squally1313

Maybe someone can do the same with Javy and his K rate.

I remember the standard shorthand for determining BAPIP used to be 1.2 x LD%, no? Yeah Bryant kills the ball, but when a lot of those hard hit balls (not sure on the requirements for that....exit velocity?) are ending up in the seats or caught at the warning track, it doesn't seem like that would lead to high BAPIP. I'm hoping Bryant can keep up the BAPIP too, but his batted ball profile (high FB%, relatively low LD%...below Castro's career average by about 6%) wouldn't seem to lend itself to that. Maybe he's making up for it with his baserunning skills, and ZIPS obviously thinks it is for real, but from a quick glance I would think it's due for some regression (which would then be cancelled out by a more appropriate HR/FB%).

Yeah he's just going to be like this. Maybe without the huge swings like last month, but his average is always going to fluctuate more than other players because he puts so many less balls in play. He had an absolutely brutal month, and he's still on pace for over 5 WAR his rookie season while having the same HR/FB% as Cameron Maybin (translation: incoming dongs). This is more than we could have expected.

Yeah absolutely. I think everyone knew he was a pretty terrible individual before last week. A lot of athletes are, and he was probably one of the worst, but everyone knew and, for lack of a better term, put up with it. I just don't know if I would go so far as to say that everyone would have gone on record as to be like 'yeah, he's probably going to rape someone at some point in his life' before all this came out. So to use that as something that should impact one's thoughts on what happened seems a bit of a stretch. The actual facts that we have are bad enough. Hey, I look at it along the lines of how the leagues have all seen escalating pressure to deal with things like DUI's and domestic violence. How many of those instances do you look at and think, "oh yeah, that's probably the only time they did that?" Sure, but that gets into the bigger question of how much fans are willing to put up with and/or be willingly ignorant of in order to enjoy sports. A vast majority of athletes are bad people. It'd be tough for me to be able to watch sports if I thought most of the people I'm watching have done something terrible in the past (and that's before concussions and everything else). Again....pretty depressing.

Yeah absolutely. I think everyone knew he was a pretty terrible individual before last week. A lot of athletes are, and he was probably one of the worst, but everyone knew and, for lack of a better term, put up with it. I just don't know if I would go so far as to say that everyone would have gone on record as to be like 'yeah, he's probably going to rape someone at some point in his life' before all this came out. So to use that as something that should impact one's thoughts on what happened seems a bit of a stretch. The actual facts that we have are bad enough.

You probably should just go ahead and admit defeat on that one. Based on all of the verified accounts of his "partying" over the years and life of entitlement, there's a FAR better chance that something happened than not. Still probably a pretty slim chance he faces a complete career-killing punishment over it due to his built-in advantages ($$$, fancy lawyers, the overall worldwide rape culture, likely lack of 100% damning evidence, etc...), but in everyone's heart of hearts, they know something shady happened and that it's probably closer to the worst case scenario than the best case scenario. I don't even want to be penciled in as just wanting to avoid a 'complete career-killing punishment'. I really hope he didn't do it because that means that a rape didn't happen. Yeah, he doesn't have the best reputation, but it seems overly simple to be like 'well, this was bound to happen eventually'. He's had this reputation for 8 years and has the cab driving thing (not a sexual crime), the Madison stories (doesn't look good), and a bunch of more or less rumors and 'friend of a friend' stories.

It's a really sad and depressing situation in general. For as long as I reasonably can, I'm just going to really, really hope he didn't do it. Not that he doesn't get charged, or doesn't get suspended, or the charges get dropped, or whatever....that he actually didn't do it. If you guys want to say he's a serial rapist who throws sex parties all the time, go for it.

Waitwhatnow? I missed this element of the story apparently. Just the idea that his family was making "guests" sign release forms and hand in cell phones. It could very well be male cousins or something but that's boring. Is that part of the story really that weird? (or are you just saying the fact that it was family doing it?) With cameraphones and all that stuff, I would probably do the same and I'd figure it's commonplace when celebrities throw parties. Hell normal people can't even go out with their friends these days and act drunk and stupid without having pictures or videos taken for all their other friends to laugh at Especially after all the fallout from his weekend in Madison a few years back (which was deserved, but still). I think going with 'sex bouncers' is pretty strong when it's much more likely that Kane is just a terrible drinker (and I mean this solely for this discussion, not about what happened last weekend).

It's been 107 years. That's an insanely long time. People are going to talk about it. Who cares.

Let's go boys. Dong time.

I think that's an arbitrary StubHub thing, there may be more to it but otherwise it's probably about their ability to guarantee delivery. Here's a link with some aggregated results: https://seatgeek.com/giants-at-cubs-tickets/8-7-2015-chicago-illinois-wrigley-field/mlb/2414124/ Yeah that makes sense. This looks good....thanks.

Might be a dumb question but does anyone know why all the Cubs tickets are yanked off Stubhub the day of the game? And as a follow up, does anyone know of something besides Craigslist to find tickets? Need to get two for today and I figure there has to be a better way than refreshing CL every 5 minutes.

In general, yes. Specifically for the press conference, I think was alright, given the reasons Banedon mentioned above.

Nice press conference.

From some HFboards poster Any chance you could post a better link? For whatever reason that hyperlink is including the "..." from when it got shortened. EDIT: Here it is: http://wgnradio.com/2015/08/06/kap-haugh-8615-jill-perkins-tim-graham-patrick-kane-update-from-buffalo/

Your entire posting history has me incredibly confused on why you would have any Cubs players on your team in the first place, since they apparently all suck. That field looks awesome, by the way.

What situation would you have where it is illegal, then legal, then illegal again? Agreed, if anything it would only be the opposite.

I assumed that was what you were talking about and can only laugh at the notion that people calling for strict qualifications is somehow insane. When did I say it was insane? You said "insanely strict gun laws" and then lumped restrictions on ownership into that group. And nobody is talking about total gun recall except for those working on behalf of gun companies to convince idiots to buy more guns before it becomes illegal and unavailable. Alright since you're a big fan of snipping apparently, I'll state my personal viewpoint so I don't look like a total monster. I have never owned a gun and I don't really see a reason why anyone does. If you want to take one word of what I said, miss the actual point, and completely change the discussion, sure. If a group of terrible people (rapists, murderers) cause things to get incrementally worse for the majority (normal sex havers, responsible gun owners), that is almost always good for society in general. But (on a less important scale) it does mean that things get worse for those normal people.

I assumed that was what you were talking about and can only laugh at the notion that people calling for strict qualifications is somehow insane. When did I say it was insane? If there were a total recall on guns, it'd be bad for those responsible gun owners, and good for society as a whole. If we reach a point in society when every rape victim is comfortable to step forward and go after their rapist, I think it's fair to say that there would be instances of false accusation. Sucks for that person, good for society as a whole.

I'm also not sure where these insanely strict gun laws are. Seems to me it's easier than ever to be a complete [expletive] white person and walk around town with assault weapons with no repercussions. I meant the gun laws that people are calling for, not the ones that are enacted. Well, most gun nuts think any gun law is insane so I'm still not sure what you are talking about. I might have said it wrong. I was talking about the other group of people (to simplify, the 'non-gun owners') who, every time there's a mass shooting, take the position of "Look, we know most of you (the gun-owners) are responsible and sane people. But this has happened too many times, and these idiot shooters have ruined it for the rest of you." and call for regulations in the range of very strict qualifications for ownership to total gun recall.

I'm also not sure where these insanely strict gun laws are. Seems to me it's easier than ever to be a complete [expletive] white person and walk around town with assault weapons with no repercussions. I meant the gun laws that people are calling for, not the ones that are enacted. But the original post is true. I wholeheartedly support our society developing in any way that discourages any sort of sexual assault. Every time I've said this it's been from his perspective, not from my viewpoint on how we should handle sexual assault. If he raped her, he belongs in prison and I don't want him in any jersey ever again. If he didn't rape her, he will forever have this attached to his name. If that is the price to pay to encourage women to report rapes and to discourage men from committing rape, it was entirely worth it for the benefit of our society. For him (and just him), it's less than ideal.

I snipped it for effect, not because I thought it was all you care about. It was a very strange and completely inaccurate statement. I think most guys live their swinging singles time with the thought in the back of their head that one word from her could ruin your life. But it's mostly an unfounded fear. and at the same time most girls live their lives with the knowledge that there are a bunch of rapists out there that never get caught or punished. The laws are not tilted in favor of women when it comes to the crime of rape. Yeah you're right, I think I was misguided in what in what I was going for, and as Exile points out below, it is much more common that an actual rapist goes free. I think I was going more for your point when I was talking about 'rape law'. It's similar (or at least I hope I'm right in thinking this way) to those people who are calling for insanely strict anti-gun laws, not because they're against guns in general, but because enough people went out and ruined it for everyone else. I think with rape, it's become (with good reason, thanks for the actual rapists) very easy for a woman to make a rape accusation and at the very least attach a stigma to that person for the rest of their life. With other crimes, there are consequences for false accusations. Given the nature of rape crimes and the fact that they are hard to definitively prove one way or another once sexual contact is established, that's not the case here. Not saying I disagree with the standards, but as I said in my original post, from his perspective he's in a tough spot (again, totally secondary to her well-being).

http://25.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_m1ddf7RjFi1qc3759o1_250.gif Yeah you're totally right, I didn't phrase that right, or at least that's far from the main issue. And I'll stop after this, as I'm guessing even this will get criticized, but if this case is with a girl he met at the bar, that means all that really needs to be proven is A. she was drinking (and therefore unable to give consent), and B. they had sex. While, again, the overwhelming priority is to ensure the well-being of the victim, I just always found it a little...tough that if they were both drinking (and both unable to give consent) it still falls out the way it does. I think you are misinformed. That's not really "all it takes". I think that is the theoretical message you might want to get across to your son if you are trying to reinforce to the stupid little [expletive] how important it is to not rape, but in the real world it takes a whole hell of a lot more than just proving there was sex and she had a drink. Yes, it's not that simple. While I still think it's fair (if not PC) to say that if it came down to a he said/she said, 'he' isn't going to like his chances, I understand that being the guy on that side of this argument isn't the best position to take, especially in a thread where you snipped off the rest of my post so it looks like this is all I care about. If it was rape, I feel terrible for the girl and he should never step foot on the ice again.

http://25.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_m1ddf7RjFi1qc3759o1_250.gif Yeah you're totally right, I didn't phrase that right, or at least that's far from the main issue. And I'll stop after this, as I'm guessing even this will get criticized, but if this case is with a girl he met at the bar, that means all that really needs to be proven is A. she was drinking (and therefore unable to give consent), and B. they had sex. While, again, the overwhelming priority is to ensure the well-being of the victim, I just always found it a little...tough that if they were both drinking (and both unable to give consent) it still falls out the way it does.

A rape kit is pretty incriminating It can certainly confirm they had sex. Depending on the circumstances of the sexual encounter it may not be conclusive enough to prove rape. We're likely dealing with an acquaintance rape where alcohol was involved. If it wasn't a very physical and forcible rape, you are in a he said she said without other evidence or reliable third reliable witness. Yeah that's going to be the tough part for all of us. If she's willing to submit to a rape test, it makes it very likely that something sexual happened. But we'll likely never know what actually happened. While the overwhelming priority should be and is making sure the truth is reached and the girl is ok, from Kane's perspective, he's in trouble given his reputation and the fact that rape laws are set up to be tilted against the guy in any given situation.