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squally1313

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Everything posted by squally1313

  1. I understand that in order to reach that level of elite talent you need to be somewhat insane/manically competitive, but it kinda blows my mind that Scherzer and Verlander are just out there stumbling through clearly diminished production when they really don't have anything left to prove or accomplish. Just go home to your $350m/$400m career earnings and your supermodel wives and do nothing for the rest of your lives.
  2. Caissie deserves the call up and there’s value added to his career progression just by being on the big league roster, spending 6 weeks with the cubs coaches and successful veteran outfielders, etc. Caissie is absolutely the 5th best option to start games for a team that is, at least theoretically, fighting for a playoff spot, and his role should be treated as such. Matt Shaw gave you defense and baserunning and also we had zero other options. This is not the case here. Kyle Tucker won’t hit the ball harder because the cubs benched Suzuki for a prospect, that’s not a real thing. Play your good four outfielders, give Caissie a start a week, let him play in blowouts, and tell him to be ready for a bad righty reliever (and even then, who are you taking out for his AB).
  3. Going back to the trade deadline discussion, guess who has the worst wRC of anyone with at least 40 PAs (negative 20) since the deadline? 3/38 with 2 walks and 1 home run in 10 games.
  4. Eh. He knows better than I do, obviously, but like, I can't imagine Hector Rondon felt very good about the Chapman trade. Or that Matt Shaw would have loved a Suarez deal, guys like Colin Rea or Horton loving another couple starters being added. If you've played four months with a team and you're in contention, you'd almost think you'd want to prove that you don't need anyone else. But ultimately, I don't think there's anything to a 'shot in the arm' or whatever. Suzuki isn't a shell of himself because we didn't trade for Charlie Morton. PCA isn't flailing at LHP breaking balls because we didn't get a new closer. Just play better.
  5. There’s that skilled Assad pitching on the double play that doesn’t show up on the stat cast page.
  6. Kinda wish I was one of those posters who could overreact to one game sample sizes to prove a particular negative opinion about a member of the cubs.
  7. Think we need Happ or Hoerner back up higher. Meatball take but Carson Kelly, Cleanup Hitter just seems untenable.
  8. Assuming I’ve done the FG splits right, the pitching staff has been terrible on a full year basis at getting strike outs but actually really good the last 14 days. Feel like that anecdotally checks out with Shota, kittredge, etc. The results are overall good over that stretch, with our LOB% really the only thing that looks bad…which makes sense
  9. Ian Happ has the 21st most fWAR among outfielders since the beginning of 2023. 25th best hitter. He’s actually good.
  10. Village optimist checking in here (it's been a few days), but I keep going back to a version of this, which isn't the Cubs actually playing better but the Brewers just being a normal level of hot and not this historic run. Instead of 27-8, let's just say they've gone 22-13. We'd be a game and a half back from the Brewers with those five games still coming, ahead of the Dodgers and Padres, down a couple games to Philly, still comfortably up on the Mets. And then it's like....all those last facts are still true. Granted, obviously that's not reality, and also granted I think we were all expecting a better roster post trade deadline than we currently have. But the Brewers didn't really improve themselves either, especially if you, like me, believe that the Andrew Vaughn Summer was a mirage. It might be too late to catch them, but I don't see why we should be taking ourselves out of playoff consideration at this point. (Though, yes, things are very annoying and bad right now, will not argue against that)
  11. I kinda feel like the more the brewers win, the less angry I get about the trade deadline being so bad? Like, they’re 5 games clear of every team in baseball. Gore and Cabrera might not have been enough. (I still like our chances in a series with them)
  12. Guessing they’re saying it’s the highest since they starting keeping data, not that someone in 2000 went higher
  13. I like to poke fun at the people referencing 2018, 2003, 1984, whatever…but we do have a couple (two) pretty obvious data points of overworking young arms and what that did to their careers.
  14. in this post I will use the results of one game to justify all my prior arguments about the team and indirectly call out everyone who had different opinions as being obviously and clearly incorrect
  15. have you filtered out the slappy ones in that math
  16. lol besides yesterday, but I do think he'll be fine.
  17. You're just slicing and dicing sample sizes to support the position that 95%ish of your posts are about: how uniquely bad the Cubs are. Bringing in the past four years but ignoring the first two months of this year is insane. Play out the thought process of your last sentence. Every team has a geographyhater that thinks their team is bad and won't do anything in the playoffs. Why are you right and they are wrong?
  18. I don't know. It's just still overtly negative to me. Like, the Dodgers are 13-16 since July 1. Mets are 15-14 in that stretch, 27-29 since June 1. Are they out too? The Tigers (13-17 since July 1), Yankees (12-18), and Astros (14-16) too? Or do we then have to bring in subjective judgements on why we're uniquely poorly positioned? Because the advanced statistics still really like our offense. Edit: Like if you think those teams are better suited, you're basically saying that the teams that performed as well or worse than us for the first 60 games, and then as poorly or worse than us the next 40 games are somehow better than us going forward. Which takes me back to the 'overtly negative' point. I just think your argument leaves you with like, three teams that you think have any real shot to win the World Series, which is a pretty foolish spot to be in in early August.
  19. Two things Playing at an 85 win pace from June 22nd through the rest of the year gets us to 91 wins. Smarter people have done the research on how exceedingly rare it is to miss the playoffs with 90+ wins, so the issue of just missing out on the playoffs shouldn't apply with the current facts. At that hypothetical point, are we an 91 win team or an 85 win team? 2024 Cubs played August and September at a 98 win pace but no one would call them a 98 win team because that wasn't their record. I think we're underperforming. Suzuki and Tucker are simply better players than what they've shown during this stretch, and I can't point to anyone playing out of their mind besides maybe Nico as negative regressors that will offset Suzuki/Tucker returning to form. The pitching is bad, yes, but the pitching has always been bad. The starting pitching isn't much changed from where it was post-Steele injury. Bullpen was 12th in the majors through May, 26th in the majors since then. Somewhere in the middle of that seems about right going forward.
  20. If the Cubs bad stretch is playing at an 85 win pace after playing at a 95 win pace leading up to that....that's a pretty good team?
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