squally1313
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Everything posted by squally1313
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Kyle Hendricks is a beautiful man
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I can't believe we have our first stretch of competency in like 2 months, we have a 4 game series against our historic rivals who's playoff spot we are also trying to take....and we have to start with Hendricks v Gray.
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These are good points, but have you considered just DFAing people when they have a rough month and just plowing through our system for new players? Separately: I'd say he's comfortably above average defensively. The fWAR defense number is negative but he's 6th among qualified first basemen. He's -2.6 right now and Rizzo never had a full season in Chicago better than -4.9.
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Using the ESPN standings page: Kansas City White Sox (x2) Angels Braves (old) Brewers (x2) Cardinals (x2) Reds (x2) Cubs Dodgers Padres (x2) DBacks Giants Rockies
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Haha man, no idea what happened there. Had to be the top post of this page too. Oh well.
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He's a Chris Sale injury away from maybe being the CY front runner.
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Bellinger is like the 5th best player in this lineup so it's not really that big of a loss. Just hand the keys back to PCA and give me some cool web gems. I'm honestly mostly upset because it increases the chances that we're on the hook for 2/$52 after this year.
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Skenes no hitter through 7, 1 walk, 11 Ks. 99 pitches.
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Their development system is leaps and bounds ahead of us. In the last three years total they've gotten double digit WAR from Altuve, Alvarez, Tucker, Bregman, and Framber, all basically homegrown (Yordan was a Dodgers signing but came up through the Astros system). Plus Jeremy Pena as a league minimum shortstop, Christian Javier. The Cubs best player the last three years is Nico, the only guy to put up double digit WAR over that span. Happ and Steele aren't far off, but after that it's all external (expensive) signings: Seiya, Cody, Swanson, Stroman, Taillon.
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Feel like the only thing that could make this season more annoying than it already has been is to go on a run immediately after putting themselves far enough out of range that it's basically impossible to get there. There's 69 (nice) games left, they have to go 41-28 to get to 85 wins, which obviously isn't a guarantee. Going like 39-30 seems, in a way, way more frustrating than just limping to 74 wins or whatever.
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It's not by any means "good", but since the demotion after the April From Hell, he's got a 5.31/4.24/4.23 ERA/FIP/xFIP line, and that's with allowing 9 ERs in his last 5.2 innings. League average is 4.07, so it's been just a struggle more than a disaster for a couple months now.
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Yeah it's not great. Obviously they were going for above average spread across the roster(*) and not a stars and scrubs approach, but last year you had Cody, Nico, and Swanson all around the top 30 offensively. (*) when you expand the list to the top 200, if I counted right the Cubs have 9 players listed. Three of them are in the bottom ten of that list, but that's still, by definition in a 30 team league, 'above average'.
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Yeah I forgot how incredible Rizzo was for a few years there (wRCs of 155, 145, 145 in 2014-2016). Busch came a lot cheaper though, and there's always a chance there's another level as he settles in (167 wRC since June 1).
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That's fair, and maybe another way of saying that is that the Suzuki defensive problems are not the same as the Morel defensive problems. Suzuki is more just lower case bad in right field (and his miscues are very memorable), but you can get by, especially if, hypothetically, you had an all world defensive center fielder and you play half your games in a small park.
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Why are we messing with the 4th best first baseman in baseball. There are other guys besides Vlad and Alonso.
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Advanced stats are looking better too, as you'd expect. 11th amongst qualified 1Bs in xwOBA (15th out of 47 for 100 PAs) and 6th in defensive value is a first division starter. League minimum is a nice bonus on top.
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I don't really have a lot of interest in Morel or Seiya as purely DH options. I'm fine with the concept of getting someone who projects to mash in the 130+ wRC range to be the day in/day in DH, but I don't think either of those guys gives you the offensive upside to promise them regular PAs in that spot vs using it to give people half days off, chase matchups, etc. I think you could probably get away with one of them playing some sort of sheltered defensive role even if there's no defensive improvement, but have very little interest in both of them on this roster past this year if we're all convinced that they are bottom barrel defenders.
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FG mostly backs this up with however they do their calculations. $37.8m last year, $9.6m this year so far, $47.4m total. All the projections have him conservatively doubling his production YTD, so that get us to basically $57m total at a $52m salary clip. Agreed with Rob's point that you would expect most of the production to come earlier in the contract, so while he's been 'worth' his contract so far, and I certainly wouldn't call it a disaster just yet, you're hoping for a little more excess production in these first few years.
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Thank you for pointing this out, albeit in Tom-speak. There isn't some huge variance of opinion on these guys throughout the league. GMs aren't making trades for players based on their baseball cards. I think Taillon has value to us as a mediocre/average bird in hand (though I don't know, since 6/1, which includes a bad start, results wise, against CWS, 3.14/3.40/3.73, 9 K/9, 1.26 BB/9 in 7 starts is very solid.) than whatever 35 FV prospect someone would throw our way. If I'm running the team and have autonomy to get a replacement in the next 6 months, sure, I'm a little more convinced. But as a fan of the Cubs and a not-fan of Ricketts, I'm not dumping the guy who is essentially paid what he's worth and just blindly assuming better things are coming.
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- theo epstein
- jed hoyer
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Hoerner has been the 6th best second baseman in baseball since the beginning of last year and would be owed $28m for 2.5 years if we traded him today. How would that not bring a substantial return?
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Need someone to come check on how the game is going based solely off the last dozen or so posts here and then say what they think the score is
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My god Ian
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Realizing now that bote and wisdom are both on the active roster, so changing my answer to shrug emoji.
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PCA and tauchman being hurt have kinda made our outfield pretty static and someone has to play third.
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Do you think the market for Taillon in December is markedly worse than the market for him now?
