Jump to content
North Side Baseball

soccer10k

Old-Timey Member
  • Posts

    26,445
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    4

 Content Type 

Profiles

North Side Baseball Article Archive, Part 1

Chicago Cubs Videos

Chicago Cubs Trade & Free Agent Rumors

2026 Chicago Cubs Top Prospect Rankings

Chicago Cubs News, Rumors & Analysis

2023 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Chicago Cubs Fan Guides & Resources

2024 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

The Chicago Cubs Players Project

2025 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2026 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Blogs

Events

Forums

Store

Gallery

Everything posted by soccer10k

  1. That’s funny because I’ve had the opposite experience. I use the app on my Samsung TV because the app on my Roku didn’t work all that great.
  2. I'm aware that the overly negative people suck also. I already said that. Personally it's very easy for me to scroll right past their stupidity. But it really bothers me to have someone who generally appears to be pretty intelligent and logical about all things baseball trying to use a a 5-4 stretch against 3 of the worst 6 teams in the majors (which you tried to do with your point about the latest homestand) as part of your proof that this team is still good. Especially when he pops in at the end of a lot of losses to try and say how everything is still great. The other teams don't matter in this case. I'm evaluating the Cubs. I'm aware that they're aren't any great teams this year. That doesn't mean we have to say the best few teams are great. I am willing to discount the first couple months because it was clearly a hot streak by the offense. When you score runs like one of the best 30 offenses for 2 months, sorry, but that likely isn't sustainable. And they haven't come close to continuing to do that. Arbitrary end points because I have to pick a date, but OPS pre June 1 vs after June 1, Carson Kelly is 270 points worse, Tucker is 105 points worse, Suzuki 196 points worse, PCA 130 points worse, Amaya (.819 OPS) is injured. Happ is 71 points better, Dansby basically the same, Shaw basically the same (though much better since the ASB), Busch basically the same. We know Tucker got hurt at some point and we also don't know how much that affected him since he hit well for a bit after the one injury we know about (unless I missed something). But he also might not be healthy the rest of the year. Kelly's hitting wasn't going to continue. Maybe the league adjusted a bit to PCA's free swinging, I don't know. His July was great but his August has been abysmal. Both aren't likely to continue. Seems unlikely it would take the league 4 months to figure a guy out but maybe they did. Suzuki's numbers overall are now fairly close to his career numbers. Amaya is still injured and who knows when he'll be back. I'm not sure there's anyone in there where you can be confident they'll go back to hitting like they did in April/May, and certainly not most or all of them. Those wins are banked and they can't be taken away. But if I'm evaluating how the Cubs are as a whole, yes, I'm going to discount an unsustainable hot streak by the offense. It's no different than how nobody really thinks the Brewers are some 100 win juggernaut. Sure they went 39-9. Those wins are banked also. They're on pace for 100 wins. But nobody in their right mind expects them to play at that pace again, right? Well, I don't expect the Cubs to score runs like one of the best 30 offenses ever. And guess what, when they stopped doing that, they went from playing at a high 90's win pace to a mid 80's win pace. Which again, will still get them into the playoffs and will still give them a shot to make and win the World Series. But that doesn't mean we have to be happy about how they've played for 3 months or use 9 game samples against shitty teams to sugar coat things and make it seem like nothing is wrong. You got a legitimate reason why things are going to turn around, I'd love to hear it. But 9 game samples aren't it.
  3. Sorry, but a 3 month sample is much more relevant than a 9 game sample so what I’m doing isn’t remotely similar to what you’re doing. If I was you, I’d say the Cubs are a horsefeathers team because they’re 5-7 in the last 12, which is a 67.5 win pace, while playing 9 of those games against 3 of the worst 6 teams in the league. But because I’m not you, I’m not making a BS argument based on a 9 or 12 game sample And frankly, I don’t care about how all of these other teams are doing. This is a Cubs forum and a Cubs game thread. I mean it’s great that the Cubs likely have the 1st WC spot locked up because everyone else sucks and we aren’t stressing in any way about making the playoffs. But that’s not what we’re discussing here. And the overall point is we don’t need you to come in here being Captain Fucking Positive after every loss telling us how things are going to be okay because we’re 5-4 in our last 9.
  4. It was a 3-3 home stand against two of the worst 6 teams in the league. I mean, I know baseball gonna baseball sometimes, but that’s nothing to be remotely content with. Stop with this uber positive horsefeathers all the time. It’s as annoying as the uber negative horsefeathers. I know you know about small sample sizes so you can cut that out too. This team has been 3 games over .500 over the last 3 months. I don’t particularly care what they did over a 9 game sample that you’ve cherry picked because oh cool they played at a 92 win pace or whatever over those 9 games. For 3 months they’ve played like a 84 win team.
  5. Someone tell me why I should have any expectations for the USMNT at the World Cup next year beyond making it out of what will likely be a softer group because we'll be seeded and maybe winning the R32 game? Upsets obviously could happen and maybe we get lucky with a softer R16 game too. But realistically, if we finish 1st or 2nd in our group and win the R32 game, we're going to get a group winner in the R16 which is likely a heavyweight.
  6. Yep, can't just be bad. Have to be unlucky too. White Sox second best month by winning percentage was .321. Rockies have had 3 months better than that. Rockies longest losing streak has been 8 games, which they did 5 times. The White Sox had losing streaks of 12, 14 and 21. The White Sox had a stretch (which included the 12 and 21 game streaks) where they went 4-42. Scrolling through the Rockies game long, I think the most losses they had in a span with only 4 wins was 28. That's abysmal and yet it's still 14 losses away from what the White Sox did. White Sox pythag was 48-114. Rockies before today had a pythag pace of 45-117.
  7. Brewers playing at a 130 win pace for 6 weeks (or whatever it was) is going to cost us the division. If they had just played at like a 110 win pace in that stretch, we’d be tied. EDIT: They went 39-9 which is a 131.6 win pace. If they had gone 34-14, which is a 115 win pace, we’d be tied.
  8. The A’s owner might top them both.
  9. Very optimistic of you to say we’ve got 2 months of baseball left. Lol.
  10. Ryan Helsley has made 14 appearances with the Mets since getting traded and has allowed a run in 9 of them. After today's outing, his ERA with the Mets is 11.45 and prior to today, his FIP was 5.55.
  11. Valdez’s reaction was that of a guy who knew what he had done and didn’t care.
  12. For me it would take a lot more than just catching the Brewers to top Jake’s WC game against Pitt and donging the Cardinals out of the playoffs in 2015.
  13. And they play the Mets and Padres the next two series so even if by some chance they go 5-1 or 6-0, that’s still a net positive for us. That being said, they’re cooked. They’re as close to Miami as they are to the Mets and are only 1 game over .500.
  14. 5 back. Come on Philly, help us out the next two days.
  15. The 2013 Cardinals had a batting line of .269/.332/.401 over 6202 PA. Of those, 1621 came with RISP and in those situations, the 2013 Cardinals hit .330/.402/.463. The second best team that year hit .282 with RISP. The Cardinals had a .377 BABIP with RISP and No. 2 was at .321. In 2012, the Cardinals hit .264 with RISP with a .293 BABIP. In 2014 they hit .254 with RISP with a .294 BABIP. Sometimes the stats don’t even out even over the course of a full season. EDIT: Google tells me that from 1974, the first year of reliable RISP stats, through 2013, the previous best BA with RISP was .311 by the 2007 Tigers. So the 2013 Cardinals hit 19 points better than any other team in the 40 years prior.
  16. I happened to see the score at one point when it was 7-7. Guess it was all downhill from there.
  17. 5.5 back. Still not getting my hopes up but I’ll take it.
  18. Brewers just tied the game on a walk, single, walk and a single that hit off the mound and went under the glove of the diving shortstop. If he keeps it in the infield the Brewers only get 1 run. Oh and all of that happened with 2 outs.
  19. I was just following up on the thread title.
×
×
  • Create New...