squally1313
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Everything posted by squally1313
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Nice, we can use full season offensive stats again.
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I would go with something like: Turner - he's not our best hitter vs LHP, but Busch is our best hitter at the moment and we should optimize how many ABs against RHPs he gets Hoerner - he's fine here against both, elite here against LHPs Tucker Suzuki Kelly/Swanson - pretty indifferent here Happ - need him here to split up the RHBs for down the stretch Kelly/Swanson PCA Castro - unlikely Ashby pitches this deep, prefer Castro over current Shaw against a RHP with extreme splits
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I don't think you specifically are doing this here, but I think there's this somewhat purposeful confusion between past accomplishments and results and what we should expect going forward. It's like, the reverse of the Dansby in RISP conversations from this year. Assad has gotten the job done in the broadest, arguably most important sense, which is 'prevent runs from scoring'. In the same way that a guy who hits .440 in this 140 PAs with RISP should get extra credit in his MVP discussions, and in the same way that Dansby being terrible in those situations absolutely hurt the team. But my general baseline when looking forward is to eliminate all context outside of the pitcher trying to get the batter out, and the batter trying to not make an out. And there are statistics that have good predictive value and there are ones that don't. Which column from the below strikes you as being the most broadly different based on the different contexts, and how much weight do we want to put on that going forward? As a hint, his fly ball rate is actually highest when there are runners in scoring position.
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Do you think this is an actual skill, and if so, what about it makes it unique in the fact that he can't replicate that same success in situations where there aren't guys on base?
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I remember Ross and then Counsell last year getting all sorts of criticism for how they handled the bullpen and supposedly pressing the wrong buttons or whatever, and my opinion then was that they were stuck picking between a bunch of bad options and it wasn’t going to end well regardless. This is kinda where I’m at with this decision and the rotation in general. Which is a Ricketts thing, and a Jed thing. Yeah, I know, they were expensive. I…don’t really care? This needed to get figured out, we knew about it in December, we knew about it in July. And here we are, mad that we picked an exhausted above average starter over Colin horsefeathers Rea?
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But that’s not the decision because you need a backup catcher regardless. He comes up to be a…platoon DH? pinch hitter? and we’re essentially punting on the chances of him ever being a serviceable major league catcher. A 135 wRC DH only guy is marginally value in like, a lesser version of Seiya Suzuki way. A 135 wRC bat who can also play a mediocre catcher is one of the most valuable players in the league.
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Because he can’t catch and our DH is a better hitter.
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In a perfect world we bring back the same four outfielders and Ballesteros gets 2026 to learn catcher and hit .400 in Iowa. Given the way the payroll has been trending, one of the outfielders, at least, is likely gone and Moises is the DH next year.
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What happened to chourio?
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I think the flexibility is nice because it lets you add a pitcher for Alcantara without worrying too much about contingency plans. Happ looked bad, but can't see them going away from him, especially when you factor in that Ian Happ against the NL Central is a borderline HOF player (if we want to stay in the neighborhood of sample sizes that probably don't matter).
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Maybe I'm thinking about it wrong, but I don't really see a situation where we don't want Happ/PCA/Tucker/Suzuki all in the game.
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Yeah, I didn't realize Megill was back, which is unfortunate. Between those two lefties and Uribe and Megill, they basically run the same way in that they have four guys and then there's a clear decrease in quality, but I think the Brewers group is a definite step back. But....the hitting is better, their pitching is fresh, and we won't have the luxury of being at Wrigley the whole time.
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Busch seems so locked in right now. Going to get another heavy dose of RHPs, as I expect every starter we see will be righty. Koenig and Ashby are good LHPs, they're a step down from Morejon but there's two of them. Need Happ to get it together and this lineup has some real length to it.
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Happy for our sake this isn’t the case, but I’m a big fan of starting the divisional series the next day after the wild card. You want the best teams to advance and win, make it as hard as possible on the teams without the bye.
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Happ bunting and it not leading to a run is officially hilarious
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Castro probably doesn’t make that play
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That’s the type of inning from Keller that precludes an injury announcement
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Just need one.
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I don’t really love Keller here after how he looked, but might as well ride with the horse that got you here
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Tatis has been very bad
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This horsefeathers guy
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Yeah don’t know if Keller finishes but this is the spot for him
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I will hopefully find it really funny in like 20 minutes that this also didn’t work out
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Five career sacrifice bunts, you say?
