squally1313
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Everything posted by squally1313
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2018/19 Blackhawks march to the lottery
squally1313 replied to jersey cubs fan's topic in Other Sports
Eh. it's a something for nothing trade, so sure. He really shouldn't be higher than a third pairing guy on a team that has any playoff aspirations, and right now he's probably on the second pairing (with Jokiharju, behind Keith/Murphy), neither of which inspires a ton of confidence. Seabrook remains the $8m elephant in the room. There were rumors of them trying to trade down to 10th in the draft just to dump his contract. -
as far as what other options are there, I'll take him. I refuse to watch any of Russell, Almora or Descalso in the box. At least CarGo may run into one. Debatable is he's a better option than Russell or, shockingly, Almora in that regard. Almora had that fun little power surge in May when he jumped on a few first pitch mistakes (.536 slugging, won't mention the OBP). Since then... June slash line: .196/.229/.217
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That last spot in the lineup is pretty much a no win situation at this point. Almora? Cargo? Russell? Descalso? Just be happy there's only one of them and they are at the bottom of the lineup.
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Give Brandon McCarthy Descalso's spot on the roster.
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6/22/19 Mets (Wheeler) @ Cubs (Q) - 1:20p - ABC7
squally1313 replied to Derwood's topic in Fred Hornkohl Game Thread Forum
Not really. To have the second highest payroll in baseball and with this collection of talent with the resources they have, I find 1-3 heading for 1-4 a big underachievement. Especially when you consider the tinkering that will need to be done with the staff very soon on top of all the contracts coming due '1-3 heading for 1-4' is such a nuanced, complex, wonderful take. -
Cubs in agreement with Craig Kimbrel 3/$43m with 4th year option
squally1313 replied to Banedon's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Counterpoint: There is a rush. -
No, I don't care if it worked. Pure incompetence
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Did this horsefeathers just intentionally walk someone to get to a much better hitter jesus horsefeathering christ
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Yeah I mean, that was just a groundball that got through, so hard to be too upset for today. But he's been terrible this year. I wonder if he's just starting to get fed up with his role here on the team. He's made it public he's wanted to be a starter for a couple years now, and really pitched like he deserved a rotation spot somewhere (if not here) for the last couple years. Then Chatwood falls apart, they bring in Hamels, resign Hamels, and then Chatwood takes his long relief job while he's recovering from an injury. Regardless, he is not, nor has he ever been, a LOOGY, so this approach needs to stop. And Kyle Ryan isn't the answer either.
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The .500 BA allowed against lefties for Monty this year definitely makes this a good move. Hurry up Craig.
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...AND THEN FOLLOW THAT UP WITH A PITCHER WHO PITCHES LIKE A horsefeathering HITTER (did I do that right)
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Well that worked out about as well as expected, given the Cubs involved.
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The NFL Blitz of pitchers.
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They've gotten away from that the last few times through the rotation. I think Contreras catching more than they wanted during the Taylor Davis era and then Caratini hitting well when he came back let them go closer to a 50/50 (or 60/40) split for a few weeks to give Contreras more down time mid season than a straight 80/20 split would. Plus, it's not like we heard of some strong connection between Caratini and Darvish.
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There’s no way this is a real guy
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Agreed, the offensive numbers would be fine if we were getting Jason Heyward, shut down outfielder. But his FG defensive metrics have taken a nose dive pretty much since he signed with us. 11.3 in his last year with the Cardinals, then 9.6, 2.8, 0.7, and this year at a -3.3. For comparison, Franmil Reyes, who looks to be about 275 pounds, is at a -2.8 playing full time in right field this year.
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Surely this cannot be true?!?! One more and he ties his high in a Cubs uniform! (weeps quietly)
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I feel like I'm the only one actually looking at Eloy's performances in pro ball right now rather than going with some generalization of. He's been that! At 20-22 the guy put up something like .335/.385/.570 with a 16% K rate and 26 HRs in 551 PAs between AA and AAA. That is incredible hitting! I read this situation as some Cubs fans over correcting for overrating Schwarber as a prospect The rest of the season ZIPs projections have him hitting 15 home runs in 288 PAs, with a .281/.332/.517 slash line. That slugging would be 41st in baseball, 20th in terms of 2018 results. Do you agree with those numbers as a fair assessment for his abilities? Because that plays out, with his defense, as 1 WAR for those 288 PAs, which gives you about 2.5ish WAR over a full season. And that might be aggressive, given his injury history.
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And it’s not wrong to think that way, because it’s mostly true and probable Also, have you spent any time reading this board lately? Because if you have, you'll know that we're terrible and a fluke and all our good hitters are due for regression and all our bad hitters just actually suck and this is what they are. Start scouting the 2020 draft.
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Who in their right mind would make *that* specific a comp? The comp is way more general - Gonzalez was a big tall COF, top 5 prospect in baseball, and had the high average/meh walks/big power/bad defense thing going on If you would have just said he reminds you of a Juan Gonzalez type player, sure, whatever. But I don't know what that means in the context of 'ceiling' and 'floor'.
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I mean, I understand that in hindsight, or probably even at the time, Juan Gonzalez was a very flawed player who accumulated a bunch of counting stats and not much else (and was a particularly terrible MVP selection). But a floor of 35 WAR and 434 home runs is just insane.
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Okay Steve Stone Ha. I was in the "he's definitely a 2-3 WAR guy who might get to 4+ in a couple prime years" camp up until he kept tearing it up last year. .337/.384/.577 with a 15(!!!!)% K rate in AA/AAA from a guy with his size and pedigree at age 21 is the good stuff. Now I think that Juan Gonzalez-y kind of player might be more his floor than ceiling LO-the horsefeathers -L
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Weird, I have something different from fangraphs: .280 .302 .700 with a .399 wOBA and 148 wrc+ I will absolutely take that. Regardless, him finding some power is a good thing and he has continued to hit the ball hard over that stretch and increased his LD%. A small sample like this is of course not predictive but I don't think anyone is worried about his walk rate over this stretch. Well I think the concern is that you're only going to get one or the other, and if that's the case, I'm not sure this is a better version, unless you think he can continue to put 35% of his fly balls out of the park.
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Schwarber has been an absolute beast over the last two weeks. Eh....I'm usually the one defending Schwarber, but a .306 OBP over the past two weeks isn't really the path to long term success, and relatedly neither is his 4.1% walk rate and 24.5% K rate. It'll be interesting to see what his next few weeks look like....anecdotally it seems like he's gone from working deep counts and leaving things up to the umps a lot of the time to just attacking early and often, which has given him that power but obviously cost him walks. If pitchers start to adjust early, is he going to go back to the deep counts, or are we going to see a lot of bad swings early in the count?