Transmogrified Tiger
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Everything posted by Transmogrified Tiger
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Re: Minor League Discussion & Boxes 6-17-2008
Transmogrified Tiger replied to Jon's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
Opitz with a walkoff HR in his first professional at bat! Boise wins 6-5. -
Re: Minor League Discussion & Boxes 6-17-2008
Transmogrified Tiger replied to Jon's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
I didn't realize Muyco was a pitcher now, he's in the game in the 8th, 5-5 the score. -
Re: Minor League Discussion & Boxes 6-17-2008
Transmogrified Tiger replied to Jon's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
Jay Jackson's Boise debut was not as promising. 2 IP, 3 H, 3 ER, 1/0 K/BB, 1 HR -
He doesn't play everyday because he's fragile, he doesn't play everyday because left handed pitchers make him look stupid.
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I think the 36/15 K/BB and 4 HR in 41.7 IP is a pretty solid indicator that he's better than he's pitched right now. His BABIP's about 30 points worse than it "ought to be".
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I liked Colin's take:
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What a difference a year makes in attitude around this place. In a good way. :lol: As you all know, I'm a pessimistic prick. It takes a LOT for me to make a statement like that. But I really am confident that we can generate something tonight. And if we don't we'll probably do it tomorrow. Being 20 games over .500 in June gives you that type of perspective. If the Cubs go on a 7 game losing streak, I'll probably go back to negativity, just so you know :) Maybe you should go lie down for a while.
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I agree with that statement, but our own roster is a consideration. We have a platoon that's a decent probability of putting up an .800-.850 OPS(with subpar defense) going forward. The upgrade to Beltran's .850-.900 OPS(with good defense) is probably a smaller one than using Sabathia/Burnett to replace Marquis or your best buddy Gallagher. However, Beltran would fix a problem long-term, unlike a Sabathia(and possibly Burnett), so it's still tempting. Too bad Edmonds/Johnson doesn't have the trade value Gallagher does.
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viewtopic.php?f=29&t=49226
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They fired Rick Peterson too.
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He's 3rd overall in pitches thrown in relief work. http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/stats/pitching?split=128&league=mlb&season=2008&seasonType=2&sort=pitches&type=pitch3&ageMin=17&ageMax=51&state=0&college=0&country=0&hand=a&pos=all But he doesn't average a huge number of pitches per IP at least. Not even in the top 200 @ 16.5/IP. He has a lot of quick low-stress innings. To be fair, he jumps up to 81st when you make the minimum 20 IP.
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Yeah, the Theriot comparison especially is an awful one. He's like Ryan Theriot, except he's bigger, left handed, and can hit doubles and home runs more than once per month.
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I think you could say Hendry is as good as Towers or Cashman. And honestly, I'm interested to see how successful Jocketty is without Dave Duncan to hold together a rotation for him. Classifying him with O'Dowd and Williams seems like a fair one though.
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Anyone with a BP Subscription want to help us poor people out with what Goldstein had to say about the Cubs draft?
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Hank Steinbrenner to NL: DROP DEAD
Transmogrified Tiger replied to Laura's topic in General Baseball Talk
If people believe it's entertaining, then it's not a myth whether you fall in that category or not. Personally, I'd rather not have the DH, but I think both leagues need to have the same rule. -
Mota threw 194 innings the previous 4 seasons combined before throwing 201 those two seasons. Same thing with Proctor. 156 IP in '03-'04, 188 in '05-'06. Jim Brower is a journeyman who was not particularly good in his heavy use years and was 32 in 2005. Dotel had his best 3 years following his year of heaviest use, and got hurt at age 31. Villareal is the best example, but his minor league usage was such: 64 IP, 63, 141, 148, then 98 at the MLB level. And even beyond the examples, relievers gain and lose effectiveness all the time independent of injury. You can find similar fluctuations among healthy relievers if they didn't get thrown into trash heap after a poor season.
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To clarify, that's a slightly different argument. I'm certainly not saying to send Marmol out in any and every situation, I didn't want him out there yesterday and definitely wasn't happy when he started the 8th.
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No, because starters who aren't overworked get hurt all the time, and so do relievers who aren't overworked. I'm not saying that people who come from higher workloads are immune, I'm saying/theorizing they aren't a ticking bomb like some are making it out to be.
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I think that's rather absurd. 140 innings of starting every 5th day is not the same as 100 innings of relief work every other day. I think you could say that the latter is significantly easier, as it pertains to injury prevention. When it comes to overuse, what's the cause of the injury? Fatigue leading to poor mechanics. When you've thrown more innings than that prior to the usage, and the usage isn't long enough to fatigue the arm and cause mechanical breakdown, then I don't think it's a particularly large risk(while noting the all pitchers are risks because pitching is unnatural, etc.).
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I think you could say that as long as the player comes straight from a workload that is greater or similar to their current usage, that there's close to no such thing as reckless usage of a reliever.
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What's gotten into the Cardinals?
Transmogrified Tiger replied to bukie's topic in General Baseball Talk
That's not true at all. I saw a list the other day that had something like 6 Cardinals at least 15 points above their projected EqA. And that's just the hitters. -
Bruntlett was safe at home, the Cards are likely losers if that call was made correctly, regardless of LOB or errors or walks.
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Someone said last week that Hughes was at the Yankees-A's series. He's probably looking at Oakland's starters, namely Blanton and Harden.
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Marmol has gone more than 1 inning in 1 of his last 12 appearances(it came on 2 days rest). He's gone less than an inning and under 10 pitches in 4 of his last 7 appearances.
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I hope to see some of Dwayne Kemp.
