was at 1.9 fWAR, which is comfortably a 3.5 pace even with no positive regression to his career norms, which is decidedly not average, much less below average. and then I went to league leaders and realized the closest player to him in fWAR this year is Dansby and now the comment makes way more sense
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I’ll put in a vote for anyone else. But no real interest in doing all of This Whole Thing again.
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Yes please
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Agreed. No idea how they haven't stumbled upon that accidentally. Edit: 544 30 HR seasons since 2005 (including the couple this year).
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Should have been benched, clearly has been a shell of himself since that happened.
