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squally1313

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Everything posted by squally1313

  1. squally1313
    Using FG, we're at a $220m payroll right now. They have us at $136m for next year for everyone who is signed or guaranteed for next year. Add another $15m for Shota and it's $151m. I'm not sure how they're doing arbitration estimates, but it's basically just Steele and I can't imagine he's going to be much more or different than the $6.5m he's making this year. That covers Swanson/Happ/Suzuki/Hoerner/Kelly/Amaya/Busch/PCA/Shaw on the offensive side, and then Taillon/Boyd/Shota/Steele/Assad/Palencia/Horton on the pitching side. That's 8 offensive starters, a backup catcher, 3.5 starters, a long reliever, and a closer. Call it $30m for the pen. That's still $40m lower than where we are right now, and that's before all this talk about trading one or multiple of the expiring, 8 digit contracts because we have in house replacements ready. What are we spending money on?
  2. squally1313
    Man I'm very happy for all of our sakes that we clinched last week, but the Reds tying their game up in the bottom of the ninth, essentially playing for their playoff lives, is pretty awesome
  3. squally1313
    They better do something really good with Suzuki then.
  4. squally1313
  5. squally1313
    Based on a twitter account that posts pictures of players arriving, Tucker and Caissie are both in the building tonight.
  6. squally1313
  7. squally1313
    Palencia back, Tucker maybe back Friday (per counsell)
  8. squally1313
    That's what I'm talking about though. The pitching gave up 11 hits, 2 walks, and 3 HRs. That's not good! Now, granted, I don't really think it's indicative of what we expect to be seeing next week. Horton either goes longer or they turn to Taillon in that situation. But, while the Dansby error was bad, he didn't give up the home run. Or the home run in the 8th. Or the three runs before that. In September, the offense has been 11th in wRC, 9th in overall production, bolstered by the second best defensive rating in the league. We're 17th in pitching fWAR, 5th in ERA but 16th in FIP. Second best BABIP against in the league. If you look beyond one play, the pitching has been average at best, and the defense has been consistently excellent. We don't have any elite arms (the Mets have Edwin Diaz to get 6 outs. We used Caleb Thielbar), and we don't have enough reliable arms. The time has come and gone to overpay for them. But we should have.
  9. squally1313
    I mean, we'll never know, right? The Cubs needed starting pitching more than probably any other contending team and the Cubs also had between pure prospect talent and the extent to which MLB spots are blocked through next year, the most trading capital to use. We've got Shota who has taken a step back pretty much since the jump of this season, a maybe unlucky but maybe struggling/overworked Boyd, a rookie blowing past any career high in innings, who may or may not be healthy, and Jameson Taillon and his 4.71 FIP. Yes this is short term thinking and with the benefit of hindsight, but we knew we were a playoff team, and these chances don't come around too often. Dumb prediction here, but if I had to guess we're going to see a game like last night where the offense does more than enough but the pitching gives it away and then everyone blames like....Dansby or Happ for striking out with guys on in the 7th or something before losing 10-8.
  10. squally1313
    The decision to not upgrade the rotation looks better and better every day
  11. squally1313
    Guardians/Tigers was nuts last night. The inning Skubal imploded reminded me of that 2017 Game 5 against the Nats, just went back and watched those highlights....truly the dumbest game ever.
  12. squally1313
    lol, man
  13. squally1313
    Me in August: There's no way these game threads can get any worse Matt Shaw: Hold my beer garbage belief system and sense of priorities.
  14. squally1313
    All three in one park, one way or another.
  15. squally1313
    Nico and Happ carrying this offense all month isn't great in the 'the playoffs are next week' sense, but it is cool to see the two longest tenured members of the team playing this well going into their first real playoff series in a long time/ever.
  16. squally1313
    Even setting aside this tie game, there's 5 games left. 5 days ago we had just completed a road sweep and had won 7 of 8. Momentum changes in a hurry.
  17. squally1313
    I don't know how to phrase the opposite of this, but Counsell famously doesn't chase wins, he has a good grasp of winning probability and won't waste top arms trying to mount comebacks. A 6-1 game had us at roughly 90% to win, knowing he wanted to limit Horton's pitches and trying to avoid an injury, recurring blister, etc. he might have figured it was the right gamble to take it home with the pen. Obviously it maybe didn't work (game is far from over). Or he's hurt and we're screwed.
  18. squally1313
    Again, the venn diagram of 'people who use the smallest horsefeathers mistake or slump to trash them and the team in general' and 'people who bend over backwards to defend a guy who missed two September baseball games to attend a stadium funeral/rally' is a circle. Like, setting aside the Charlie Kirk-ness of it all, the idea that the 25 other players on the team didn't have a single death more meaningful occur in their lives over the last six months is laughable, and I don't remember anyone missing multiple games for this type of thing. It's an insane overreaction and should be criticized accordingly, especially by the people who criticize horsefeathers everything else.
  19. squally1313
    They should have sent like 15 guys to go mourn Charlie Kirk for two weeks maybe
  20. squally1313
    No he shouldn’t start over Suzuki.
  21. squally1313
    I think the plan is the former, and the almost-worst case scenario* plan where Sunday matters is the latter. *Worst case scenario is by the time we get to Sunday we've already lost HFA
  22. squally1313
    You're not breaking horsefeathers dude, we're all very aware, it doesn't mean it doesn't suck. All these horsefeathers meatheads who scream about how pathetic these guys are because they have to gall to hit an occasional popup are all also weirdly fine with the starting third baseman missing two separate September baseball games over this. Weird.
  23. squally1313
    This series starts tomorrow, for anyone else who might be confused.
  24. squally1313
    In the last 18 games, the cubs are second in runs allowed with 65. The Guardians are first…with 28. Just outrageous baseball being played there.
  25. squally1313
    This should have been taillon going today but they’re pushing everyone back to give them additional rest, even though they have Monday (and next Monday) off, which should tell you how much the team cares about these games. And that’s before considering the opponent playing for their playoff lives every night. it’s fine.
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