squally1313
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Everything posted by squally1313
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Is Cade Horton the best pitcher in the national league, my column
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The three run home run and laser home against the brewers was like 2 weeks ago
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This should be Dillon Maples, for what it's worth
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We don't stand for Marmol slander around these parts
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Alcantara is less of a step down than some of the options we've had in the past, which might have been the thinking behind his promotion. Give PCA a few days. I think PCA's problems and Tucker's problems are pretty apples to oranges though. Others have talked about it far more extensively/smartly, but maybe just putting PCA down in bottom of the order and taking anything beyond elite defense and baserunning as a bonus for the rest of this year.
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Doesn't like striking out guys, so let's hope our guys decide to hit their deep fly balls to the alleys and not the corners.
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Assume they wanted a full slate for Labor Day, and had heard the brewers were going through a bit of a death march, assuming there was some union rule about number of games in a row without a day off that necessitated the Tuesday day off v Thursday.
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80 wins on September 2
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Dansby maybe has a slightly better chance to throw him out but if you’re Nico you absolutely keep the ball in the infield if you can.
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If I’m remembering it right, the weird slide was in the first, pre home run, so it obviously isn’t an immediately dire situation. For whatever reason it apparently takes injuries a couple hours/weeks to set in.
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Well either counsell has seriously committed to this whole ‘the rest of the season doesn’t matter, keep everyone fresh’ and we’re going to see unprecedented levels of playing out the string. or there’s something wrong with Tucker, which would be very, very bad
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Alright Rolddy Munoz isn’t a real person
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Soroka back in the mid 90s in a BP session today.
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To put a more general point on it, it’s really hard to be top pitcher with a 7.21 K/9. Edit: it’s even harder when you’re a fly ball pitcher
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I mean, we can probably rely on Dansby to make good plays but he’s gotten bailed out a couple times already. Can’t get BABIPed on strikeouts.
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Can also throw ‘2 strikeouts in 4 innings’ in the ‘things I don’t like’ category
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Think the actual problem here is going to be the pitching
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Tucker oppo off a lefty huh
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I mean, I guess if I'm feeling generous to the Ian Happ haters, not sure why, he's had 1100 more PAs than any other player in a Cub uniform from 2018 through today, during which time they've won exactly zero playoff games. Over his career, which is basically that stretch plus 2017, he's hit in the 3 spot in the lineup more than anywhere else. It's not exactly logical (some would say dumb) to be mad at Ian Happ for the organization not putting better hitters in the lineup for what is coming up on an 8 year stretch. Ian Happ, as a 20 fWAR guy over essentially 7.5-8 seasons is plenty valuable, he's made like $85m in his career so he's not overpaid, etc. But he probably shouldn't be the best player in your offense over that type of stretch, and he has been (Hoerner actually just passed him in total fWAR from 2018 on, in significantly fewer games, because Nico Hoerner rocks, but that's obviously heavily defensively driven). Basically, people are probably right to be frustrated with the total team output since Happ has been here, and Happ is overwhelmingly the guy they're likely to have seen while watching said frustrating team.
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He had like a .200 BABIP for June and July. The Cubs have the fourth best record in baseball and are a mathematical certainty to make the playoffs. Ian Happ playing like 2002 Barry Bonds for two months wasn't going to make up the gap between them and the Brewers. The nice thing about this process vs results thing is that, yes, his results individually weren't up to his standard, but the team results were, on the whole, fine. The data says his statistics going forward should be better than his results thus far, which is encouraging because September/October baseball is certainly a results driven thing.
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xwOBA is designed to be a predictive statistic, why are you consistently so dense about this
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To avoid some dumb semantic thing because you keep phrasing it that way, no one is claiming that Ian Happ has had bad luck every single day for 5 months. The BABIP swings, to use a maybe simpler example, show that (.311, .348, .200, .196, .303 per month). They're claiming that on the whole his results have not been as good as you would expect based on a vast sample size of hitters who have hit the ball (and struck out, and walked, etc etc) like he has this year. The results are the results, no one is saying they should like, award him extra batting average points or something. But there's really nothing in the overall data set that says he's lost a step as a hitter, and we should expect diminished production going forward.
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Do you understand that I was calling you out for doing the exact same thing you accuse me of doing all the time? Or are we, in your mind, allowed to laugh at people using advanced statistics but not at people doing meatball takes.
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I'm going to laugh at someone's post, write opinion statements but make them sound like facts, and then say that I don't want to talk about it any further. Solid contributions.
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Awful team manages to win a baseball game
