WrigleyField 22

The Bears were down by 21 points and ran three straight run plays and man I was annoyed. Them being in this game is one of the odder things I've watched.

Now I hit on Khalil Herbert +250. Should have Parlayed it I guess :D

Just settled on my +1120 N'Keal Harry TD bet that puts me up for the weekend no matter what else hits

Posted a cap update thread for the Bears.

Recency bias is a hell of a drug.

Now I'm imagining a dramatic scene where Cunningham and Poles argue over the pick and it ends with Poles shedding a tear and "I can't... The board." Anyways I'm pretty sure real GMs just write down their first choice on a post it note and then overdraft them and then pull off an improbable draft day trade and go home and impregnate Jennifer Garner.

Well, I just hope they overpay some good players. Because they will definitely overpay, as we talked about. Going to be forced to be like Jacksonville, but hopefully they get the top tier guys instead of overpaying 3rd tier players. Yea just off the top of my head: Jets and Jags got there with big splurges and had huge rookie pool numbers. Philly was already scheduled to spend most of that but also had some bigger rookie bonus pools. Miami spent a decent chunk, but the Tyreke extension did a lot of the spending. Chargers spent a decent amount while also rolling forward a decent amount.

Yea there is definitely some trend that way. Vegas went with 65,000. But yea the basic idea is that those extra seats are the most expensive to build and generate the least revenue. Still, even with that slight downward trend, didn't expect a team to go all the way down to 60k I wonder if there is some site constraint, ie to make the stadium bigger seat wise would mean more land acquisition, etc Its the current parking lot of the stadium apparently. So I'd think similar site conditions, but maybe for modern amenities the space constraint is that much different too.

Updated numbers, with help of PFF Brad. Bears have 177M left to spend. Draft pick bonuses and salary will be like 20-34M, let's call it 27. So they have $150M in cash they need to spend. Brad suggested $50M in money to Roquan, JJ, and Mooney. So $100M left to spend. These numbers are all cash, but for reference Jags spent 90M+ in year 1 cash last year as the top FA spender. And they also franchised and extended Cam Robinson, which ended up being another 17.5M in cash. Or another way to look at it, per Brad, they have to spend $244 next year and have $67 currently scheduled. 9 teams spent 244M+ this year, but only 4 of those weren't paying a big money QB. Miami also was just under that figure without paying for a QB: Jacksonville, New York Jets, LA Chargers, Miami, Philadelphia. Those are your comparables for "how to spend $244M with a rookie QB contract". Blend their approaches and that is what Chicago's 2023 offseason looks like

Yea there is definitely some trend that way. Vegas went with 65,000. But yea the basic idea is that those extra seats are the most expensive to build and generate the least revenue. Still, even with that slight downward trend, didn't expect a team to go all the way down to 60k

Pretty much procedural. There was no way they were gonna keep him at 14M salary owed.

Maybe it's a growing city but how many are actually Titan fans? Sure but I would have thought that if they were going to invest in a new domed stadium they'd want one that can host a Super Bowl. That said many of these stadiums have smaller capacities but room to expand for an event like that. Allegiant Stadium is like that too I think. Apparently the NFL told them they'd get a SB despite the size, according to lots of people on Twitter. But I'm sure just the one. Like realistically the NFL would prefer to host it in like 5 or 6 southern cities on a rotation and occassionally throw a bone to a northern city that gets a new stadium.

Titans interior is only gonna hold 60,000 apparently. Current capacity is 67,000+. Do they struggle to fill it? Seems like Nashville has grown like crazy and could support a big crowd.

Titans' looks like a top golf. I like the Bills design even if it's an outdoor stadium in horsefeathering Buffalo. Heard they are going grass so that's good. Any word on what surface Nashville will be?

IDK why that matters. They were picking up ALL the salary if they kept him on the team, plus carrying whatever dead cap next year when they inevitably cut him after this season. A 4th is perfectly fine. the cap space you gain is worthless if you don’t spend it and it will be nigh on impossible for Poles to spend the cap space he has available. There are only so many Lucas Patricks out there.Yup. Their cash hole to meet the min is now like 120. Let's say that they'll use 10 for practice squad and in season additions- which is conservative. So they have 110 in new FA money to hand out (the 120 already accounts for a draft pool estimate too). They have 33 under contract and 7 draft picks. So 13 roster spots to fill in FA. So in AAV terms call it 110 for 13 players. So 13 8.5m players. Now you can forward cash a bit on the contracts but that usually isn't done to a significant degree except for longer/larger deals. But they're obviously not going to find that many "big money" deals. But just to try: Let's say Roquan on a 4/80 deal but with 30M Y1 cash Montgomery on 4/48 but with 16M Y1 cash A free agent WR and OL at 3/45 with 20M Y1 cash each A DT at 4/48 and 16M Y1 cash That would basically get them there and the rest of their FA money could be small deals. But aso includes a ton of money at a RB. Thats just to meet the minimum cash requirement. You're also basically frontloading cash you wouldn't necessarily otherwise. If that comes with low Y2 cash amounts it balances out and is just timing thing. If not, you've basically taken on unnecessary risk by frontloading on big money deals.

Sure Velus has been injured and not productive but at least he's... Checks notes.... Only 25 years old. Any where's theres like 4 or 5 actual good GMs and then at any given time 10 or so lucky ones and 17-18 unlucky ones.

Yea but look at how awesome Muhammad has coincided the kids by eating up all the paying time at DE And Pringle? Yea he'll be awesome! (Someday....at something) Patrick. Ahhhh Patrick. You lasted 6 games Maybe Pace was better then Poles, he just had the wrong coach (?) I'm probably more Pace friendly than most, but it was time. Even if it was "just the wrong coach", how do you give him a third? And heck no, I don't buy the theory Fox was forced upon him.

They might get the very last comp pick as a net value loss pick, but the status of that pick is tenuous even. So yea, pick any two of Pringle, Muhammad, Jones, Patrick, Morrow and that's the difference of maybe getting the Mr Irrelevant pick and a 3rd or 4th comp and maybe a 5th. To be clear they should have just signed more better players and also not had a comp pick, but had a few more decent players.

Yep. Annoying to spend as little as they did and not design a comp strategy around ARob and Daniels departures. Basically the entire FA prioritized familiarity with the coaching/FO staff. That's worth a 3/4th and 5th comp pick I guess.

Good trade. They should now go flip another mid round pick for a young WR.

If you build an offense to Fields's strengths, the question is will they be able to stop it even with adjustments? Like you can build a great game plan to stop prime Tom Brady but he's still going to beat you because he knows what his strengths are and plays to them perfectly. Guys like Lamar and Hurts have been running offenses that frequently use a variety of QB runs to a lot of success. Watching that O'Sullivan video last night, what stood out to me was him pointing out areas where Fields is uber-elite while running. For example, the implication was that a lesser running QB would not have scored on that 3 yard QB misdirection TD. But the fact that Fields was able to find the hole, cut and go upfield without losing much if any speed is an elite trait and is what allowed him to score. Lamar and Hurts are better passers (but not by a ton in Lamar's case) so maybe they are better equipped when teams take away the run. I could be way off base here. There are teams (like Dallas probably) that can limit this part of the game and rely on their elite secondary to cover up any gaps in the pass game but I'm not sure they will be able to completely eliminate it. For sure his athleticism and innate ability are just gonna win often. But to the extent scheme is unlocking a more productive tier on that run game, it doesn't seem ideal if you're ripping a gameplan from elsewhere rather than having a deeper concept of why it works. Maybe the more they steal the better they understand it and incorporate into their natural package, but the element of surprise must have had some impact on a team not prepared for what they were seeing.

What's going to play a huge factor I think is how teams respond to this new offensive play mix. Through six games, teams basically conceded the RB run game and the Bears couldn't really make them pay in the air. If teams are still conceding the RB run game, are they also just going to concede 80 yards on the QB run game too? While it's not necessarily my favorite long term play for Fields development, it could lead to short term results. So if Cowboys adjust to the RB and/or QB run game, does it finally open up the receiving game enough? Right now the intermediate passing game of the Bears is good enough I don't think teams can ignore it. If they somehow design their scheme to basically concede the short passing game though, can they also combat a combined the QB/RB run game package? Or can the Bears be at a position that teams are gonna give them something that they just need to be patient and take over and over. Obviously teams will adapt so hopefully Getsy has got ideas not reliant on stealing from the Ravens run game. I would also like to see how well the game plan works in games where you don't get a +3 turnover ratio and recover all 6 fumbles. That's not gonna happen every time. Well 6 fumbles is a lot. I kind of expect them to get a higher than average amount of fumbles with Fields having to do some much escaping and improvising, but not 6 either.

What's going to play a huge factor I think is how teams respond to this new offensive play mix. Through six games, teams basically conceded the RB run game and the Bears couldn't really make them pay in the air. If teams are still conceding the RB run game, are they also just going to concede 80 yards on the QB run game too? While it's not necessarily my favorite long term play for Fields development, it could lead to short term results. So if Cowboys adjust to the RB and/or QB run game, does it finally open up the receiving game enough? Right now the intermediate passing game of the Bears is good enough I don't think teams can ignore it. If they somehow design their scheme to basically concede the short passing game though, can they also combat a combined the QB/RB run game package? Or can the Bears be at a position that teams are gonna give them something that they just need to be patient and take over and over. Obviously teams will adapt so hopefully Getsy has got ideas not reliant on stealing from the Ravens run game.

I had him in an auction league. Just picked up my first loss this week, which he contributed to, obviously So I have a trade out for Kelce utilizing my RB depth (in addition to auction, it's keeper). Have Henry, Taylor, Stevenson, and Walker, with CPatt on IR and Henderson as my 5/6. So I offered Walker for Kelce and Bills DST. Of course Kelce is on bye so I'd roll out Pitts one last time. If the guy accepts I really won't have to make any lineup decisions each week other than a few remaining byes, and of course for injury. No more D streaming either, which has hurt me at times this year. I'd be: Hurts, Henry, Taylor, Stevenson, Olave, Diggs, Kelce, Bills, kicker. My bench would be Mooney, Samuel, Gallup, Rondale Moore, Henderson, Patterson, Pitts (? If I don't just cut him), and I'll be able to make another add once I drop my current D. Walker will be hard to part with, especially as he'll have elite keeper value in this league, but I've never won the league and I'm ready to go all in.