squally1313
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Everything posted by squally1313
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Yeah probably. At least we have the guy to cut when Horton is ready
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Sure, but over his last seven games (including the home run), he’s been good, right? Going from memory now, over the last 4, he’s had a really good OBP. Over the last 2, he’s been really good. But over 6, sure, maybe you have a point? I just think it’s dicing games up in the worst possible light to get to a conclusion.
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Is this really how we should be evaluating things
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Yeah I mean, his LOB% is 7th in baseball (Shota is first, which probably isn't great), and would have been first last year, so even setting aside the impressive WHIP it's fair to expect the big picture numbers to get worse. 3.8% HR/FB is also a skill that would be really cool to have, but...probably not. But the thing about a 1.49 ERA is that it's like, historically good in larger sample sizes, and can more than double before you get past whatever your definition of #2 starter is.
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I don't mean to call you out specifically, but why are so many sample sizes around here just essentially 'since this guy did a good thing, but not including the good thing that he did'. If you include that game through today as your stretch, he's been a 130 wRC hitter!
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Hendricks Skenes tomorrow is a hilarious pitching matchup
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All fair. If his HBP/contact regression aligns with the other four outfielders being healthy/not completely lost (haven't seen it yet), then you start worrying about PAs a little bit (because I think, ignoring all the people who want Happ taken out back and shot, then expected versions of Happ, Bellinger, Seiya, Tauchman are all better than a .285 OBP PCA for the immediate future). But we'll cross that bridge on the off chance we come to it.
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incredible thread, no notes
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I think he's plenty valuable and has been more than productive. I'm sure you could cite his stats since his home run binge and say that he's been bad, but those games count too. 12th in wRC for 1B (with 50 PAs, 'qualified' was being weird), 8th in fWAR, though I think that's more a product of consistent ABs and not being an awful baserunner than any sort of defensive prowess. Also can't ignore the fact that we're going to pay him less than $1m a year through 2026 for what I think can safely be predicted as like, 2.5 fWAR. Which is a lot better than what we're paying someone like Taillon to produce the same. The issue there is that it's yet another position where we're essentially locking in above average, certainly not elite production. I think in the aggregate it can work, assuming health, etc. But adding another 120 wRC bat to the lineup at such a premium offensive spot isn't a problem, but it's not the ideal solution in my head.
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Can we talk more about PCA. And his 103 wRC. And his 20% K rate. And his 6 fWAR/600 PA pace that he's on. And how he's already 5th among centerfielders in defensive value. And how he's definitely got the swag of like, an albino Javy. Find that 15 HR power stroke and he's my new favorite offensive player (Shota still has my heart).
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With Shota/Jameson/Assad you probably at least hope for 2 out of 3, but not a lot of shame in avoiding a sweep in Atlanta with where we're at now.
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Great pick at third, great pick at second.
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PCA up to a 103 wRC Hey - Luke - stop. don't do this
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Feel like this topic gets discussed enough in here. Little bit for everyone in that we're at less than 50% which seems bad, but also generally pretty average overall in the grand scheme of things.
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Well specifically here I said I wouldn't trade 2 of them. I would, give me the top reliever on the market for a back end top 100 guy, we've done it before. Would like to see more than 15 innings of productivity.
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The Athletic article, which was basically just using BBTV, used Coby Mayo (#27 prospect) and Bradfield Jr (#64) prospect from the Orioles, which puts us at like....Caissie (37) and Alcantara (54)? That is a ton of ABs given up for like 200 innings over the next 4 years
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Unpopular opinion, I assume: Hard pass
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We were never supposed to be in their league.
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Cubs (Shota) @ Braves, 5/13/24 6:20 pm
squally1313 replied to Rex Buckingham's topic in Fred Hornkohl Game Thread Forum
What’s your baseline here -
That’s most of it. Which is a Tom problem and not a Jed problem (mostly). Also no one wants to get into the actual roster/40 man construction issues that would arise if you threw like, $50m around in free agency.
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I mean, a struggling Ian Happ is about 40x more likely to do something against Sale than PCA, but sure, it’s a long season, whatever
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Sorry, both of you are unfortunately incorrect. The correct answer is: Sign Hader, but make sure he doesn't get unlucky like he has been and also that it doesn't impact our other signings Don't sign Suter or Chapman or Emilio Pagan or Matt Moore because they've been bad or mediocre and we can't accept that here Sign David Robertson because he's been good (except for the last time out, so just know not to pitch him then) Sign Kimbrel, but tell him to only have good stretches DEFINITELY don't sign Robert Stephenson Sign Reynaldo Lopez, turn him into a Cy Young starter This isn't hard guys
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Cubs (Shota) @ Braves, 5/13/24 6:20 pm
squally1313 replied to Rex Buckingham's topic in Fred Hornkohl Game Thread Forum
lol of course -
Cubs (Shota) @ Braves, 5/13/24 6:20 pm
squally1313 replied to Rex Buckingham's topic in Fred Hornkohl Game Thread Forum
This is a really impressive AB by morel here -
Cubs (Shota) @ Braves, 5/13/24 6:20 pm
squally1313 replied to Rex Buckingham's topic in Fred Hornkohl Game Thread Forum
For fucks sake
