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SABR Gamer

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Everything posted by SABR Gamer

  1. SABR Gamer
    There's no reason we can't be in Red Sox territory with a new TV contract. There's not much reason we can't be now. $175M wouldn't leave any room for them to pay off debts or renovate Wrigley. How much money do you think they are making? It seems like you think they make a lot more than than actually do.
  2. SABR Gamer
    Sure, that's true, but he hasn't been able to make any real money. All the money they are making has either gone towards paying off the debt, building their baseball academy, or the renovations. They are putting it all back into the team, and since they have a lot of other things they are dealing with it means less goes towards the major league payroll. They better plan on building a dome and a solid gold statue of Ken Hubbs if the payroll in 2019 is going to be 145M It could very well be higher than 145, I just wouldn't expect it to be Yankee/Dodger/Red Sox territory. What would the 2019 equivalent be of a 145M 2012 payroll? That's more likely what the number will be.
  3. SABR Gamer
    The transcript misinterpreted what they were saying. The artificially high comment was in regards to the payroll in 2008ish (140 million+) was artificially and unsustainably high. I had a one on one with Ricketts myself and he said the same thing, there isn't much to debate about it. The team isn't going to have a payroll high than the 125-130 range WHILE they are competing until they get the TV deal and even then with the TV deal it wouldn't get much higher than 145. That's the plan so we should just get used to it. Then Ricketts is robbing the team blind McCourt style. Has to do with the debt and renovations, he isn't making much money at this point. He's probably made ~500M on franchise value alone. Sure, that's true, but he hasn't been able to make any real money. All the money they are making has either gone towards paying off the debt, building their baseball academy, or the renovations. They are putting it all back into the team, and since they have a lot of other things they are dealing with it means less goes towards the major league payroll.
  4. SABR Gamer
    Or he was just trying to make the point that the team on the field wasn't really reflective of what the payroll number was. The transcript misinterpreted what they were saying. The artificially high comment was in regards to the payroll in 2008ish (140 million+) was artificially and unsustainably high. I had a one on one with Ricketts myself and he said the same thing, there isn't much to debate about it. The team isn't going to have a payroll high than the 125-130 range WHILE they are competing until they get the TV deal and even then with the TV deal it wouldn't get much higher than 145. That's the plan so we should just get used to it. Then Ricketts is robbing the team blind McCourt style. Has to do with the debt and renovations, he isn't making much money at this point.
  5. SABR Gamer
    Or he was just trying to make the point that the team on the field wasn't really reflective of what the payroll number was. The transcript that I read misinterpreted what they were saying. The artificially high comment was in regards to the payroll in 2008ish (140 million+) was artificially and unsustainably high. I spoke with Ricketts myself and he said the same thing, there isn't much to debate about it. The team isn't going to have a payroll higher than the 125-130 range WHILE they are competing until they get the TV deal and even then with the TV deal it wouldn't get much higher than 145. That's the plan so we should just get used to it. ETA: You are right about what you are referring to, I didn't see that part. He was saying that the talent wasn't in line with payroll and the deferred contracts were making the number misleading. Either way, I guess my point is a different point then. Still stands as true though.
  6. SABR Gamer
    As long as we aren't giving up much, this could be a pretty solid pick up.
  7. SABR Gamer
    On Theo's plan, the truth is they are probably doing this because Ricketts can't afford to spend a lot while also renovating and paying off debt. I think that much is obvious at this point. It would be wise to start getting used to the fact that the payroll will likely stay around $125 million-$135 million until around 2019 when they have a chance for a new TV deal. Everyone is ignoring the "artificially high" payroll comment, but it doesn't change the fact that they are blatantly setting us up for lower payrolls for years to come while they deal with the financial situation.
  8. SABR Gamer
    Under the current playoff format, Epstein would have made the playoffs in both 2010, and 2011, while Jed would have made the playoffs in 2010. Only this years Cubs team and last years Padres team out of the 5 wouldn't be playoff teams in today's MLB. This year's Cubs team you can't really put on them anyway because there wasn't much of a chance they were going to make the playoffs without ruining the future. So really, only one team that was their fault didn't make the playoffs according to what matters today, which kind of hurts your argument and overall anti-Theo/Jed vibe you are going for.
  9. SABR Gamer
    And they all missed the playoffs. Considering that the defense for these intentional losing seasons is that we're going to have a long run of making the playoffs at the end of them, considering how likely that long run is should factor pretty heavily into assessing the merits of the plan. If we throw away three seasons waiting on the impact wave of homegrown talent, then have a couple of 89- or 90-win, no-playoff seasons after, pretty soon the math just doesn't add up. The playoff probability per win in the NL and AL are different, I'm pretty sure you know that. 89-90 wins in the NL is MUCH different than the AL. Being the supposed all-know fan you are I thought you would know this by now. "The most valuable wins to a NL club were typically wins 87 through 91, which increased a team’s playoff chances by 57 percentage points." "In the American League, because the two super-powers—NYY and BOS—typically upped the ante for the wild card, the highest leverage wins tended to be wins 90 through 94." 90 wins in the NL gives you a much higher chance to make the playoffs than it would in the AL.
  10. SABR Gamer
    How do White Sox fans feel about their boy AJP saying that the Tigers will be back again and stronger next year with Victor Martinez coming back?
  11. SABR Gamer
    Carolina is much better than their record, and even though this was ugly, the Bears proved they can still win even when they play like complete garbage.
  12. SABR Gamer
    How are they this bad?
  13. SABR Gamer
    Please stop posting, it would be a service to us all.
  14. SABR Gamer
    I want to break suh's back, bane style.
  15. SABR Gamer
    Wtf just happened?
  16. SABR Gamer
    Yeah wow, how did she screw that up?
  17. SABR Gamer
    What joke? This is a message board. I've voiced my opinion on the Cubs broadcast booth. You don't have to agree with it, and many here don't. In fact, based upon the last few pages, my preference for an announcer is not the preference of anybody else on the board. I wasn't aware that it was against NSBB rules to post a positive comment on a rival announcer. I hate so much about the things you choose to be.
  18. SABR Gamer
    So much that I disagree with here. Replacing Len with Sutton would be awful. Len was the reason the pairing was good, he wasn't elevated by Brenly in any way. I guess I see it different. I think Len is a decent enough announcer but I would much prefer Sutton. IMO Bob was the more entertaining of the two the more valuable one to the broadcast team. If this is serious, please stop posting. Immediately.
  19. SABR Gamer
    So much that I disagree with here. Replacing Len with Sutton would be awful. Len was the reason the pairing was good, he wasn't elevated by Brenly in any way. I guess I see it different. I think Len is a decent enough announcer but I would much prefer Sutton. IMO Bob was the more entertaining of the two the more valuable one to the broadcast team. Blasphemy! Not sure where to even start with this.
  20. SABR Gamer
    They are going to win the World Series again. I don't know why I should think otherwise. It's just sickening.
  21. SABR Gamer
    Lance Lynn will obviously pitch a shutout tonight.
  22. SABR Gamer
    Who cares about the Yankees anymore? They don't win every year, they don't buy every superstar that comes on the market anymore. Yes they still have the largest payroll in the game by a big margin, but that hasn't guaranteed them anything except 1 World Series title in the last 12 years. I'm not rooting for them or anything, but I honestly would be pretty indifferent if they won this year. I don't dislike the Yankees at all. I wanted the O's to win just because I've seen the Yankees over and over again in the playoffs, but if every organization tried to win as much as the Yankees, baseball would be better off. it's less the "trying to win" part than the "massive financial advantage and 26 championships" part that makes them so hateable. but really it's nice to see some breaks finally going the yankees' and cardinals' way after teams like the cubs dominated the past century of baseball. Nitpicking, but the Yankees have won 27 championships.
  23. SABR Gamer
    Those non-Baez whatevers better include Soler, Almora, and Maples. Then you hang up on them. Exactly. Beyond that and Castro or Rizzo, we'd have no chance at competing in a trade market for David Wright if he were available. Yeah, you don't know what you're talking about.
  24. SABR Gamer
    Almora was actually 35, with Soler 36.
  25. SABR Gamer
    I was wondering why he has to wear such a tight helmet.
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