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dew1679666265

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Everything posted by dew1679666265

  1. dew1679666265
    I'm depressed. Pujols off the market, Wilson off the market at a really good price, Flaherty gone in the Rule 5 (don't really care about Gonzalez). I'm just going to have to blindly trust Theo at this point, but I'm far less than enthused so far.
  2. dew1679666265
    I thought it was 4 days? Wouldn't that make it 5 p.m. eastern on Dec. 12?
  3. dew1679666265
    Good question, and yes I've been a very strong CJ advocate. The difference between the two is multi-layered. First off, I'm not in favor of giving CJ a 6 year contract - I might if the money is lower than I expect, but my top offer has been 5/90 for him. If it goes above that, I'm ok with us missing out. However, the differences between CJ and Buehrle are what makes me want CJ more than Buehrle. CJ is 31, has thrown right around 700 MLB innings to this point, has been a 5 WAR pitcher on average the past two years, and his K/9 and BB/9 are better than or comparable to Buehrle's and they've gotten better from year one starting to year two starting. Buehrle is 33, has thrown 2,476 MLB innings, has reached a WAR of 5 once in his career, and strikes out close to half the guys per 9 that Wilson does. Wilson is much, much better than Buehrle, younger, and has less mileage on his arm.
  4. dew1679666265
    Somebody has to be willing to take on his contract.
  5. dew1679666265
    Interesting option. The overall numbers are pretty nice, but a poor BB% that has declined sharply in each of his 3 major league seasons and a steadily declining IsoD each year is very concerning. His BB% was 5.7% last year and his IsoD was .042. Mix that with some really high BABIPs (.382 and .345 in two of his three ML years) and I kinda wonder if he's a guy who's going to get better or worse going forward.
  6. dew1679666265
    I would have loved to have him too - on a 2/26 or so deal. 4 years and $15 mil a year for a 33 year old pitcher is crazy, though, no matter how consistent he's been.
  7. dew1679666265
    You're going to have to show me the "bunch of bad, untradeable contracts" the Cubs have, because I'm not aware of them. I guess Z and Dempster might count (though I don't think Dempster comes close to qualifying and Z probably doesn't' either), but they end after next year, leaving only the Soriano contract fitting that description. I keep seeing this assertion off and on with this board and in the media and I just don't have any idea what these awful contracts the Cubs have are. What I see is a team with a couple of premiere young talents (Castro, Garza), a bad, highly overpaid player (Soriano), a bunch of decent to good veterans (Demp, Z, Soto, DeJesus, Wells, Marshall, Marmol) and some nice to very good young players (BJax, most of the bullpen, Cashner, Barney). With the right moves that's not a team that's numerous years away from being competitive for the playoffs and, thus, the World Series.
  8. dew1679666265
    I've got to think it means either one of two things: Either the Rockies' demands are much higher than has been reported or Theo/Hoyer is making more progress on Headley (or another target) than they had been previously.
  9. dew1679666265
    When looking at 10 games and 52 innings pitched, 1 bad game can massively alter a pitcher's numbers. Is CC Sabathia not worth an elite contract? He has a 4.81 career postseason ERA with a 1.61 WHIP and 82:46 K:BB. How about Justin Verlander? 5.57 ERA with a 1.54 WHIP and 48:20 K:BB career in postseason. Or Zack Greinke? 6.48 ERA/1.62 WHIP/13:4 K:BB career in postseason play. I would consider all of those pitchers to be elite pitchers and yet all of them have struggled in relatively minimal postseason samples. Just like the 2008 97-win Cubs team wasn't awful because they imploded in a three game sample size, a pitcher shouldn't be evaluated based on a handful of games in the postseason when he has two full seasons of excellent pitching that counter that.
  10. dew1679666265
    I agree with the fix from Polanco to Headley. Headley will cost more but is a massively better option as well. Also, is the Jackson listed Edwin Jackson? If so, I'm not all that interested in him since I think he'll cost way too much. I'd replace him with Soler or Wei-Yin Chen. Love the first two on your list, though. I'm not a fan of the idea, but the thought would be that we could potentially get a massive haul for him. For instance, 3 top prospects would be more valuable than 2 years of Garza. I understand that thinking, but feel like any trade that would be worth it for Garza wouldn't be realistic for the other team to do.
  11. dew1679666265
    If true that makes me a bit wary. Even at an $18 million AAV, that's $108 mil in total value - more than I'd like to pay for him. I'd be begrudgingly okay with going to 6 years, but I'd have to be able to cut the money some (maybe $15 AAV, making the entire deal worth $90 mil?). The big question here is what is that 6 year offer worth?
  12. dew1679666265
    I still don't get how picking up some of the tab would be a problem. It'd be a great deal for both the Cubs and Padres to do some form of a Marmol/Headley swap. The Cubs pay half of Marmol's salary each year (3.5 next year and 4.4 in 2013) and fill a major need at third base without adding substantial salary (Headley's salary fills most, all, or just a little more than the Marmol savings). The Padres gain a potentially premiere closer (plus likely multiple other prospects) without adding to payroll at all - since they'd basically be paying what they would have paid to Headley to Marmol. I still think concerns over Marmol's arm health would be the biggest obstacle to that potential deal.
  13. dew1679666265
    The Cubs have the money available to bring in both Wilson and one of Pujols/Prince, if they choose to go that route. They may well choose not to do that, but I'm still hoping they do. We have plenty of role players coming up through the system, but we have no stars and Wilson/Pujols/Prince are stars. That said, if the choice is between Wilson or Pujols/Prince, I definitely prefer Pujols/Prince.
  14. dew1679666265
    Vitters has a .439 career minor league SLG. Headley's was .500 in the minors, but just a .392 SLG in the majors. His minor league numbers show he's capable of exhibiting solid power and him just now being in his prime years and getting out of PetCo may help him realize that. If nothing else, the power difference between Vitters and Headley is likely to be small enough that Headley will more than make it up with much better patience and defense. I'm a Vitters fan, but his presence in the minors wouldn't keep me from pursuing Headley and offering a pretty solid amount for him.
  15. dew1679666265
    MLBTR No clue if the Cubs are one of the "two other clubs" but I hope we are.
  16. dew1679666265
    MLBTR
  17. dew1679666265
    First scenario is CJ and it's not close. Second scenario, my primary preference is neither. If I absolutely had to sign one of the two at that cost, probably CJ because he's young enough to be traded 2-3 years into the deal, Buehrle probably isn't.
  18. dew1679666265
    Really hope we're not one of them. I highly doubt that we are. NTCs annoy the hell out of me. I can understand having a limited NTC with a list of teams that they'd refuse to go to buy a full is just dumb. My guess is Marlins and Nats. I know that it was reported that the NTC had the Marlins balking but I think that they'll end up agreeing to a partial. NTCs are fine as long as they're given out judiciously. If the Cubs give one to Starlin Castro when they give him his first major deal, that's perfectly fine. If they give it to a 33 year old pitcher looking for a 3/45 deal, that's not smart. Hendry did a little of both. The benefit to a NTC is that adding it into a deal can bring the overall pricetag down. That can make it worth it if it's the right type of player.
  19. dew1679666265
    Really hope we're not one of them.
  20. dew1679666265
    Yeah, Kuroda on a 1-2 year deal would be a great move. He's still a quality pitcher and even though he'd be a short term only guy, he'd almost certainly be a better value than a guy like Buerhle, who's also a short term only guy. Adding Kuroda would also soften the blow a bit if we missed out on both Wilson and Darvish.
  21. dew1679666265
    The Padres could have a real interest in Marmol over Bell. Bell is 33 years old and just signed for 3 years, Marmol is 29 and is signed for just 2 more seasons. I could see the Padres having an interest in some version of a Marmol/Headley swap on two conditions: 1) The Cubs pay around half Marmol's salary each year - say 3.5 next year and 4.5 in 2013. That'd have SD on the hook for $3.5 in 2012 and $5.3 in 2013, probably only a slight raise each year over what Headley would be in store for. This benefits the Cubs as well as we acquire Headley without adding to payroll in any real way. 2) They don't believe Marmol's arm will fall off in the next couple of years. This is the bigger problem with this trade, I think.
  22. dew1679666265
    MLBTR
  23. dew1679666265
    I'd really like this deal, actually. DeWitt's a nice player with some versatility and not a guy I'd support just giving away, but Stewart has the upside of a long term third base option. This would be better than giving up a pitching prospect with upside, I think.
  24. dew1679666265
    I think it's a good idea to go get a solid veteran to help fill the 4-5 spots in the rotation. I just question why to give Capuano 2/9 when we there are better options out there (Chen, Francis, Bedard).
  25. dew1679666265
    W-Y Chen, Francis, Bedard would all be better options than Capuano, I think. Are we really going to be pouring $9 million a year into two filler players? Seems like a waste of money.
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