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Jason Ross

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Everything posted by Jason Ross

  1. Jason Ross
    Sasaki can, and probably will be a good SP in the future. Right now, he's not good. Ignore the velo - he is just piping horsefeathers. Cubs are hitting him hard. xBA over .300 Red are fastballs. He is just piping it. Cubs need to take advantage of this.
  2. Jason Ross
    Man, Brown looks good
  3. Jason Ross
    Turner would have donged in 6 ballparks. Clearly, Chavez Ravine not one of the 6.
  4. Jason Ross
    On one hand I just want to appreciate Tucker for Tucker, but it's hard not to think every day "give him the money". He's a great baseball player.
  5. Jason Ross
    GIVE HIM ALL THE horsefeathers MONEY. Great play!
  6. Jason Ross
    Statcast had it as a HR in 0/30 fields So yeah, probably the double.
  7. Jason Ross
    DAMN! Busch!
  8. Jason Ross
    I'd really like it to be true too. It's debatable how much you should trust their stuff, they have a tendency to be off often. But they're claiming 10/11 years at $450-500m, no opt outs, no deferred and NTC. TIFWIW.
  9. Jason Ross
    Not sure I'd assume that. It's Hector Gomez and Mike Rodriguez, but both have on the past 2 days claimed the two sides are talking extension. Hector came with details. It's two people who I'd consider to be far less legit than a Passan, but it's oddly specific.
  10. Jason Ross
    Michael Busch is becoming a favorite of mine when he hits. Just good PAs.
  11. Jason Ross
    Normally, I'd take anything Hector said with a grain of salt. With that said, I'll say this: 1. Mike Rodriguez claimed the Cubs had approached Tucker 2. When Jesse Rogers refuted it, he doubled down. 3. This is super specific. It wasn't just a "hey Mike is right" it's got numbers and details. It feels more real for those reasons. I'm not going to say it's happening, but that feels more than just a normal Hector/Mike duet.
  12. Jason Ross
    Its still shockingly specific.
  13. Jason Ross
    Really glad to see the power. He's always had the body for power but struggled with barrel control at Myrtle, especially his first season. It feels like a pretty logical outcome that first would be contact, then would come the power. Keep this up and he could end up in Knoxville by the end of the year. At 21 that would be a really good ending spot for him in 2025.
  14. Jason Ross
    JP Wheat has been fun so far. Do it again.
  15. Jason Ross
    Boyd has some juice.
  16. Jason Ross
    Cruz keeps getting mentioned positively. It's something I'm keeping note of.
  17. Jason Ross
    I'm okay with that.
  18. Jason Ross
    @Stratos I'll panic a bit now. And probably should have been more concerned earlier.
  19. Jason Ross
    Rogers speculated that the Cubs want to let Kyle Tucker settle into Chicago before approaching him. He used the words "hometown discount" on air. It's hard to tell if he's reporting or speculating with that concept. FWIW, Mike Rodriguez doubled down on his report that the Cubs have already approached Tucker.
  20. Jason Ross
    I'm not turning this into a Shaw vs Smith debate (Smith is just a good, recent example of someone who skipped Triple-A entirely), but I'll entertain just this much: Shaw - .212 BABIP, .298 xwOBA, 72% contact rate, 75.4% z-contact rate, 17.5% BB%, 22.8% K% Smith - .333 BABIP, .216 xwOBA ,61.4$ contact rate, 67% z-contact rate, 7.1% BB%, 35.7 K% Cam Smith has been awful. I'm rooting for him, but he's been a mess. He does have three hits in his last two games, so maybe he's turning a bit of a corner. I'll admit - I hadn't paid enough attention and missed his last game's line (the two hit affair). But Smith has spent most of the first two weeks looking exactly like he was a Double-A hitter who skipped a few levels. Matt Shaw, while the line hasn't always been great, has mostly held his own. Shaw looks like a rookie, Smith has looked over matched. The processes by which each have gone by their game is in stark contrast. Process matters. It's early, so obviously that can change. I'll leave it at that. I truly believe one of these players needs some more time to marinate. If you disagree, you're welcome to that stand point.
  21. Jason Ross
    Oh, no, I was talking hitters. Because teams are not wanting to waste bullets, teams are moving pitching too fast for hitters to keep up, especially, at that Triple-A level. It's why I'm more willing to move a hitter quickly in Iowa versus, say, South Bend. If you can absorb the rookie hit, having them cut their teeth at the MLB level is probably the better proving ground. Granted, I'd like to see some Triple-A success, but it's also why I'm a fan of keeping Shaw up and moving through the gauntlet for a while even if there are ugly moments (also why I think the Astros need to mercifully send Cam Smith back to the minors, he skipped far too much)
  22. Jason Ross
    I used to be a Triple-A stan, but I think I've come around that it's once again a level I'm willing to move quick on if the processes are so good. Think of it this way - we've talked a few times around here about "bullets" that pitchers have and not wasting them if you can. I believe very much that Triple-A is becoming more and more of a moving ground for pitching - guys with stuff are finding themselves at MLB levels faster and faster to not waste them. I think Triple-A has utility and use, but I'd probably be most willing to move quicker there than elsewhere because the gap between Triple-A and MLB is growing. You can find talented arms there, but if you're hitting well and the processes look good, and there's an opening for fairly consistent PA's? Cut your teeth at the Show.
  23. Jason Ross
    Honest question that isn't meant to be rude, but are you just saying things like "The Cubs will make an insulting offer" because it would lessen a blow if he chose elsewhere? Like, I get that the Cubs haven't dropped $400m on any one, but outside of the Dodgers, Yankees, Mets and Blue Jays, no one has. If it's "the Cubs haven't so they won't" it's a self-fulfilling prophecy for 27 teams. We do know they offered $400m+ to Ohtani. We can "well he was never going to sign it" away if we have to, but I don't think we should ignore it entirely, either. As well, the Cubs haven't been big spenders, and it's frustrating, but I'm not sure they have a reputation of throwing out "insulting" offers. Do they go higher on the AAV and lower on the years? Sure, but they've signed Swanson, they've signed Bellinger (to $30m AAV). Nothing I've felt is insulting . If the Cubs sign down with Tucker, they won't walk to the table with something insulting. IDK if it'll get the job done, but I doubt anyone walks out with hurt feelings.
  24. Jason Ross
    Yeah, there's a time for acceleration and time for patience and the Cubs have hit a good ground for me most of the time there. Generally speaking, I prefer a prospect at the level to go through an age-appropriate learning curve: 1. Success in some sustained form 2. League adjustment to success 3, Success in sustained form after adjustment I'd say that's usually around a 200 (or so) PA sample...sometimes longer if initial success takes a bit of time. I don't want to "paint-by-numbers" it, and it's not all result based (process > results, IMO) but that's my favorite path for a prospect to take. There are always age-inappropriate levels (if you played in the SEC, Low-A ain't for you long term. If you are crushing, just go to SB, please) and guys who are just hitting so well that it's likely they're just too good for a level, but those are exceptions more-than-the rule.
  25. Jason Ross
    Per Jesse Rogers - Cubs have not yet engaged Tucker in extension talk, but expects it will happen at some point. Suggests the team is hoping he'll fall in love with Chicago.
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