Yea I kind of agree on the last point, but I think you can make someargument of execution over philosophy for why the Cubs may not see a lot of use for their overslots in 2011. With the right front office, it absolutely is still an advantage to spend more. Sure there is a dwindling return, like any inefficiency, such as OBP. I don't think it had gotten to the point where it wasn't still an advantage. Still, I think this advantage was less than the advantage of teams who simply stockpiled more picks than the other guys. If that's not a way of saying crapshoot, I don't know what is. Yea, a bit lazy. But its also pretty true. Hendry had an attitude that the developing the minors was secondary to the major leagues. And I'll reiterate, its not about a second or even a first rounder for me. Its about limiting your opportunities. I feel roughly the same if I were to lose a 4th to a 2nd. But if you only consider the major league impact you may i find yourself losing 2-4. And while doing that once isn't going to kill a system it has to be weighed against the alternatives, with a realistic view of where you stand. Its simple economics of allocating resources and every transaction has its obvious costs, its hidden ones and its opportunity costs. Where does the cost of minor league development fall within the major league impact? The second round pick is just like any other cost you consider. No I'm not avoiding any MLB FA, for any reason (other than sucking), but yes, I'm going to consider all costs as it relates to the entire organization and compare it to the other options available. No doubt, its harder, but you can still do it, you just are penalized (in money and picks). But if you felt spending overslot was the most important factor, you still could. I wouldn't argue that to be the case, but just lying out all the varying theories on how one might go about building a strong farm system. I never was. If you got that, I'm sorry. But you did say this: Sounds like more than just any singular pick to me, but an overall philosophy that dries our organization of picks. Although since you misunderstood me, I'll concede I may have read too much into your words. Please correct me if I did. Not scared. Not fetishing. Just trying to look at the entire organization as a single entity that attempts to allocate resources. Simple as that. I'd just say to see all my previous thoughts regarding it not being about one pick, but of the attitude of any player being worthy of signing worth a pick (assuming we are talking starting type players here when we say "any"). When looking at our roster holes there are a lot of players who I would consider. Not every player would I give up a pick for because there are a lot of players who most likely won't cost picks and may even cost less money, allowing other opportunities.