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Transmogrified Tiger

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Everything posted by Transmogrified Tiger

  1. Transmogrified Tiger
    You think Candelario is more likely than Zagunis or Caratini? I think both find their way into starters AB's, even if its not necessarily at a single position for Caratini. Can't argue that it does appear a bit weak right now. But, if Amaya shows up big in Eugene soon, this may render it almost moot. At any rate, I think the position player group looks quite a bit better at this point next year, than it does now. Especially if they draft a guy in the 1st next year. I think Zagunis and Caratini can both be useful, but I don't think they'll be every day players on a playoff team. I think Candelario can be and is pretty close to that trajectory. The reason the group is weak is entirely understandable and reasonable, but we can also call a spade a spade. In unrelated news, Zack Short got promoted to Myrtle Beach.
  2. Transmogrified Tiger
    That position player group looks pretty weak to me. You've got Eloy, and then the only ones currently on a trajectory to be an MLB starter are Candelario and Burks. It's palatable because Eloy is a superprospect and there's already a team full of under 25s at the MLB level, but the position player group is not good. Mostly because of successful drafting emptying it faster and intentional decisions to take a bunch of pitchers in top 10 rounds, but weak nonetheless.
  3. Transmogrified Tiger
    Ridings got an extended call out in the Verducci book. They worked him out at Wrigley pre-draft and his Trackman performance was really good, if I recall he gets incredible extension so his effective velocity is higher than his radar gun readings.
  4. Transmogrified Tiger
    Or that Schmidt insisted on 'first round money' and that's the lowest number that qualifies.
  5. Transmogrified Tiger
    hello eric, this is you as a old man you win many world series with cubs, but you are alone, and old
  6. Transmogrified Tiger
    IMO not a chance he gets deals that low. Agreed 7 years is unlikely, 200M is nuts. But he's going to get 5 or 6 years, and an AAV that's 25M+. Shark, Wei Yin Chen, Mike Leake, Jordan Zimmermann, Ian Kennedy all got 5 years. Cueto, Greinke got 6. Arrieta is going to be 32 on opening day next year, that's going to dampen a lot of enthusiasm. Unless he pitches much better for the rest of the year, like much better than even his improved self over the last 6 weeks, then I'd be a little surprised if he exceeded 5/100.
  7. Transmogrified Tiger
    Eugene has 13 runs on 15 hits in 6 innings. It appears I've been given credit for 2 hits just for looking at the box score.
  8. Transmogrified Tiger
    The internet is here to help, Andrew. [tweet]https://twitter.com/chicken__puppet/status/878411053142388736[/tweet]
  9. Transmogrified Tiger
    That run is on Baez
  10. Transmogrified Tiger
    Perdomo is a decent option if the Padres are done with him as a starter. The deluxe option would be seeing if the Rangers want to give up on Martin Perez and turn him into another Wood/Montgomery. Maybe Tom Koehler?
  11. Transmogrified Tiger
    Obviously let things play out, see if the recent surge from Russell can continue, or if Zo or Kyle come back stronger than ever, but as it stands, this team has 2 above average hitters and a rookie enjoying a lot of early success. The young guys have been so up and down. I'd love to have another 120+ wRC+ bat in the lineup. I like Maybin, I campaigned for him as a buy-low candidate back when he was a Padre and then a Brave, but ZiPS only has him as a 105 wRC+ bat the rest of the year. Maybe that's pessimistic, but if you're making an acquisition in the name of offensive certainty, I don't think he's your guy. Backfilling because we sent Happ and Almora in a deal for Archer or something like that? Sure. But the Cubs currently have plenty of guys who are good bets to give you what Maybin is gonna provide with the bat.
  12. Transmogrified Tiger
    Iglesias then it gets way less straight forward on who that guy could be. I've always liked Brandon Maurer's arm when he's pitching. The Reds are pretty rich with these guys depending on how you view Stephenson and Reed along with Iglesias and Lorenzon. Jharel Cotton has the arm to be an impactful pitcher and has always been a little HR prone as a SP. Mike Minor is putting up good numbers as a reliever with the Royals, but I almost fell asleep writing that sentence. Most of those guys are already in the pen on their respective teams, heck Maurer has been the Padres closer since some time last year. Unless you're talking about one that has been actively bad(only Stephenson from that list), then you might as well try to trade for a good reliever regardless of their origin(which is fine, but not the point I was making). What I was getting at is finding the next guy like pre-2017 Minor, or even pre-Padres Mauer.
  13. Transmogrified Tiger
    Points for originality, but zero chance I'm trading a reliever that's producing well. 'Good enough' in the bullpen turns into a disaster in the blink of an eye. All it takes is CJ coming down with an arm injury and you're trying to win a title with Strop and Uehara as the back end of the pen, and that's a scary proposition. If I'm doing something outside the box, I'm trying to trade for a failed starter that is a good candidate to boost the pen and hopefully help in future years. Like davell mentions, at the moment, next year's pen stalwarts are Edwards, Strop, and that's pretty much it. I had a hard time finding an awesome candidate for this when I looked a week or two ago, but the nature of acquisitions like Strop or Montgomery is that the problem is as much mechanical as it is hidden peripheral success that a new org can bring forward.
  14. Transmogrified Tiger
    [tweet] [/tweet]
  15. Transmogrified Tiger
    Lackey v. Strasburg, that's some good date-pickin'
  16. Transmogrified Tiger
    Moved this to Transactions since it fits better. It would've been fine as a separate thread too. I've liked Maybin for a long time, but I have a hard time seeing the need for a position player unless they trade significant assets from the MLB roster(probably at least 2 players) in order to get a SP.
  17. Transmogrified Tiger
    Is it just me or did anyone else just assume Preller had already gotten fired for ruining the Padres beyond repair? I looked him up just now to see when that happened and was surprised to see he's still San Diego's GM. Then I go to make this post and what's the most recent one above it?
  18. Transmogrified Tiger
    [tweet] [/tweet]
  19. Transmogrified Tiger
    Judging by the WHIP disparity and the K/BB being similar, it looks a lot like he was getting BABIP'd. Now that last night is in the Fangraphs split tool, it's a little easier to tell. That's definitely a big part of it, in the first 8 starts he had a BABIP over 100 points higher even though his soft/med/hard contact didn't change much. HR/FB is slightly higher and his pop up rate lower in the latter half too so that's not a contributing cause. The main improvement is his GB% jumped from 40% to 48%, which is probably emblematic of having better command. He's getting squared just as much, but they're on pitches that lend themselves to being smashed into the ground and not going for extra base hits.
  20. Transmogrified Tiger
    The Cubs are playing at a 97 win pace in June.
  21. Transmogrified Tiger
    Arrieta now has 15 starts on the year. First 8 starts: 44.2 IP, 5.44 ERA, 1.46 WHIP, 49/13 K/BB, 8 HR Last 7 starts: 40 IP, 3.15 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 40/12 K/BB, 5 HR
  22. Transmogrified Tiger
    Russell has raised his OPS from .620 to .710 in 11 days.
  23. Transmogrified Tiger
    For those that don't click through, the Cubs have had the 3rd friendliest zone, 3rd best for hitters and 13th best for pitchers.
  24. Transmogrified Tiger
    He had that little stretch after the oppo granny where he was crushing balls to LF-LCF but then he destroyed Harvey and it seems like he went right back to trying to yank everything. What article is this from and is there more quotes from Theo, Jed and Joe anywhere? http://www.bleachernation.com/2017/06/22/theo-epstein-speaks-schwarbers-demotion-hendricks-makes-progress-zagunis-is-ready-ish-more/
  25. Transmogrified Tiger
    Adding on to this because I hadn't seen it: http://chicago.suntimes.com/sports/zobrists-mri-comes-back-clean-expected-to-be-back-next-week/ Zobrist is likely to be back tomorrow, or Monday at the latest. The Cubs face LHSP today and Saturday, so Schwarber wasn't likely to be in the lineup much until Zobrist is back anyways.
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