Transmogrified Tiger
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Everything posted by Transmogrified Tiger
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Eyeballing that feed, I think the issue is that Articles live in their own category, but writers cross-post them to the forum for discussion. Taking Matt's article today as an example, the article lives at this URL: https://northsidebaseball.com/news-rumors/chicago-cubs/how-marcus-stroman-explains-the-2023-cubs-we-hope-r12/ but there's a forum topic about it that shows up in that feed: https://northsidebaseball.com/forums/topic/50759-article-how-marcus-stroman-explains-the-2023-cubs-we-hope/#comment-3804570 -
It's that time. How many wins?
Transmogrified Tiger replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
The former. Also, the last two deadlines has shown there isn't a massive haul to be had in selling guys off in the current era, so this is mostly a 'the pen isn't going to be stripped for parts' statement than it is about Happ or Bellinger. -
Mexico was so uninspiring in their Nations League group(two draws to Jamaica and only +5 in two matches against Suriname) that they're the worst of the group winners, which means that they're the USMNT's semifinal opponent in June. The other semi will be Canada vs. Panama, unless Costa Rica get 2 goals in the next 10 mins in their match v. Panama.
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It's that time. How many wins?
Transmogrified Tiger replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
84. They've upgraded on last year's team with the big signings and the farm system is ready to backstop depth in a way they weren't last year. I'd normally say 81-82 but I'm giving them a bump since they won't sell in July and they're set up to benefit from run environment changes more than the average team. -
That is how it's currently sorted, but it looks like a couple old threads were mistakenly pinned with the board software change. I unpinned them so it should be better now.
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Yeah I almost didn't include that bit because it's not like the team would turn down an extra year of Hoerner just because he aligns with some other FA, and to your point they back themselves to not have the cliff they saw with the last core. I think it underscores the benefit they would have gotten by trying to get another year or two if they could though, there's very little difference in the downsides if that deal is 4/55 or 4/60. Maybe Nico did insist as insurance that he can get paid as a SS, but that logic is at least a little odd considering he'd have 3 years of mostly playing 2B unless Swanson gets hurt, so there'd be open questions about him still being that caliber SS.
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Clicking the thread title itself should do that as the default behavior I think.
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It's T-Mobile Tuesday free MLB.tv time
Transmogrified Tiger replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
At least on iOS, make sure you update the MLB app first. I tried a couple times where it said it worked but no subscription showed on the MLB account end. Updating the app and doing it one more time did the trick. -
The goalposts are probably moving after last offseason though, and Nico's 2022 is a fair bit better than any season Frazier(who is also 2 years older) and Rosario have had. I think the 5/10/20 is a pretty fair anchor point.
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Good Adds a year under contract to a good player Starts next year so doesn't touch this year's LT payroll when they're very close to it now Doesn't commit to super long term where a player with Nico's attributes/injury history has more downside Proof of concept that they can extend pre-FA players Bad Only buys out one year when they could've done 2-3 without a ton of downside Lines up Nico, Seiya, and Taillon to all hit FA the same year
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Cody Bellinger's Spring Training K% vs. Regular Season K% 2017: 29% ST/26% regular season 2018: 25%/24% 2019: 26%/16% skipping 2020 due to Covid gap (14%/17% if you're curious) 2021: 35%/27% 2022: 49%/27% 2023: 16%/????
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Guzman looks like an IFA signing that converted from hitting to pitching after a couple seasons(so my guess is there's good velo there). He's done nothing but start games so far, but between his age(25 next month), level(only got 1.1 IP in AA last year), and results(unremarkable) I'm thinking they're gonna maybe mess with his breaking pitches and tell him to go nuts in relief.
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The tweet embeds themselves are slow loading, but that was an issue with the old site too(and made direct linking a pain because it screwed up scroll positioning) and is likely a Twitter issue. Haven't noticed the rest of a page's content loading slowly on this end(Safari, mostly desktop but some mobile).
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The stolen bases are coming: Worth remembering this is a sneaky source of depth on the baserunning side of the ball. On a per 150 game basis, Swanson, Happ, Suzuki, Bellinger, Morel, Velazquez, and even Wisdom were 10+ SB guys last year, with Hoerner, McKinstry, and Mastrobuoni (AAA) at 20+. They were 4th in total SB last year. They were also very good defensively(both raw SB totals and rSB) but it's hard to disentangle how much of that was Willson.
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I don't have a particular attachment to McKinstry, but DFAing him to make sure you can carry a third catcher(and in particular *these* 3 catchers) or risk losing Torrens to opt-out seems insane to me. And similarly, if retaining quality depth is such a concern, why would Rucker(who has not been good in ST) be a lock at the likely expense of Leiter Jr's(who has been excellent in ST) potential opt out?
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I love the catcher one, although I think a lot of the evening up in that comparison happens outside WAR. Rios is part of the last All-Star roster spot voting. Davis gets an extended MLB shot before Mervis (this is only really bold in the context of the roster) By the end of the year Kilian is higher in people's 2024 rotations than Steele By the stretch run, Alzolay is getting used a lot like Hader as a 3-5 out bridge to the closer(Fulmer)
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Something that was maybe blindingly obvious to everyone else, but I didn't realize til this morning. From the forums view, forums that have no unread posts have the icon grayed out, while forums that do have unread posts stay normal transparency. I was missing the ability to jump between forums that have unread posts and it was there in a different form all along.
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This is aggregated by posts instead of topics, but it is all unreads: https://northsidebaseball.com/discover/unread/ You can tweak the filters(and supposedly make that your profile's default) so only Topics(aka forum) stuff shows up and not blogs or other things.
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There was a graphic during the Houston game that said it hasn't happened in the 45 year history of seeds in the tournament.
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Minor League Musings
Transmogrified Tiger replied to Little Slide Rooter's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
This time next year everyone is gonna know Brandon Birdsell's name and he'll be knocking on the door of both the MLB roster and Cubs Top 10 lists. If I wanted to be especially hot takey I'd call him the best player from last year's draft, but I don't really believe that. -
how many times do we have to learn our lesson, the injury update thread will still come for us even if we try to play semantic games with the thread title
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So I've not really gotten very excited about Balogun because I didn't see much that was pointing to him picking the US, but dropping out of England U21 camp and then beelining to meet with the USMNT has my attention. As an aside, finally a useful outcome of the insane energy some people have towards the national team, playing geoguessr on his social media pics.
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A simple and imperfect way of thinking about it. Ohtani is a 140 wRC+ hitter, and I don't see much reason to think he wouldn't be at least passable in RF if he stopped pitching. Given his sprint speed and arm strength he'd probably be at least a little above average. That profile is basically Kyle Tucker and about a 5 win guy over a full season. He'll be 29 when he hits free agency, so you can probably average the Turner, Bogaerts, and Correa(before the injury concerns) deals and have a decent approximation of the value of Ohtani the hitter. *Then* you add in the value of him pitching, which is him being a 5 win TOR starter last year and probably for at least a couple more years, since he's made noise about giving up pitching. A 5 win starter who recently signed a short term deal because his pitching days are coming close to an end sounds a lot like Scherzer. So tack on Scherzer's money to the SS average and you probably can squint and see 10/450? This doesn't exactly work for a few reasons, but it might be a useful starting point.
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World Baseball Classic 2023
Transmogrified Tiger replied to PackLandVA's topic in General Baseball Talk
I think the other part of it is the balls in play downside, imperfect splitters become home runs more often than other pitches. Moreso with the launch angle/low ball hunters we've seen in recent years. -
Top 20 Cubs prospects
Transmogrified Tiger replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
On the BN list, 7 of the Top 10 will start the year at AA or higher by my count. Feels like it's been a while since we could say that.
