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Transmogrified Tiger

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Everything posted by Transmogrified Tiger

  1. Transmogrified Tiger
    Happ is not the worst hitter among the starters in terms of rest of season expectation, Caissie is not playing better than him, and Happ is leaps and bounds better defensively and on the bases.
  2. Transmogrified Tiger
    considering that zero controlled SP moved even when negotiating with orgs not led by Jed Hoyer, this could also read as 'the Cubs correctly do not assign extra value to long term reliever control'
  3. Transmogrified Tiger
    The Marquee broadcast just pulled up on MLB.TV for me
  4. Transmogrified Tiger
    And ensures his next start is against the Brewers
  5. Transmogrified Tiger
    I think for better or worse the Cubs are tracking Horton's workload at a more granular level than innings, I don't think there's going to be a huge shutdown coming for him. That said there *might* be an opportunity to get him a bit of a blow if they wanted to go that route. You could option him tomorrow, have him be the 26th man for the Brewers double header, and then call him back up for the stretch for his next turn after that. He'd only miss one start so he won't have to build back up the endurance, and with the return of Assad and Taillon imminent plus 2 off days Thursday and Monday you aren't risking anyone else going on short rest to compensate. You just need to be willing to cycle through a few Iowa relievers in the meantime.
  6. Transmogrified Tiger
    Entering today, Turner was up to a 125 wRC+ against LHP for the year, and 150 since May 1. 2 for 3 w/ a 2B against them today.
  7. Transmogrified Tiger
    Feels like it's starting to come together for Cade, this doesn't include today
  8. Transmogrified Tiger
    Here's the thing, I do not believe this at all. And part of the reason I know this is that your second half of the post easily applies to basically all of the playoff field. Again, the starting point is always (borderline absurd) pessimism and everything else just works backwards from there in search of justification.
  9. Transmogrified Tiger
    1. This is not really a thing, giving the Astros extra credit for the success they had even 2 years ago with a different manager and 80% different roster is silly, it's working backwards to justify pessimism. 2. The Mets have one (1) 90 win season in the last 10 years, 0 division titles, and are 1-2 in playoff series during that time. Add them to the other teams you discounted and you're only holding up the Dodgers and the aforementioned Astros
  10. Transmogrified Tiger
    Khal Stephen was a 2nd round pick having a great season and had broken into some Top 100 lists(Fangraphs had him at 80). I would consider Wiggins a better prospect but the Cubs don't have a different pitching prospect that exceeds Stephen's pedigree.
  11. Transmogrified Tiger
  12. Transmogrified Tiger
    He took 95 off the elbow, almost got backpicked on a pitchout, and Hoerner was in exclusively fastball counts.
  13. Transmogrified Tiger
    Also the underlying implication is that for it not to matter in a convo about 2027 expenditure, the Cubs would be making offers they know for absolute certain won't be accepted, with the main upside being that it might pacify a small percentage of the fanbase when news dripped out about those offers.
  14. Transmogrified Tiger
    The pattern is at least partially coincidence, the idea that they were keeping their powder dry for the CBA expiration when negotiating with Seiya in 2022(one week after the current CBA was ratified) or that they might've given Taillon a 5th year if not for the CBA is silly. It's also a goal that has diminishing returns, needing to replace like 9 different FA that you've staggered to one offseason hurts your ability to actually do that effectively. Lastly it's one that only makes sense on the margins and not for the most important player on the roster. They traded for Tucker knowing his situation, and there isn't a laundry list of great players up for FA in 2027. It would be taking a somewhat logical idea(don't have *too much* guaranteed money post-CBA in case the spending landscape shifts significantly), and applying it to an absurd degree to say that we can't make a big commitment to the best player on the roster because of 2027 money. And if we think Taillon and Suzuki are proof of that conservatism, then they've already broken it with Swanson!
  15. Transmogrified Tiger
    do you really think the Cubs are trending towards a 19-33 finish
  16. Transmogrified Tiger
    Especially given the other position players already on the roster, replacing Tucker if they don't sign him will be about getting the best hitter they can, regardless of position. Caissie and Alcantara are not reasonable candidates for that mantle, the more likely explanation is that teams asks for multi-year SP were beyond the pale because none were moved. I'm not sure I follow why not signing Tucker and trading Happ would work in tandem. If anything it's the opposite because the motivation for trading Happ would be financial and absent Tucker you have less financial pressures. Given how little money is guaranteed beyond 2026, I find it hard to believe the team will be extra conservative because of the potential for a work stoppage or revamped CBA. There's little they can do that would put them behind the 8 ball of any CBA outcome that is at all within reason.
  17. Transmogrified Tiger
    A tidy 9 pitches for Palencia, nice
  18. Transmogrified Tiger
    C. Can't be higher than that when your biggest hole goes (likely) unresolved, but the options to fill that hole that actually did move were very scarce and went at uncomfortable prices. Would've preferred some slightly different reliever options, but those are basically RNG for a 2 month period so I'm willing to see how they perform(plus the possibility Soroka goes to the pen and continues being dime-store Duran). Wanted the resources spent on pitching first and foremost, but Castro is the best position player fit and they got a strong deal on him so his raising of the floor on that side of the ball buoys the grade.
  19. Transmogrified Tiger
    Boy is that not how that comparison works on like 3 different levels, but enjoy being furious about the Cubs having a very good team I guess
  20. Transmogrified Tiger
    Listen dude if you just want to be mad that they didn't give us the dopamine hit of The Big Trade (tm), just say that instead of making up these increasingly intellectually dishonest caricatures
  21. Transmogrified Tiger
    They graduated 3 top 50 prospects in 12 months and used a bunch of prospect capital to get one of the best hitters in the game.
  22. Transmogrified Tiger
    Nope, the Cubs are a really good team with a really good outlook so I'm not going to do that type of prisoner of the moment silliness. He's taking on risk with the pitching staff, but he also made a sneaky big upgrade with Castro. Even though I would've rather the resources went to pitching than a position player, he made the one that was most impactful, and the true needle movers on the pitching side didn't really happen so there's either dozens of irrational GMs or the move wasn't truly there to be made. I probably would've preferred to pay a bit more for Iglesias than Kittredge, but Iglesias wasn't moved either so maybe that wasn't the choice.
  23. Transmogrified Tiger
    The Cubs' prospect capital is the lowest it's been in a number of years specifically because Jed has eaten into it significantly over the last 12 months.
  24. Transmogrified Tiger
    Initial thoughts Good: Good value in the trades they made Didn't give up too much prospect capital when they're already a bit depleted The pen got a pretty big jolt, Palencia/Keller/Thielbar/Rogers/Kittredge/Brasier should be nice for when consecutive game days stack up Castro is as big an upgrade as they can make on the position player side, injury insurance everywhere and a matchup skeleton key Bad: Playoff starter was the far and away biggest need and they didn't get one unless they are very right about Soroka. No 2026+ assets added aside from the right to pay Kittredge 9 million Lost a window to capitalize on the AAA hitters without risking value depreciation Silver lining: None of the controllable SP options went anywhere Of the rental SP the only one that is clearly more interesting than Soroka to me is Kelly and I'm still not super jazzed about him, so the prices may have been unreasonable Reasons to believe Soroka can be a Boyd-type of hit
  25. Transmogrified Tiger
    If you think the middle ground is off the table you're basically admitting you were never gonna be able to see the middle ground as a possibility.
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