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squally1313

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Everything posted by squally1313

  1. squally1313
    'Being an X away' is a false narrative that justifies never making a long term for short term trade. What team isn't currently a championship contender but all of a sudden would be with the best pitcher in baseball? The Cubs are on an 87 win pace with the third best offense in baseball and 25th best pitching staff (per FG). If that's not a profile that screams 'get an elite starting pitcher for the stretch run' what is?
  2. squally1313
    He's not coming with an extension. That's why you could get him for, theoretically, a a guy with a sub-300 OBP and sub-400 SLG in 541 PAs who is blocked in the infield for the next 4 years. Getting the arguably best pitcher in baseball for 8-12 costs you that. Getting him for 1.5 years would be Shaw plus our next three prospects.
  3. squally1313
    I think they need a body now, basically figure out a way to clone Colin Rea. But I still want an upgrade in talent. Edward Cabrera throws real fast, but he's also 88th in FIP for pitchers with over 40 innings this year. That's a bad third pitcher by league average metrics. Yes, Boyd, Imanaga, and Brown are all better (though Shota has his own problems)....but are we really going to look in the mirror in July and say we're good with, best case scenario, our postseason rotation being Boyd and Shota (again) and then the guy who will almost assuredly be way past his career innings? My general philosophy towards things is actually probably that we should do that. That this team is good enough to make the playoffs, and it's a crapshoot from there, and the best pitcher in the world probably doesn't move our chances enough to justify the wins down the road. Statistically, make the playoffs every year with this high floor approach, play as many hands as you can. But also, I'm impatient and I like rooting for awesome players and winning now is cooler than winning down the road (and we should find/pay for/produce good replacement players later anyways). Go do something stupid.
  4. squally1313
    It's not just that we don't have a lockdown pen though, it's that the rest of our starters have the same problems Rea does. Shota is fine when he's on, Brown isn't someone you want to stretch, and Taillon and Wicks are worse than Rea. You can't limit 4 or 5 starters to 18 PAs over any sort of extended period, especially when whatever length we had in the bullpen is now in the rotation (or working up to be). We need 2 starters, maybe more. The ones available are available for a reason, the good ones aren't out there yet, and there's going to need to be a decision made on whether you want to overpay for them (my vote), or hope you get really, really lucky with Boyd/Wiggins/Steele somehow hitting full strength and staying there down the stretch.
  5. squally1313
    They need someone to take Jordan wicks spot and that’s currently their best option. But yeah. A month ago you have some combination of rea, brown, and Assad in the pen to give you multiple innings. Now you’re having to grind it out. There’s going to be a couple games coming up here when the pitching blows it. Because it’s baseball, because everyone is hurt, because the pitching staff wasn’t that good to begin with, because counsell made a wrong move. In my mind, it’s in that order of who/what to blame.
  6. squally1313
    Happ didn’t high five PCA when PCA ran by like a grinning idiot. Guess PCA must be on team Bregman in the burgeoning locker room fracture.
  7. squally1313
    A lot of that was just increased days off too. That and, unpopular opinion maybe, games in may just aren’t must win. but also, you aren’t really going to convince me that a pitching well (for his talent level) Colin Rea is some significantly worse option than…Ryan Rolison or whoever is doing there now. Maybe a little bit? But if you try to coax one more out of Colin Rea, you save an arm for another day. If you go to the pen, no matter what the outcome, you’re likely down that arm. That matters.
  8. squally1313
    If this is specifically a game 7 reference…that decision didn’t work? Our (overworked as hell) closer blew the game. I agree with ‘maybe we should get more pitchers’ Been saying that for about 8 months now. But The Guy That Counsell Didn’t Put In (wholly hypothetical) has a 0.00 ERA in your head and never gets tired. We had to go back to back with thielbar and now we have Tyler (Trent?) (Travis?) Thornton. It’s complaining to complain, there aren’t good options here
  9. squally1313
    We don’t want our bad starters (at least four of the five currently) to see the lineup a third time. We don’t want maton to pitch ever. So we just want 7 bullpen guys (unless there are other bullpen guys on the cut/murder list I’m forgetting, the list goes up every day!) to cover 4+ innings 4 out of every 5 days. Should be fine!
  10. squally1313
    Colin Rea sucks. The bullpen pitchers also suck. There’s only so many of them and four of them pitched yesterday and we don’t get a day off before the next series. You need to try and steal innings when you can. anyways, the guy that should have been cut just erased all the damage from the terrible managing blunder
  11. squally1313
    A fun thing to do is to wait until pitchers give up runs, as they occasionally tend to do, and then come on here and be like ‘well I simply would have had someone else pitch that inning’
  12. squally1313
    Colin Rea with the most innings for the cubs since the beginning of last year, as we all predicted/wanted.
  13. squally1313
    This whole exchange is painfully pedantic man. Another team cut a bad player, we don't have to isolate and dissect every single consideration of 'should the Cubs sign him'. He got cut because he sucks at hitting, and complements that with a complete lack of defensive ability. The crux of your argument, in general terms, is, I believe, 'if the Cubs think a player is good they will find a place for him on the 26 man roster,' which, sure, insightful?
  14. squally1313
    The difference between our team and those teams is that we’ve won more games than we’ve lost, and they haven’t.
  15. squally1313
    Athletics giants Rockies giants Rockies after the cardinals series. Based on current records, after the cardinals we don’t play an over 500 team until 6/26 (in Milwaukee)
  16. squally1313
    Counsell presses the wrong button again
  17. squally1313
    I am so glad we didn’t murder him last week
  18. squally1313
    They won 92 games with a 4.5 win right fielder. If it’s World Series or bust, fine, then the people who complain about everything will be proven right 97% of the time. But it was very cool having those three playoff games at wrigley and winning the series and Tucker was absolutely a key part of that.
  19. squally1313
    They traded for a 4-5 win baseball player who put up 4.5 wins and we won home field advantage for the wild card by 2 games and then won that series and it was really cool. I know that stuff is in the past and therefore doesn’t matter or whatever, but we really need to stop fetishizing banking future wins at the expense of being good now. Bellinger at $25m vs Tucker (a better player) at $16m is maybe Matt Boyd in terms of the difference in salary.
  20. squally1313
    Feel like the one thing we’re missing this series, probably because he’s a bad hitter playing a premium offensive position, is some big Cam Smith moment so that people can complain about trading for the 4.5 fWAR guy last year again.
  21. squally1313
    I really think you need to conceptualize how bad today’s offenses are compared to the offenses the majority of us grew up with. for the overall season, we are the 4th or 5th best offense in baseball. I would assume ‘cubs offense in the games we lose’ would be roughly in line with ‘other teams offense in the games they lose’. The general opinion here seems to be ‘this was a historically amazing offense for a month, with the same players that were a top 5 offense last year, but actually it sucks’ which seems a little crazy to me.
  22. squally1313
    Lineup construction doesn’t matter but I would love to have someone explain PCA in the lead off spot
  23. squally1313
    The team that is the worst lineup in baseball an overwhelming majority of the time is 4th or 5th in wRC/wOBA this year, so those brief moments that aren’t the overwhelming majority, they must be the greatest offense in baseball/sports history
  24. squally1313
    Well the multiple 10 game winning streaks were really cool, hopefully you caught those, and showed that, when they time everything right, they’re capable of being one of the best teams in baseball. This is a really ****** stretch and there are some very obvious holes in the roster, both self inflicted and injury driven, but better to this in may than in October. since the beginning of last year they’re 121-93 (besides the .500 record in playoff games). Could be better, sure, could be a lot worse.
  25. squally1313
    Yay small ball
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