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squally1313

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Everything posted by squally1313

  1. squally1313
    First class analysis right here. Explain how you practice this skill? And clearly it ages as Allen craig was a master one year and terrible at baseball the next, lending to the theory that maybe it's luck driven, but maybe you have it figured out? This is the same handwringing that went on last year with the "Cubs can't beat good pitchers crowd" and it's horsefeathering mind numbing Dude, just get your hits in a different order.
  2. squally1313
    What if every time we try to praise players (Sofa today with Willson, Duke with pretty much everyone else) they immediately turn to ass and it turns out Rondon Fan and all the other negative dorks last year were the key to our success and now this year We Got the Whole 9 is the key contributor?
  3. squally1313
    Well now that Willson can't walk it off there's no way we're winning this game.
  4. squally1313
    Why didn't Bryant hit the ball as well as zobrist did
  5. squally1313
    Lol at Javy not really sure what to do on a non-intentional walk.
  6. squally1313
    That's...not even close to a tag.
  7. squally1313
    I feel bad for this pitcher.
  8. squally1313
    Not ideal. Whatever, will make it that much sweeter.
  9. squally1313
    This game is in a firm third place in my Cubs-Casino-Breaking Bad rotation.
  10. squally1313
    Let him get through this inning, and then add a couple more on before we get to a Davis-less and probably CJ-less bullpen
  11. squally1313
    I was going to be all like "they didn't; they traded Frazier" then I realized how bad their roster really is They have some OK bats in Abreu, Garcia, and Cabrera, but that pitching makes the 2012-2014 Cubs look like the Braves of the 90's. I was at the Sox game last night with a few Sox fan friends, and we came to the conclusion that there isn't a single player on their roster we'd trade straight up for Javy Baez, who is like our 9th most valuable player. Edit: This was before the Moncada call up.
  12. squally1313
    The Braves are bad. We should win. We might not, but we should. This applies to most of the rest of the year.
  13. squally1313
    Eh....he's had a lot of short outings this year, but from 2014 until now he's 9th in baseball in innings pitched. We'll let Jake do the Harden impression, Quintana can just be a Lester clone.
  14. squally1313
    Fine, let's work this out. I'll assume you aren't dumb enough to think there are 60 starters better than him in baseball (even though mathematically that's what you are saying). How many pitchers is it? Per Fangraphs, in 2017, his underwhelming year, he's been the 18th best pitcher in baseball. 10th in 2016. 15th in 2015. Do you mean like, a good #3 on an All Star team?
  15. squally1313
    Jump in K rate and walk rate, both career highs, and a weird uptick in HR/FB with no corresponding change in batted ball profile (also has doubled his infield fly ball rate). The walk rate is concerning, but he's proven he can be a top 10 pitcher with a 7-8 K/9, and he's at 9.4/9 now. Focus on the strike zone a little more against weaker hitters with a better defense, hope the HR rate drops back down to his norms, and he should be just fine.
  16. squally1313
    SOMEONE TELL ME HOW I SHOULD FEEL
  17. squally1313
    Russell was #40. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/2017-trade-value-31-to-40/ And Schwarber was an honorable mention, though Cameron took a shot at him by putting his position of OF in quotes ("OF")
  18. squally1313
    The answer is 'this is why neither of Russell or Baez is getting traded', but if we go along with the hypothetical, odds are it would be someone currently outside the organization. There's a lot of reasons to not trade Russell, but 'we have to have a player of Baez' ability as our backup shortstop' has to be pretty far down the list. It was great last year when our pitching staff was shutting everyone down and then we also had the ability to plug in a 3 WAR 23 year old top prospect all over the infield, but things have changed a little bit since then. If Baez or Russell lets us go from Lackey (or Butler) to a quality starter, I'm going to be worried about the trade...whether we got damaged goods, picked up a rental, gave up a future stud, etc. Not so much about letting Happ take over the util role and having to trade a lottery ticket pitcher for Jose Iglesias or whatever.
  19. squally1313
    Their fanbase would eat them alive, although Baez probably looked pretty amazing to them in the NLDS. Yeah the PR is probably one of the main issues, but 34-56 is 34-56, especially in what looks to be a ridiculously competitive division going forward. Even with Lester looking more mortal lately, having those two at the top of the rotation this year and through 2019 would be pretty intimidating, and wouldn't break the bank at all. Edit: And part of me wonders if his reputation among the fanbase took a hit when he put himself out for 2 disastrous months with an avoidable injury.
  20. squally1313
    I'm sure this name has been brought up and dismissed but....any chance the Giants make Bumgarner available? He'd cost a ton, but two more cheap years after this, and the pieces we seem open to trading (Schwarber, Happ, Baez) allows them to frame it as more of a retool than a rebuild.
  21. squally1313
    To get meatbally for a second, his body language is pretty piss poor for someone is in theory the most respected veteran on the team.
  22. squally1313
    In 2016 the team fly ball rate was 36.2% and right now it's 36%, but, yes, they have sold out to hit only fly balls this year. This is definitely a factual statement.
  23. squally1313
    I believe in luck and BABIP etc but when you see it fail you day in and day out you start to question it even though you shouldn't I mean, we have the fourth lowest BABIP against so far this year. And that's with being a pretty heavy groundball team (5th in the majors). I know it's a regression from best of all time, but we're still turning a lot of balls in play into outs. Offensive BAPIP is a different story, obviously.
  24. squally1313
    Lackey* Schwarber* Russell*
  25. squally1313
    Yeah I hate this relatively new concept of "Pitch framing" or "Disceiving Umps" or "Stealing Strikes" -- whatever you want to call it. It's dumb and makes fans angry when it happens against your favorite team. Some fans actually like this and claim it's part of the "human element" of the game, but again that's a dumb argument. You wouldn't argue for a system like that in society where you can fool a cop or judge some of the time. Get a horsefeathering Automated Strike Zone and I don't really care what technology you use if it's accurate and reliable. It's going to be better than human Umps, will reduce the game length because managers and players will complain less about the strike zone, and will benefit players (like Rizzo and Zobrist) who know their strike zones really well. Oh, and the last thing is we won't have arguments about acquiring crappy backup catchers and debating whether they're good at "pitch framing" or not. I agree with 99% of this, but anecdotally I feel like Rizzo probably gets favorable calls more than most other players given that his hands start about an inch from the defined strike zone.
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