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squally1313

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Everything posted by squally1313

  1. squally1313
    Hoerner/PCA/Shaw all in a row there doing their thing makes me happy
  2. squally1313
    Can't get FG to pull the proper splits but feel pretty confident that we've gotten more offensive contributions from our catchers on a cumulative measurement than we did through like, Memorial Day last year. (We had negative fWAR in the first half, so very clearly ahead of that)
  3. squally1313
    Mentioned it above in a way, but had a long weekend (Vegas trip, people over for a BBQ yesterday) and absolutely not at full speed. Estes as their starter, Max Muncy as their second baseman, and me being sure 1908 couldn't possibly be wrong about Erceg led to me wondering if I was still dreaming somehow while scrolling through their Roster Resource page.
  4. squally1313
    Thought I was going crazy for a second, but unless they reacquire Erceg from the Royal in the next 12 hours I think we're good just trying to avoid Miller. Though Severino tomorrow is going to be a challenge all of his own and I think their lineup is pretty sneaky good.
  5. squally1313
    Jose Quintana, setting aside the fact that he would have been a better signing than Colin Rea, is now their 4th starter. Their third starter put up 0.9 fWAR in 160 innings last year. Bullpen magic-ing is a lot harder without the second best reliever in baseball in the last four years. Rule them out at your own peril, but, objectively, this isn't a good baseball team at the moment.
  6. squally1313
    That's false. In 2024 the Phillies and Mets split the home games, but for whatever reason in 2023 the Cardinals were home for both. Wikipedia page for the London series backs this up.
  7. squally1313
    It really is insane how tough the schedule is for the first six weeks and then how drastically it drops off after that. We go from @ Ari, @ Athletics, v SD, v Texas, @ LAD, @ SD, v Ari, v LAD, v Phil, @ Pitt, @ Mil, v SF, @ NYM to v Miami, v CWS, @ Miami, @ Cincy, v Colorado, v Cincy, @ Wash I saw some tweet yesterday that our March/April is the hardest month any team has in baseball, and our May is the easiest, and overall we're like 22nd in schedule strength.
  8. squally1313
    To be fair, they were the 'road team' in London. Not sure how much say the owners had.
  9. squally1313
    @Brock Beauchamp I’m sure these games are throwing off the normal plan here for a few different reasons, is it possible to just toss up game 2 in here now?
  10. squally1313
    Haven’t seen any of the admins post in a little while after that discussion about having one automatically starting every morning of game day. I’m sure they probably weren’t planning around these games and the week before opening day is probably a good time to take a vacation if you’re running multiple baseball blogs, so…whatever. One of us should just start the next game in the normal Cubs sub when they get a chance and move the normal daily discussion there.
  11. squally1313
    This is a dumb question at this point but is opening day in 19 hours or 43 hours? My score app says 5:10 AM Tuesday but I don't know if that means like, a super late night start Tuesday night (ie like a Hawaii football game showing up on Saturday even though it kicks at 1 AM) or if it's actually tomorrow morning.
  12. squally1313
    I don't think anyones 'pedigree' is 'Hall of Fame Baseball Player', and beyond that, Broglio generated -1.6 wins and Andersen pitched 15 games for the Red Sox, think Kyle Tucker, even in one year, should comfortable outpace those amounts. But yeah, other than that.
  13. squally1313
    me reading this
  14. squally1313
    No point in freaking out about this. He's not taking anyone spots in the top 4 and is basically the same pitcher as Rea (you can still have problems with this one, especially in hindsight). Lynn will get a ramp up period and if no one breaks between now and 4-6 weeks from now we cut him a check for hanging out in Arizona/Iowa for a month and send him on his way. Better proactive than reactive, especially when you screw up and leave yourself with $30m to spend.
  15. squally1313
    I know you realistically only have a certain amount of innings with Boyd, but I think in a world where this signing pays off he's a much better middle relief option than someone near the back fringes of the pen. Having two lefty starters downplays the impact a bit but he still seems like a guy who would play up if you let him rip for a short stretch.
  16. squally1313
    lol they went 11-5.
  17. squally1313
    I will take a 20/1 bet on this (so would you)
  18. squally1313
    That extension kicking in for 2025, as unlikely as that is to play out, really means we're just using a lot of the extra cash lying around for this year and then calling it a long term deal of 10/$333 for his age 29-38 years. We were supposedly willing to pay $29m/year for Bregman's 31-34 years, and Tucker has shown every indication he's a better player, so I don't think it's too much of a stretch that they'd be willing to commit to that kind of money.
  19. squally1313
    Szymborski threw out the idea of trading for German Marquez in an article today. He's thrown 8 innings the last two years but there was clear talent (and production), and he's on the last year of a 2/$20m deal for a team going nowhere. Worth keeping an eye on him. 90% joking aside: get Colorado to pay 80% of KBs salary and bring him back in the deal too.
  20. squally1313
    Steele*
  21. squally1313
    Appreciate all this, and also appreciate that I'm probably trying to counter an argument that you/the original article wasn't even making. Agree from a pure output/run production perspective that Ks don't hurt you materially more than a ball in play out, there's all the data in the world to show that. Just don't know if I'm as bought in on this 'selling out for power' thing, or that like, 'being good at home runs' and 'being good at not striking out' are the two ends of the spectrum. The players that make the majors, which are the players we're basing this data off of, have been filtered through about 15 different layers of cuts, and every time, on the fringe cases, someone decided that their power skill made up for their K issue. It's just the population you end up with.
  22. squally1313
    It's a fun concept but I wonder how that works in actual practice. Turner and Kelly aren't going anywhere, feels like they have too much committed in Berti to cut him so that a AAA guy can get a cup of coffee, Workman, as of now, can't go down. Maybe Brujan wins the last spot and then that becomes somewhat of a revolving door? Obviously there are going to be injuries, but you'd think any injury requiring an IL stint would more lead to someone like Alcantara/Caissie just getting daily MLB starts more than the 'sporadic' PT Counsell mentions.
  23. squally1313
    For conversations sake....is that causation or correlation? Like, the counter there is that more strike outs doesn't necessarily lead to more home runs, but that players with a high strike out rate but lack of corresponding power just don't make it to the majors. Not to use the dreaded sample size of 5 again, but the average K rate last year, league wise, was 22.6%, and the top 5 guys in HRs ran K rates of 24.3%, 22.2%, 19.4%, 16.7%, and 24.7% (and to head off any accusations of cherry picking, the 6th guy was 12%). Like, there's a chance it's more 'we tolerate high strike outs if/when it comes with a maybe/maybe not associated power skill', right?
  24. squally1313
    PCA a late scratch. Hopefully just hungover or something else cool.
  25. squally1313
    (I like triantos but he probably needs to put up at least a league average AAA line or hit even one home run there before we consider him ready to contribute)
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