Transmogrified Tiger
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Everything posted by Transmogrified Tiger
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Obviously there's always room for improvement on the margins, but I think the combination of Palencia's history of control problems along with his uptick to 80 grade velo on the fastball makes that reliance on the 4 seamer mostly a good idea. The pitch you control the best that also has a healthy whiff rate and doesn't give up much damage when it isn't whiffed is a pitch you should throw a lot. -
Yep. Interestingly, a lot of sinker heavy guys have heavy platoon splits so it's hard to tell if Shaw is simply the RHH they want to replace for a lefty or if they think he's a poor match for that profile. Priester has had basically no platoon split this year, so that's a data point in one direction.
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It's currently 10+ weeks after a hairline fracture so Tucker has likely been injury free for a couple weeks. He destroyed the ball when he was most injured immediately after the injury. And from reading between the lines of Counsell's post game I don't think Tucker was very on board with an IL stint simply because he's struggling if he's not actively hurt.
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General Baseball Chit-Chat Thread
Transmogrified Tiger replied to David's topic in General Baseball Talk
he just screams Manosphere influencer -
If I compare the odds of getting hurt(or otherwise harming their physical condition) with the odds that sprinting to first makes a difference on a routine ground ball, I have a hard time getting worked up about it. In almost all cases guys will make some effort until the ball is fielded and then throttle down, which is fine since at that point the odds that running faster makes a difference are functionally zero(you're either out or the ball gets away and you're safe regardless). Not making any effort out of the box isn't great, but unless it's habitual or symptomatic of a different problem then I don't think it's worth all the angst.
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Come on man, this is Simpsons Tiger Rock logic
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Since the first game where he led off, Busch has a 93 wRC+ in the leadoff and a -17 wRC+ in all other spots in the order. Lineup spots are not causal factors for productivity.
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Happ is not the worst hitter among the starters in terms of rest of season expectation, Caissie is not playing better than him, and Happ is leaps and bounds better defensively and on the bases.
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considering that zero controlled SP moved even when negotiating with orgs not led by Jed Hoyer, this could also read as 'the Cubs correctly do not assign extra value to long term reliever control'
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The Marquee broadcast just pulled up on MLB.TV for me
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And ensures his next start is against the Brewers
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Minor League Discussion & Boxes, 8-6-25
Transmogrified Tiger replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
I think for better or worse the Cubs are tracking Horton's workload at a more granular level than innings, I don't think there's going to be a huge shutdown coming for him. That said there *might* be an opportunity to get him a bit of a blow if they wanted to go that route. You could option him tomorrow, have him be the 26th man for the Brewers double header, and then call him back up for the stretch for his next turn after that. He'd only miss one start so he won't have to build back up the endurance, and with the return of Assad and Taillon imminent plus 2 off days Thursday and Monday you aren't risking anyone else going on short rest to compensate. You just need to be willing to cycle through a few Iowa relievers in the meantime. -
Entering today, Turner was up to a 125 wRC+ against LHP for the year, and 150 since May 1. 2 for 3 w/ a 2B against them today.
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Feels like it's starting to come together for Cade, this doesn't include today
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Here's the thing, I do not believe this at all. And part of the reason I know this is that your second half of the post easily applies to basically all of the playoff field. Again, the starting point is always (borderline absurd) pessimism and everything else just works backwards from there in search of justification.
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1. This is not really a thing, giving the Astros extra credit for the success they had even 2 years ago with a different manager and 80% different roster is silly, it's working backwards to justify pessimism. 2. The Mets have one (1) 90 win season in the last 10 years, 0 division titles, and are 1-2 in playoff series during that time. Add them to the other teams you discounted and you're only holding up the Dodgers and the aforementioned Astros
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Khal Stephen was a 2nd round pick having a great season and had broken into some Top 100 lists(Fangraphs had him at 80). I would consider Wiggins a better prospect but the Cubs don't have a different pitching prospect that exceeds Stephen's pedigree.
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He took 95 off the elbow, almost got backpicked on a pitchout, and Hoerner was in exclusively fastball counts.
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Theory, why we held onto to prospects
Transmogrified Tiger replied to Jssanto's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Also the underlying implication is that for it not to matter in a convo about 2027 expenditure, the Cubs would be making offers they know for absolute certain won't be accepted, with the main upside being that it might pacify a small percentage of the fanbase when news dripped out about those offers. -
Theory, why we held onto to prospects
Transmogrified Tiger replied to Jssanto's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
The pattern is at least partially coincidence, the idea that they were keeping their powder dry for the CBA expiration when negotiating with Seiya in 2022(one week after the current CBA was ratified) or that they might've given Taillon a 5th year if not for the CBA is silly. It's also a goal that has diminishing returns, needing to replace like 9 different FA that you've staggered to one offseason hurts your ability to actually do that effectively. Lastly it's one that only makes sense on the margins and not for the most important player on the roster. They traded for Tucker knowing his situation, and there isn't a laundry list of great players up for FA in 2027. It would be taking a somewhat logical idea(don't have *too much* guaranteed money post-CBA in case the spending landscape shifts significantly), and applying it to an absurd degree to say that we can't make a big commitment to the best player on the roster because of 2027 money. And if we think Taillon and Suzuki are proof of that conservatism, then they've already broken it with Swanson! -
do you really think the Cubs are trending towards a 19-33 finish
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Theory, why we held onto to prospects
Transmogrified Tiger replied to Jssanto's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Especially given the other position players already on the roster, replacing Tucker if they don't sign him will be about getting the best hitter they can, regardless of position. Caissie and Alcantara are not reasonable candidates for that mantle, the more likely explanation is that teams asks for multi-year SP were beyond the pale because none were moved. I'm not sure I follow why not signing Tucker and trading Happ would work in tandem. If anything it's the opposite because the motivation for trading Happ would be financial and absent Tucker you have less financial pressures. Given how little money is guaranteed beyond 2026, I find it hard to believe the team will be extra conservative because of the potential for a work stoppage or revamped CBA. There's little they can do that would put them behind the 8 ball of any CBA outcome that is at all within reason. -
A tidy 9 pitches for Palencia, nice
