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soccer10k

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Everything posted by soccer10k

  1. soccer10k
    According to Fangraphs, the last four seasons, with bases empty and 2 outs, teams scored 0.1 runs on average. With a runner on 1st with 2 outs, its 0.63. That means for those five innings where Seattle scored 9 runs, their total run expectancy after getting to 2 outs was 0.63.
  2. soccer10k
    I’m trying to decide what’s more annoying, this or that Mitch Garver hit 2 home runs today despite having a .569 OPS and 1 HR in 129 PAs coming into today.
  3. soccer10k
    Maybe not a good idea to throw a middle middle fastball to the guy with 29 home runs this year.
  4. soccer10k
    I have no idea what to expect in G7. Logic says the Thunder will play better, they won't be terrible from 3 and they'll force some turnovers, but I'm prepared for just about any result. A blowout either way would shock me but that's about it.
  5. soccer10k
    Taillon throwing BP today.
  6. soccer10k
    Taillon doesn’t have it today.
  7. soccer10k
    Wasn't his home run 400+ feet to left/leftcenter? Pretty sure that's going to be a home run everywhere.
  8. soccer10k
    Lol, Bettman says as he’s giving the Cup out that winning it twice in a row is next to impossible. Except that three teams have done it in the last decade.
  9. soccer10k
    The formula would probably be -PCA goes 40-40 or really close -Ohtani struggles a bit on the mound -Ohtani doesn't hit 60 dongs or close to it. He's not stealing as many bases as last year so if Ohtani "only" ends up with like 47 dongs and 30 SB's, it could be seen as a step back. PCA being absurd in the field while having a monster year at the plate is a poor man's version of Ohtani being an All-Star pitcher and hitter. They're basically tied in both versions of WAR at the moment so it's a dead heat. But if Ohtani is his old self on the mound, it's probably a wrap.
  10. soccer10k
    Halfway up the scoreboard. LOL.
  11. soccer10k
    PCA is ridiculous in the field.
  12. soccer10k
    The exact records changed a bit since you posted this but put a different way, 9 of the next 28 games are against teams that are 3 or more games over .500 (Mil, Hou, NYY). The other 19 games are against teams between 0 and 2 games over .500.
  13. soccer10k
    2014 they went back to 2-2-1-1-1.
  14. soccer10k
  15. soccer10k
    Now we get a day off before 7 of 10 games against Mil and StL.
  16. soccer10k
    Wasn't pretty but I'll take it.
  17. soccer10k
    Alright now walk this MFer off now.
  18. soccer10k
    Too bad PCA wasn't running on Nico's hit. He might have scored.
  19. soccer10k
    Can we please just score one more run and win this stupid game?
  20. soccer10k
    You're off by a day on both G7s. NHL G6 is Tue June 17 and G7 is Fri June 20. NBA G6 is Thu June 19 and G7 is Sun June 22.
  21. soccer10k
    Kind of seems like 2-2 is where we should be. OKC should have won G1 and Indy should have won G4.
  22. soccer10k
    Yeah, I kind of felt like this was almost a must win for both teams. Indy got their road win in G1 in what was fairly lucky fashion. Now they've got to win another game in OKC where they've crushed teams all postseason outside of 2 games. And for OKC, even knowing they had G5 and G7 at home, it's still a 3-1 deficit which is pretty hard to come back from, even for a 68 win team. I'm definitely not writing Indy off at this point, but I agree that was a big missed opportunity for them.
  23. soccer10k
    That was not a fun game.
  24. soccer10k
    Alright time for a walk off.
  25. soccer10k
    I’ve got it at roughly a 362% chance Dansby hits into a DP here.
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