Transmogrified Tiger
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Everything posted by Transmogrified Tiger
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Please be more specific
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I've watched this more than any other highlight of last year's playoffs.
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TJS for Drew Smyly.
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Random In-season Musings and Rumors
Transmogrified Tiger replied to Post Count Padder's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Derek Norris got released in no small part because of a domestic violence allegation. I wouldn't think that this takes Caratini off the table because I bet they'll still look to add another catcher of some sort, but Caratini's value isn't so high that it probably doesn't make a huge difference either way. -
Thus far this year, yes.
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I saw the thread title from the forum index and would've bet my house that jersey started this thread.
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Avila is also framing poison. I've been poking around different teams and didn't see an ideal option. Maybe Phegley if you're already making a deal with the A's?
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Bad. Unclear if better than Montero. Yeah. Tommy Birch was on the radio this morning, basically said scouts were iffy on him early on but lately the reports on his defense have gotten much better. You're also losing Montero's elite framing, and Montero is a better offensive bet than Caratini the rest of the season too. Caratini's at 28% CS% this year, which would be league average if it continued in MLB.
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Bad. Unclear if better than Montero.
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Logan
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okay, maybe Miggy really will be gone [tweet] [/tweet] [tweet] [/tweet]
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I would argue that Eloy + Cease > Russell + McKinney (or more specifically, Eloy = Russell and Cease > McKinney). Doolittle is a non-trivial addition, and he does have the potential to be a bullpen fixture for 3.5 years, but he's also had repeated injury worries and turns 31 before this season is over. If I'm giving up 1-2 in the system(considering Happ graduated) then I don't think that's what I want in return, even if it's not necessarily an unfair ask. I would very much like to see a decisive move for a SP, but emptying the farm of the guys who have truly high ceilings and getting that much injury risk back in return goes too far for me.
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He's not necessarily wrong, but very dumb to say. Just limit his starts with Arrieta on the mound(who is by far the worst at this) and especially do so if you're facing someone like Turner/Hamilton/Villar and things will be fine. Montero always had 4 months left on his Cubs tenure to begin with(and so does Jake) so I'm not terribly concerned about reverberating effects. EDIT: Arrieta can also help by not letting Turner, Goodwin and Taylor reach base 5 out of 8 times.
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http://66.media.tumblr.com/0b903165325adb4579316f62e604186a/tumblr_o3c39z5A5N1ufl1nbo1_500.gif
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[tweet] [/tweet] Right handed hitters have a .386 OPS against Scherzer this year. RIP Javy
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[tweet] [/tweet]
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not only do i expect that, i wouldn't even be shocked if they went on a run that got them to 95+. they absolutely are capable of it, this is almost entirely the same roster that won 200 games in 2 seasons, if not better in some ways (and i anticipate adding a good starting pitcher too), and the division is far worse than it was. guess i'm the only crazy one for whom the needle hasn't moved much as far as the projection and perception of this roster's talent as a result of a couple months of .500ish ball. btw, they've been playing at about a 95 win pace in june...(kind of crazy to think that that that's what 14-10 projects out to, but yeah). I don't think my perception has materially changed(maybe a bit for the rotation), but the games in the bank make 90+ wins a difficult ask. Winning an even 90 games requires that they play at a 96 win pace the rest of the year, winning 95 requires a 106 win pace. Are they capable of that? I think so, especially if they add a SP. But I find it hard to *expect* that or treat it as a base assumption.
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The Cubs have to play at an 89 win pace the rest of the year to get to 86 wins. That, give or take a couple wins, should be the expectation, Fangraphs says they'll get to 88. It's also very likely to win the division, Fangraphs doesn't have anyone else getting above 80(St. Louis at 80, Milwaukee at 78)
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I'm coming around on Gray a bit, mostly because with only 2+ years instead of 3+ for names like Archer, Stroman, Quintana plus the arm worry you're likely looking at a less extravagant player cost. Especially since Oakland is more likely than average to value guys like Candelario/Caratini/Zagunis, I wonder if they could pull it off with Cease as a headliner and not touching the MLB roster.
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so i'm guessing almora was too slow to even register w/the statcast equipment Faster than Russell, Heyward, and Contreras! (but below average for CF)
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Statcast now reporting on player speed: https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/sprint_speed_leaderboard?year=2017&position=&team= The fastest Cub and in the Top 15 of all MLB is....Happ? Bryant is the fastest 3B, faster than both Baez and Russell. Contreras is 2nd among catchers behind the shockingly fast Realmuto. Montero is the 3rd slowest player in all of MLB, ahead of McCann and Pujols. I'm not sure if this is measuring average or simply the fastest recorded time so take it with a grain of salt, but still fun.
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Teams will shift Rizzo forever if it means the worst case scenario for them is a single(maybe a double if placed perfectly).
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watching Maddon manage circles around Dusty is really, really cathartic
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Willson is like 80% caffeinated bubblegum so I bet he'll shake it off
