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squally1313

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Everything posted by squally1313

  1. Bloop single to left that got away, PCA took second and was called out on the tag but Cubs are challenging and replay is pretty clear he got his other hand in first and held the bag, so should be overturned.
  2. Happ Hoerner Tucker Suzuki Busch Swanson/Shaw PCA Kelly Swanson/Shaw
  3. If the Cubs were 80% favorites to win every individual game of the series, which would be very extreme, the percentage chance of them sweeping the series is 51%. They 'can'. They probably won't.
  4. I get it, taking that approach certainly makes the rest of the season a lot more low stress. Would basically have to forfeit the season to miss the playoffs, whereas HFA in round one looks to be a bit of a dogfight. Might take your route and just decide not to care as much. Football is starting, weather is perfect, I'll just pop in occasionally and annoy people with talking about how the good team is good and wait until October.
  5. I sorta get your points, but every single team referenced, including the Cubs perform significantly better at home. Dodgers are .500 on the road, Padres are under .500. Should we run our starters ragged trying to lock it down? Probably not. But I'd much rather have it than not.
  6. Since July 3rd (now with all of them so I can just reuse this the next time someone makes a dumb argument) Ian Happ is fine. Seiya Suzuki is fine. Kyle Tucker got pretty screwed up there for a little while, but is probably fine. (don't ask why I didn't include PCA there, you don't really want to know what that one looked like)
  7. The playoffs are such a crapshoot, especially being stuck in the first round because the Brewers went historically nuclear. We finish the season with a win total in the low 90s, it's hard for me to look at the season as a whole and then it was disappointing. Of course if/when they lose in the playoffs it'll be depressing, but there shouldn't be like, lessons taken from a defeat in a three game series after playing really good baseball over a six month stretch.
  8. Tough week for the ‘this is a historic collapse’ crowd
  9. Do you think there’s any correlation between the shielding and the production
  10. Does Cade Horton give off ‘rookie year Chet Steadman’ vibes, or did I take too much of this edible
  11. They’ll just move on to the next guy to horsefeathers talk.
  12. (Reverse jinx attempt) Hortons September arm injury is going to be, by far, the most devastating part of the season
  13. Look how good Matt Shaw has been (in the second half) (getting starts against optimal pitchers). What if we put him in less advantageous situations? Surely the fan base wouldn’t turn on a guy for performing worse than previous output
  14. Cubs win, Tucker and PCA dongs, seiya with multiple top and exit velocities. Good night for the squad.
  15. Eh, I mean, it’s Ohtani and trea Turner ahead of him and Turner has two separate months in 700 range of OPS. Ohtani is elite offensively but hasn’t done much pitching wise and is otherwise a DH. There’s not some runaway case. I agree it’s probably a long shot but PCA on a hot streak the rest of the year (and the cubs finishing with a better/even record to LAD/philly) gives him a legit shot.
  16. The PCA situation is weird because like, he should keep playing, obviously the potential is there but the floor with his defense and baserunning is so high. But he should probably just be the 8th or 9th hitter, and maybe long term he’s just. 7th hitter, but he did so horsefeathers good in the first half that he’s still third in the NL for offensive fWAR and has a still somewhat legitimate shot at MVP, and it feels like either giving him a breather or dropping him to the bottom of the order would take him out of those conversations immediately.
  17. Adding a fairly obvious comment that Kyle Tucker is in no way responsible for the players that were traded for him, so having that be a factor for all the vitriol he's been getting makes less than zero sense.
  18. Yeah believe their expected stats are driven predominantly by exit velocity, launch angle, and then occasionally sprint speed, so takes the park factor out of it completely.
  19. Assuming I did this right on Savant, here's what I have for Suzuki since 7/15 (which is essentially the ASB). Short answer: it looks really good.
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