squally1313
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Everything posted by squally1313
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While we're here and doing the things we're doing, just take Peralta off their hands. Luke Weaver too, why not.
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Dansby is weird to me in ways that smarter people could probably explain pretty easily. In 2025 the metrics loved his under the hood offensive data (.310 wOBA v .345 xwOBA), but his walk and K rates were both a tick below career averages, so clearly it was batted ball data driven. Additionally, his defense took a bit of a dive, which all added up to a good 3.3 fWAR but a step back from the 4.8 and 4.2 he had put up the year before. This year, Dansby is running a career high walk rate (comfortably, he'd only been in double digits twice before and his high was 10.7%, he's currently at 12.5%), and his K rate is the lowest it's been since 2019. But the metrics just despise him. He's running a .227 BABIP and somehow his xwOBA is .292, 13 points behind his wOBA, and his xBA is actually lower (.201) than his actual BA .202. The defense had come back, though that's more of a black box to me and I'm always a little suspicious by how much it's driven by just cumulative routine reps vs actual differences in performance. But I was worried he was slipping into Omar Vizquel/Ozzie Smith mode. A week doesn't fix 70 games of offensive ineptitude, but it's nice to see the power is still there and the athleticism (both defensively and on the basepaths) hasn't seemed to slip just yet.
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Cubs trade for LHP David Peterson for MiLB player Cole Mathis
squally1313 replied to Jason Ross's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Prospect hugging because of team control is dumb. Where will we ever find a slightly above average hitter that can’t play a position and is miles away from the big leagues. -
Cubs trade for LHP David Peterson for MiLB player Cole Mathis
squally1313 replied to Jason Ross's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
(does 30 seconds of research on the high level numbers of his fangraphs page) This is our best healthy pitcher -
I probably just missed it, but kinda surprised I haven't seen any calls for Addison Russell given the long stretches of struggles for Dansby and Nico. Though then again, the population that is sympathetic towards Bauer are usually less sympathetic, for whatever reason, to guys like Russell.
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87 win pace
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and you guys wanted to bench the team leader in RBIs
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jesus dansby
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Not the place for this, but man the (already annoying) ad along the bottom of the screen doubling/tripling in size when you’re typing a response or trying to click on the little notification pop up is about the worst thing ever
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Look if you just wanted to have some pie in the sky hypothetical conversation, great. I’ll take Paul Skenes. Maybe their next best young pitcher too. More control, cheaper, aces play up on the playoffs, clearly my option is better than yours but that seems like a weird conversation to have because obviously he’s not available. He’s a stud with years of team control. it’s like that moneyball scene. Is there another giambi, if there was could we afford him, then what the horsefeathers are we talking about
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Dude you’ve, over and over again, stepped into conversations where other people were talking about needing pitching and naming reasonable options to be like ‘no we actually need hitters, middle of the order bats are gods, etc etc etc’ and after all that it turns out you just meant completely unobtainable hall of famers? What an enormous waste of time.
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I mean, what are we even doing here. ‘Here’s a bunch of pitchers that have widely been discussed as being available’ ‘no, that’s wrong, I would prefer the best hitter in baseball with 2.5 years left on his contract’ like, fine, actually you’re wrong and we should try to trade for Bobby Witt? Or actually Ohtani solves both problems. What is possibly the point of you coming in here with this every single time it comes up
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ok well that’s done, what do you want to do now
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To muls earlier point, where is this hitter going? There’s no weak spot in the lineup that isn’t producing either defensively, offensively, or both. At best you’d be looking at what, bumping Shaw back to the first bench guy and replacing him with Alvarez? Is going from league average hitter to elite hitter really that much bigger of a gap than going from a bad pitcher to even just a league average one, even before you consider the gulf in talent that it would take to get Alvarez vs a competent #3 starter? im not sure what you’re looking at on these 5 starters coming back in the next two months. I’m hoping Boyd hits the ground running. Taillon was cooked before he got hurt. Browns next ruined his season last year. We”ll be lucky to see a single pitch from Cabrera or Steele the rest of the year. We need so many arms, and we need one good one this year if we’re going to give this (very good) offense a shot.
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I mean, he's absolutely not a 150 wRC hitter. There's like 3-5 of those guys and having a double digit walk rate is pretty much a pre-requisite and something he's never shown before. It's fine, we can be perfectly happy with a 7-8ish fWAR guy, but he's probably not going to keep up his 10 win pace. But Dansby is much better than the hitter he's been, ditto for Nico. Happ, Suzuki, Busch have been about what they've always been. Add all that up, and you get the results you've gotten....essentially elite offensive production with the best defense in baseball.
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I mean, did you see Dansby and Nico as being permanently broken? Players get hot, players got cold, water eventually finds its level (career performance along a gradual age curve)
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Cubs now have the third highest wOBA, 5th highest xwOBA, 3rd best wRC. 13th in baserunning, (comfortably) first in defense. Coincidentally, the venn diagram of 'people who complain about the lack of power' and 'people who worship the milwaukee brewers' is basically one circle, so it's interesting to note that the Brewers have all of 68 home runs this year, 28th in baseball and 27 less than the Cubs.
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2.0 fWAR for Dansby in the 79th game of the year
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lolllllllllllllllll
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there was one floating around yesterday showing something like 'wasted money' which didn't do projected war but at least weighed it for amount of salary sitting on the IL. though i guess, and this is a response to my post too....it's not like the training staff does (or should) only focus on the good players. the hitters have stayed very healthy, the pitching staff (and the few good pitchers especially) have exploded. i'll maintain that there's somethings that can be done as an organization to help (avoid certain mechanics, teach away from certain mechanics, high stress pitching controls, etc) and that it's not just rolling a 1,000 side die on every pitch and hoping it doesn't come up with 'injury'. but it's mostly just bad luck. also, as bad as it looks at this particular moment, we're on an 85 win pace and need to restock pitching going forward anyways. get pitching for this year, get pitching for next year, just get some horsefeathers pitching
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I'll buy the metrics but also if anyone can point to an example of a team missing 80% of its opening day rotation, would love to see it. let's not miss the forest for the trees, this was a bad staff at the beginning of the year, and it's absolutely awful at the moment. anyways, there's an actual game going on, hoerner/ramirez/amaya wasted a happ leadoff double, assad getting wild in the second inning.
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Pete could give himself the best Cubs season of the decade besides 2025 Pete today.
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Can we trade for Peralta and bring him to Milwaukee with us
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Player A: .247/.334/.467 Player B: .228/.335/.463 One of these players signed a 5 year, $155m deal to be a first baseman/DH. The other is an outfielder making $20m who frustrates fans with his offensive output so much that they want no part of him next year and have occasionally called to get rid of him before then. They're the same age.
