squally1313
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Everything posted by squally1313
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I'm close, but then I remembered that until a couple weeks ago I had Cobb penciled in. Now that we don't have to juggle a potential Yelich addition to the payroll, we can knock this one out.
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It is way different. But for years, it was a lot less likely that in order to get a guy for the bullpen, you had to give him a multi-year deal. I think now that you do, it makes sense to grab the guy you really like and hope you start your window in year 2 or 3 of his deal. In some cases, yes. But the White Sox picking up Avilan and Soria wasn't them slotting those two guys into their long term plans. They took on that salary, are going to throw them in a bunch of (most likely) low leverage innings for three or four months, and then try to flip them for prospects. It's essentially like taking on a bad contract to 'buy' prospects, just with a little delay/uncertainty built in.
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I feel like for years, it was common knowledge that if you were not going to be competitive, it didn't make any sense to spend money on bullpen talent. Now it's almost becoming the opposite. It's an interesting development.
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I just went back and watched the highlights from Cubs/Nats game 5 thinking maybe we had one good night, and jesus, what a disaster of a game that was. The biggest highlight was Davis K'ing Bryce to end it, but even that as this point doesn't do a whole lot with Davis off to Colorado and Harper a year away from taking over right field at Wrigley.
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Based on a RealGM site... Cleveland owns Brooklyn's 2018 first rounder, but that's probably going to be too good of a pick for someone like Niko. Nothing else really stands out.
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11.81 K/9, 5.06 BB/9, 7.59/2.65/3.36. Lights out?
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Anderson strikes me as an obvious piece that would be going back to Baltimore. Cheap, league average production that's locked up forever. He's definitely not moving Moncada off second base for the Sox. Orioles want pitching, though, and it's easy for the White Sox to offer that. I also wonder about Tim Anderson perhaps going to the OF. There's some flexibility there if they do make this move. Unless they think Anderson is a good enough athlete to play center, there's no way his bat holds up in the outfield. I guess you could keep him at short and tell Machado he's playing third, but that's not going to help them in the negotiations. It would take a lot more than Anderson to get Machado, but I think he's a valuable enough piece to save the Sox some prospect cost.
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I don’t think you let Tim Anderson’s bum ass get in the way of making a Machado trade/decision, but that’s just me. Anderson strikes me as an obvious piece that would be going back to Baltimore. Cheap, league average production that's locked up forever. He's definitely not moving Moncada off second base for the Sox.
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Unless you think Garcia can keep up that .392 BAPIP (21 points ahead of anyone else last year) despite being 53rd in Hard contact and 75th in Line Drive right, I think you'd basically be looking at Abreu, Machado, and hoping Moncada finds a way to lower that K rate quickly.
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Only way Kipnis makes sense is if we find a way to dump Zobrist (which would be an intriguing upgrade in my opinion), and I can't see that happening with a full trade clause.
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Short term fix instead of someone like cobb?
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Sign Cobb, make Chatwood the swing man. Gausman away from the hellhole of Baltimore could be really good.
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Cobb?
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I could see the Cubs accepting Russell or Baez for Hand, Manuel Margot and a prospect. Can't imagine the Padres agreeing to that. Margot only makes sense if you dump Happ, Almora, or Schwarber. Him and Almora appear to be pretty identical players, and not really something we need two of at this point.
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#otherplans but damn it would be fun for a year If I squint hard enough, I can see a situation where the Orioles start 2018 with him, promptly fall out of contention, and Machado makes it clear he's going to explore free agency after 2018, therefore becoming a rental. But even then, the Cubs would probably have to be in a situation where at least one of Russell/Baez/Bryant was injured.
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I get that it'd be inner-division, but the first one that came to mind was a package centered around Gleyber. Given that Machado only has one year left, I can't see the Cubs getting involved. The money needed to lock him down after 2018 is already earmarked elsewhere.
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The only way I can see equal value is by the Padres throwing in Gore, and the Cubs in their current position trading for an 18 year pitcher doesn't make much sense. That's for Baez or Russell at least. I guess I could see Happ for Hand + a top ten prospect or two.
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That is my biggest off-season fear. Morrow is going to go Justin Wilson on us. Little bit of apples to oranges...Wilson has thrown at least 58 innings each of the last five years, his effectiveness just disappeared down the stretch for us. There's no reason to believe Morrow won't be effective when healthy, but keeping him healthy is a huge question mark. If I had to bet on 2018 WAR/WPA between those two, I'd pick Wilson. Of course, if we're relying on either of them to get into October, we've got bigger issues. Right now we're projected to win the division by 7 games, and that's with Chatwood and Monty as the 4 and 5 starters, and Strop as our fourth best reliever. Obviously this is based on the more primitive projection systems at this point. To Maddux's point above, load up on relievers on relatively cheap/short term deals, see what ends up sticking early in the year rather than having to pay a huge premium come July to lock in your October bullpen.
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Yeah, Stanton, Theo and Ohtani end up in a hotel room and things get WILD. [bbvideo=560,315] [/bbvideo]
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Shohei Ohtani Signs with the Angels
squally1313 replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
You're good....should have been more specific than just 'travel time'. -
Shohei Ohtani Signs with the Angels
squally1313 replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/the-cubs-are-ohtanis-other-outlier-finalist/ Not sure if anyone has mentioned the travel time yet, but it comes up in this article. Seattle travels almost twice as many miles as the Cubs do in a given season. I'm sure Theo is aware of it. -
Schiano is a total scumbag, but I'm very excited to watch Clay Travis sweat as Tennessee progresses to worse and worse candidates.
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Should The Cubs "Punt" FA This Off-Season?
squally1313 replied to CubsWin's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Barring anything seriously unexpected, we're going to go into next year as overwhelming favorites to win the division, which makes me very hesitant to do anything drastic. Obviously the pitching is a concern going forward, but I don't see any real fixes in this offseason. If the right trade comes along, I trust Theo to take advantage. But I'd be totally fine going into next year with 'standard' replacements for Jake and Lackey, a couple bullpen pieces, and whoever we need to fill out the bench. -
Alright can someone fill me on what's going on? I'd like to think I know enough to catch a joke that got 11 stars, but apparently...
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I'm in, at least for now. Both of these teams are pretty entertaining.