I know it turned out deadly for the Cubs the last two years, last year when Cedeno didn't come close to his PECOTA, and two years ago when DuBois didn't come close to his PECOTA. What did PECOTA forecast for Cedeno last year? From my memory Bill James was real high on him, but I don't remember anything specific from PECOTA. Cedeno's a better case study for comparing to Pie than Dubois all things considered.