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WrigleyField 22

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Everything posted by WrigleyField 22

  1. WrigleyField 22
    No one does.
  2. WrigleyField 22
    Fields is playing decisively and that's about all I want to see, good or bad. And two designed runs early.
  3. WrigleyField 22
    Belichick'S strong press conference jinx game out to slow start.
  4. WrigleyField 22
    That throw to the flat to EQSB... I just don't know what to say about Fields short throws for the billionth time. Chuck Knobluach vibes.
  5. WrigleyField 22
    Monsoon Bowl! Gonna be tough to evaluate his progress in certain areaa if it's a slosh.
  6. WrigleyField 22
    Bears 2-5
  7. WrigleyField 22
    Belichick is gonna rotate QBs every play to call in the plays like a pee wee team. And still win by 20.
  8. WrigleyField 22
    Well he appears as bad at G and Musty is at C. So hopefully he's a significantly better C than G. I guess if he blocked the same and cleaned up a few of the snap issues you'd have 1 or 2 plays back a game maybe.
  9. WrigleyField 22
    Matt Ryan is some combination of benched and hurt. Sam Ehlinger to start and Foles no. 2. Ballard seat probably gonna start getting hot.
  10. WrigleyField 22
    Obviously you have stars on every other slot on the roster.
  11. WrigleyField 22
    When I was poking around some advanced stats last week Zappe and Jones were pretty indistinguishable. Probably random variance explains most of the difference (though I have admittedly not watched their games).
  12. WrigleyField 22
    That's the opposite of fun. Anyways, I'm willing to accept some more Fields interceptions on a short term basis if it means he gets more reps throwing the ball during an acceptable window. But whether it's working through his mechanical changes to hone accuracy or just waiting on better teammates, there's gonna be poisons we are choosing between. He's not gonna know what he can or can't trust til his throws more passes at the right point in his reads though.
  13. WrigleyField 22
    He didn't say one way or the other either, but I believe the draft numbers are based on current record. So given that the Bears project to end up with a top 5 pick but right this second would be in the 5-10 range, they'll naturally drift upwards (potentially significantly) as the season progresses. How are the Eagles not closer to the top in draft capital? Yea I can't figure out the chart really. His draft chart values are published somewhere in his site, so you could try to recreate it, thought not sure what he's using for draft placement (current record only or current+projections) Presumably there are pick ranges that provide more excess value, and it's maybe not linear because the cap hits aren't linear, so there could just be weird "cliffs" where cap hits drop off at a different rate than value cliffs? Edit-actually I may be overthinking it, but I think maybe the NO pick draft slot just wasn't high enough before, the Eagles other picks are just really low with a 32 projected finish, and most the teams above them having lots of excess picks, even if a lot are mid rounders (though in some cases also plenty of excess high picks too)
  14. WrigleyField 22
    That's a lot of picks. But because of coach/exec comp picks, SF is still gonna have a dent number of picks, just all late. Truely Rams-esque. "F them picks"
  15. WrigleyField 22
    It's such an impressive feat from Dalton that it feels like it would have only been appropriate if it happened when he was a Bear.
  16. WrigleyField 22
    Price is probably too high anyway. He was just a 2nd round pick last year, so probably would take at least a 3rd. And probably not worth a 3rd since he's not what I'd consider "proven". Apparently part of why he wants out to is his usage too. He's only getting 25% of his snaps in slot. He'd most likely replace St Brown and Pettis snaps, mostly on the outside. So don't think he'd d be very happy here.
  17. WrigleyField 22
    Bears legend Kevin White making a difference on Thursday Night Football.
  18. WrigleyField 22
    Worth trading for a 7th if that's all you can get.
  19. WrigleyField 22
    Healthy Pringle was getting like 12 snaps a game But I guess part of the problem with both guys is they don't take many snaps out wide. If you're not running a lot of 11 personnel, neither is a great fit with Mooney if they can't play the X. But fix the line and you can run more 11 personnel.
  20. WrigleyField 22
    Since he's a week 7 opponent and the Bears fans are already in offseason mode; Jakobi Meyers as Bears WR target for 2023: And for an actual good image of the graphic: He's destroying both man and zone coverage and our best receiver really only beats man coverage (kind of)
  21. WrigleyField 22
    He technically wasn't a second rounder, but only an 8 pick difference from Ayo : Jimmy Butler. Also doesn't fit those categories you mentioned. Maybe theres other examples too, but in spirit there isn't a huge talent difference most years in that 20-40 range. Then things tend to drop off a cliff and there's little difference between 40 and the top UDFAa.
  22. WrigleyField 22
    I guess the short stuff depends a little. A slant really isn't much of a spot throw. There's maybe been a few where it looked like miscommunication on an option route, but there's definitely been a fair share of ones that just flat out look like misses. Everyone misses some throws, but PFF thinks he's doing so at a higher rate on the short stuff especially. Definitely right about the possibility that they're not replacing the short game with a deep game, but replacing it with runs. He's 15th on total deep passes even though he's 3rd on his rate of deep passes/attempts. If you replaced ~35 rushes with short pass drop backs and they actually could convert a league average rate of drop backs into pass attempts, then his deep ball rate wouldn't be so out of skew to his short throw rate.
  23. WrigleyField 22
    I have a feeling this may be related to where the pressure is coming from. Comparatively, so much of his is coming from straight up the middle vs from the outside against other teams that I'd bet it has an impact on that number. Getting Mustipher the hell out of there as to be a top priority. Yea, that's definitely a possible area that could cause the straight numbers to lie. The other big question is just how many blockers it takes. As an extreme method, you can't call a 8 man protection with pressure up the middle at 2.55 seconds a win while calling a 5 man pass pro with a 2.45 second pressure on the frontside edge as a loss. Obviously I don't think the numbers are going to be broadly that extreme, but at this point any small margins you'd hope can create some compounding benefit if they can clean it up. 2 or 3 stinker plays to wins a game would probably alter the raw numbers dramatically. Easier said then done, clearly.
  24. WrigleyField 22
    Show him how wrong that thinking is. Exhibit A: Mike Ditka Exhibit B: Joe Maddon Oh we've debated. In his mind a championship coach walks out on their own terms and thats that. One of the quirkier extreme fandom takes I've ever come accross.
  25. WrigleyField 22
    Nevermind on the PA stat. The stat was that the top 10 PA teams were all .500 or better. So kinda useless. Fields has 12th highest rate of PA. TTT on play action? 3.7, ranked 37. Maybe the Bears PA concepts are slower developing, but uh yea, TTT holds consistent there again. Ranked 37 on PFF grade for non PA throws. Ranked 28th for PA throw grade. Something has to break the feedback loop where Fields is just "normal long TTT". Until then, I don't know... Last year for reference he was 2.92 and 3.53 on TTT for Non PA and PA. 3.3 and 3.7 this year. And he was basically equally graded on both types of throws. On every metric, whether depth or scheme he's like 10% slower. Don't know if TTT is supposed to be stable or over what sample size it stabilizes, but it's such a hurdle right now for Fields. #notgreatbob
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