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SABR Gamer

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  1. http://images.crispygamer.com/public/review-2531/facepalm.jpg
  2. Hawks all the way. Love this video:
  3. Skip picked ND to win. LOL
  4. This game is a joke.
  5. Regular seasons (most sports) are bloated in general anyway. As long as playoffs are full length, it's just as legitimate as any other year.
  6. Seeing people use that on this site for years I always assumed that's what it meant (it was the only thing that fit the context) but never knew why. Thanks for the explanation, now it won't bother me anymore.
  7. ?? For The Horde. I think Derwood doesn't know what it means.
  8. Very sad. Hate that this happened. RIP
  9. Plus he's playing OF. He could be a "super sub" type guy for us very soon. We need a RH bat at 3B/CF/RF for platoon and matchups as well, he should get an opportunity to prove he's the guy for that role sometime this year. Stats I am looking at actually have him @ .322/.390/.486 .877 OPS, I wonder if he will see any time starting at 3rd this year if Stewart pulls a Stewart.
  10. The fact that his fielding was rated so strongly by Fangraphs, yet couldn't throw a ball into the infield on less than 12 bounces, makes me further question how "valuable" a player really is by WAR when it's driven by baserunning and defense. Bourn is OK, but this team needs offense and DeJesus had a higher wOBA last year. That's why I tend to lean more towards BR. Didn't bWAR have Barney as one of the most valuable players in the game for like a long time last year? Maybe? Fangraphs still comes across as being way too generous way too often with their defensive metrics than BR. I thought it was the other way around? That's why Rizzo is worth 2.2 WAR on BR and only 1.8 WAR on FG, and Barney was a 4.6 WAR on BR and 2.5 WAR on FG.
  11. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/a-retrospective-look-at-the-price-of-a-win-part-two/ Even in 2011 the actual value (not the estimate) was at 5 and a half. Prices have seemed to go up this offseason so I can't imagine it's any lower now. ETA: I know it's ridiculous but it actually shows that in 2011, for the price range Jackson is in, $/WAR was actually valued at 11.4 million per win above replacement level.
  12. I'm decidedly not excited about 4/52, but .... it's not that bad. Just wonder if, in their minds as of right now (acknowledging that a lot of things can change), this is a swap (signing Jackson and then dealing Garza) or if it's to give them three solid arms in their prime to build around. Pretty much a market value contract. He's averaged about 3.5 fWAR a year the last 4 years and 1 WAR = about $4-4.5mm. Market value is definitely not 1 WAR = $4-4.5 million anymore.
  13. He said it's very unlikely Shark gets dealt but that when a team adds as much pitching as we have, teams start making phone calls to ask about availability and Shark has generated plenty of interest.
  14. I would think Villanueva ends up in the pen. I know he wants to start, but that doesn't seem to make much sense for us.
  15. Who are the odd men out if we also add Jackson?
  16. I was going from my memory of LaHair's rWAR not fWAR. but still, Rizzo is going to be a good improvement. Rizzo will be better than LaHair AND will likely be better than his own 2nd half numbers.
  17. LOL. Rizzo was worth 2 WAR in half a season, LaHair was worth 0 WAR for the full season. Rizzo should be a 4 or more win upgrade from LaHair.
  18. and who is that "actual ace" that you're going to get/sign? David Price. Judging by what they got for a year and an option of 30 year old James Shields, I can't even begin to think about the, er, price. Theo Epstein > Dayton Moore
  19. and who is that "actual ace" that you're going to get/sign? David Price.
  20. If you want to buy anything better than average pitching on the market, it costs money. Which we have in theory. Right now in our "plan", I'd rather burn money that trade prospects from a not better than shallow pool of good. Bourn doesn't pitch. He's not talking about Jackson. Jackson isn't sniffing 75 million.
  21. Yes, his May stats are inflated by how he was still good at the beginning of the month and then fell off a cliff in the second half. Look, I think Rizzo is likely going to beat up on the .796 production out of 1B last year and you don't. It's really that simple. Neely is assuming Rizzo won't improve on his numbers from last year, while almost everyone else is expecting he will by a good amount.
  22. Want. Yeah, trading for an actual good Tigers pitcher would be much preferrable. Maybe he ment Smyly, not Porcello? He could be pretty good.
  23. My bad, I misread then. I thought you were comparing both of their third months. It still isn't that close.
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