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Transmogrified Tiger

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Everything posted by Transmogrified Tiger

  1. Wonder if this came down to Leiter Jr's lack of options. Either that or they don't see much sustainability in his 2022 and would rather bet on Rucker's velocity.
  2. I'm not quite as pessimistic on Morel as that stat implies, but this dynamic is the type of thing that drives me nuts about a lot of statcast/next-gen fan analysis. There are attributes that are objectively good but more of them doesn't necessarily mean better when you have to sacrifice other positive attributes to get there(or don't have the skill to avoid the sacrifice). It's tantamount to saying 'wow look at his slugging percentage' for a guy hitting .200/.240/.450
  3. Even if it is the latter, I just don't see this clear distinction between Farmer and Wisdom defensively that make it worth the resources to bring in Farmer. And more importantly, there's no indication the FO shares the view that Farmer or someone like him is missing from the position player pool. Case in point, that choice above could even be extended to say, Velazquez instead of Wisdom and be more useful to the shape of the roster than a 2nd or 3rd RHH 3B.
  4. Feels like we're starting to out-think ourselves a bit. The team has had the whole offseason to hedge against Morel not being able to hit LHP last year(which will continue past his first 100 MLB PA despite normal to heavy MiLB platoon splits because reasons?) or Wisdom having an outlier negative RAA at 3B despite marginally different UZR, and they've been connected to basically zero players at the position. Even the bat first guys have been Abreu, Mancini, Hosmer, Smith, not a 3B in the bunch. Farmer is a clear upgrade to the existing 3B on one axis, and that's making contact. Aside from that it's questionable at best he's a better defender(-3 at SS last year, 65 MLB games at 3B, older than Wisdom) or at hitting LHP(career marks similar to Wisdom, and again Morel should hit them hard).
  5. Not sure what this means, Messi gonna sign with Newcastle? No, with Ronaldo But the quoted tweet is about Messi and his current (Qatari owned) club?
  6. MLS has a Saudi problem Not sure what this means, Messi gonna sign with Newcastle?
  7. Kingsbury was also the exception in that he wasn't a particularly good college coach either. 35-40 overall, 2 winning seasons out of 6(and none in his most recent 3), never more than 8 wins in a season(his first season). Texas Tech can be hard to recruit to, but not that hard.
  8. Yeah I absolutely understand the wariness around 3B, but it's also a spot where there's no less than 4 internal options(Morel, Wisdom, McKinstry, Mastrobuoni), all of which are at least okay defenders and 2 each that are RH/LH that can make for a functional platoon. It may take some time to get it just right, but I also think last year they showed a willingness to act quickly enough with poor performers(Heyward, Villar, Simmons) that I think they'll be able to avoid it being a black hole. I'll also say that I can marshal enough optimism for McKinstry and Mastrobuoni in particular that I'm not all that enthused about adding someone like Wendle to the mix, as I'm not sure there's a material difference. For example, look at what someone like Brendan Donovan did last year and compare his building blocks to Mastrobuoni.
  9. Another factor here could be if they feel that Wisdom's usefulness has mostly run its course and they don't want to count on him making the roster
  10. Are there meaningful at bats at 3B to be had for a bench bat? Morel, Wisdom, and probably one of McKinstry/Mastrobuoni will be on the roster, Mervis & Hosmer are going to get meaningful 1B/DH at bats, and that addition regardless of position will suck up further DH opportunities. You can make a similar point for other positions too, so my point is really I don't think it matters much what the bat can do positionally, though if anything I'd lean towards it needing to be an OF.
  11. Pollock is intriguing, he was pretty poor for someone with his workload last year, but got better as the season went on, and for this roster spot would be a nice addition given his track record and skill set. Kinda wonder if he has an inflated sense of his value that he's still unsigned though, by turning down his player option he essentially bet that he'd do better than 1/8 in FA, and I'm not sure where that would be coming from at this point.
  12. Mixon posted the league rules around game cancellations, saying those should simply be followed here. It's a cancelled game and there's a game cancellation policy. Horrible situation surrounding the cancellation but I'm not sure why the existing policy isn't used. Do you have that handy? If that's true that a policy already exists (which makes sense it would since they probably gamed this with covid), just go with it. It is *basically* what they are doing, except for the unnecessary permutations around home field.
  13. At a minimum, calling it a tie/not playing the game and going off winning percentage seems like a way better idea than staggering the playoff rounds between conferences(creating a rest advantage for the super bowl and/or weakening the NFC's bye) just to make the game up. I'd argue that's better than changing the playoff structure on a few days notice too.
  14. Looks like the Devers dream is dead
  15. The end of the roster math is starting to get interesting, as much as that can be true even for roster sickos. With the 40 man, it's currently full so Hosmer needs to replace someone. The recently signed Kay is an obvious target, but after that you have to at least squint. Other candidates could be Rucker, one of Mastrobuoni/McKinstry, after that you're having to part with upside(Estrada/Rodriguez) or recent MLB form(Sampson/Assad). Plus this isn't likely to be the last addition of the offseason, I'd expect there to be at least one more reliever brought in, and in optimizing the 26 man roster you could probably stand to add an OF to the mix too. Several 40 man guys could be trade options for one of those(Madrigal, Sampson, maybe Velazquez), and strictly speaking you don't have to have another bat(the bench is already a roster spot heavy unless you're optioning Madrigal, Velazquez can be the reserve OF), but the path gets a little hazy from here.
  16. Would they? Roster Resource has Hudson as the de facto closer, and while there's plenty of talent and 2022 performance in their pen, it is light on MLB late inning experience for a championship contender. My guess is before selling off Hudson they'd kick someone a prospect to eat the last year of Treinen's deal while he rehabs his shoulder.
  17. Jordan Wicks could be up soon too
  18. my 'not trying to get a coach fired after my kid got benched by sharing 30 year old domestic violence incidents with the federation' shirt is generating a lot of questions answered by the shirt
  19. Looking forward to confusing Wick and Wieck again in 2024
  20. I've had a similar thought, my guess is at a certain point the NFL starts dinging you for doing so given how they tend to evaluate players, maybe excepting for players a true cut above the rest. I also think this will probably have some tension with NIL stuff going forward too. Boosters paying big sponsorship bucks probably aren't going to be too jazzed about recipients skipping games that matter.
  21. What matters is how much is paid over the course of the full season, so while we simplify by thinking in round terms there's a lot of micro adjustments in the real number with call-ups and the exact amount paid for player benefits(which on the outside we just roundly estimate). But to your point, I don't know what the exact purpose would be of creeping over the line to start the season and requiring yourself to jump down under it if the team isn't great. The roster doesn't set itself up for that very well in terms of overall quality or tradeable contracts, and the benefit of spending a bit more is pretty muted. The one exception would probably be if Boston gets serious about trading Devers, but that's a big enough upgrade that you're realistic contenders for the division.
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