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woodchip2153

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Everything posted by woodchip2153

  1. woodchip2153
    apparently Soto can only hit out of the 8 spot in the lineup...
  2. woodchip2153
    please get Phil Rogers off my radio!
  3. woodchip2153
    why is marmol warming up?
  4. woodchip2153
    only the Cubs
  5. woodchip2153
    that sounded too good too be true, so I looked it up. That's only for next week vs. the Padres and another weekday series. The others series range in price up to and exceeding $100+ for upperdeck outfield reserve. Still a good deal but not unreal.
  6. woodchip2153
    He hit two balls hard that happened to be right at guys. You can't ask for much more. I was joking.
  7. woodchip2153
    looks like Quade was right in regards to Barney and Soto. Looks like Soto is only good in even years.
  8. woodchip2153
    link
  9. woodchip2153
    Dang it Pat! I thought that was gone! I'll take the run though.
  10. woodchip2153
    how about now? :banghead:
  11. woodchip2153
    A Adam Dunn B Adrian Gonzalez, Alex Rodriguez C Adrian Beltre, Troy Tulowitzki, Aaron Hill D Adam Jones, Carl Crawford, Kevin Youkilis, Jason Heyward, Justin Morneau WC will PM
  12. woodchip2153
    Skilling has 47 with a chance of light rain late in the afternoon.
  13. woodchip2153
    I'm going. Hitting up Goose Island beforehand. Hoping to drink enough beer that I won't realize how cold it is.
  14. woodchip2153
    If you can get video, espn3.com will have video they have that blocked at work, the bastards
  15. woodchip2153
    Are there any online radio feeds for the Illinois game today, so I can listen to the game at work?
  16. woodchip2153
    couldn't they just put a cubs c on the back to get around that?
  17. woodchip2153
    To figure the NPV of the contract, you need to estimate the risk-free rate, not the rate of salary growth. If Pujols thinks baseball contracts are going to increase 10% a year indefinitely, then he should sign for one year, not ten. I was just using that to show that the baseball teams earn more than 3% on their money. Even in this economy I assume 5% for 10 years and we don't get the returns that baseball does. 10-year treasury bill rates are not at 5% anymore. The returns that baseball gets are not relevant. They are not risk-free. Some would argue that a truer indicator of the risk-free rate would come from a 3-month t-bill. Those are well under 1%, and have been for a few years now. By using the risk free rate, I think you're a underestimating the value of back loading a contract. You should use all the information available to make assumptions to come up with a better estimate. IMO, you should use at least 5%. But I think your initial point was that if you pay more initially but defer payments after the 10 years it will be about the same as just giving a flat amount every year, and whatever interest rate you use, won't have much of an effect on that.
  18. woodchip2153
    To figure the NPV of the contract, you need to estimate the risk-free rate, not the rate of salary growth. If Pujols thinks baseball contracts are going to increase 10% a year indefinitely, then he should sign for one year, not ten. I was just using that to show that the baseball teams earn more than 3% on their money. Even in this economy I assume 5% for 10 years and we don't get the returns that baseball does.
  19. woodchip2153
    Haven't baseball contracts increase at usually 10%, at least before last year? Definitely should use something higher than 3% when figuring the NPV.
  20. woodchip2153
    I missed it. What happened?
  21. woodchip2153
    that depends if you factor in their latin temper... *since i'm getting ready to leave, I'm going to clarify that I'm making fun on the racist, since I don't post much
  22. woodchip2153
    he stayed in the game he finished the second but has left the game. 1 inning less than planned.
  23. woodchip2153
    he stayed in the game
  24. woodchip2153
    I don't know enough to take a position in this argument. I was just under the impression that we shouldn't rely on batted ball data, especially at the lower levels.
  25. woodchip2153
    isn't batted ball date for the minors even more unreliable than in the majors?
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