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Jason Ross

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Everything posted by Jason Ross

  1. I'll be the first to tell you Rojas for Holmes/Taylor is steep, and I probably wouldn't have done it, but the Cubs didn't treat Rojas like a top-50 prospect in the same deadline they clung to Owen Ayers. Internally they did what you'd hope; they picked their guy and they traded who wasn't. Stand on business. The Cubs haven't gotten fleeced under Hoyer. They didn't get fleeced when they traded Christopher Morel. They didn't get fleeced when they traded Cam Smith (so far). They didn't get fleeced with Ferris and Hope for Busch. Maybe this is the time they get fleeced; it happens. But based on history, the team has known when to sell on a guy, and when not to. And at worst, when they've traded a prospect who was good, they got good back.
  2. I think that depends on how you view Taylor. He's crushed lefties this year, over his career its 101 wRC+. I haven't dug into the why, but Shaw is also crushing lefties this year and did so last year. Either one, on paper, would be fine to play against LHP.
  3. It wouldn't factor into the trade value, but Clay Holmes was reportedly cool with an extension in NY. He feels very "Cub" like.
  4. With how hard the Cubs refused to trade Ayers, but were okay sending Rojas here, it's probably telling you internally how they feel. Even so, this feels very heavy on a return.
  5. Yeah Rojas is a monster return for those two.
  6. I get it. In the moment, it's really hard. My initial comedown from Detmers to Zeferjahn was "whelmed". But I think if we take a step back, the Cubs are probably doing well this deadline: - They added a reliable SP for the playoffs. They gave up practically nothing - They got a back end reliever with velo and whiff. They gave up a player who, by the way they acted today, they believe to be a DH - They got a somewhat interesting project pitcher for spare parts If they can add Clay Holmes or another SP in the next hour, it'll be a good deadline for 2026. For 2027, the did BP shopping and may have replaced Rea/Assad types. They are still locked and loaded for a trade in the winter, but this time, they didn't sacrifice the 2026 team to do so like they did last year. Would it be really cool to get George Kirby now? Hell yeah! But I also think this is a solid deadline and everything remains in play for 2027 while remaining a team who looks like they can make noise in 2026. So it's probably not sexy, but it would be effective.
  7. I'm not sure it's a possibility with the wrist sprain right now.
  8. If there's a takeway over all of the Detmers/Ayers thing, I think coming to terms on how the Cubs feel about Ayers and how other teams are viewing him is important. I said a week or so ago I'd have traded him for Weaver and FG has him as a 40+ FV guy. That was clearly wrong. I think a little re-calibration is probably in order. I think putting him in the same tier as Rojas/Hartshorn feels like that's how teams are treating him. Cubs included. It makes the lack of a trade a bummer. But maybe I'm also equally as excited about how the Cubs are treating him.
  9. Arjun Nimaala is a 50 FV on fangraphs and ranked 44 on their big board. He's ranked #36 on BA. JJ Cooper talked about how awesome his EVs and batted ball data are. So...yes.
  10. So I think the word "pivot" here is not really great in how it's making it seem. They didn't pivot from Detmers to Garrett. They pivoted from Detmers and Garrett is just a little part of that. Something happened to the Detmers deal and I dont know what it is or why. But the Cubs have long liked Garrett and I've heard he's a Zombro project who the team doesn't plan on really throwing in 2026. So I think there is more coming, it just might be a rental.
  11. Just some behind the scenes talk: teams and the Cubs seem to be treating him as a ~top-50 talent.
  12. Since June 23rd: 46 K% 6.3 BB%, 2.22 FIP If they get this guy, he's a killer.
  13. You can read the tea leafs. The Cubs have refused to move Ayers and even when they might have, they were in on young backstops to fill that.
  14. Ballesteros. They wanted a top-50 prospect from an NL-East team FWIW.
  15. 4 walks in his last 16 innings 1 in his last 10 Something may have clicked.
  16. It makes sense, then, as to why some confusion may have happened.
  17. Well, the Cubs got their own Bubic in Braxton Garrett in many ways. Soft tossing LHP who isn't likely to help in 2026 but could be a 2027 play.
  18. I think two things can be true at once, however. It can be a Detmers pivot: if you get Clay Holmes and Kevin Gausman the rotation is much better. Then you give Garrett over to Zombro as a project who could help the team in 2027 with innings. That isn't a bad plan. I get we'd all love the controlled SP now, but Gausman, Holmes a good RP...it's a deadline that for 2026 is pretty good. Cheap. And you still have someone for next year out of it.
  19. I'm hearing things from a few sides. One person who I think we should all believe when it comes specifically to pitching mentioned Zombro-project. The Cubs are looking to win playoff games...it's not time for a project. I think this is a 2027 plan. It might mean they go two rentals, but I don't think Rogers is here to pitch in 2026 for the Chicago Cubs.
  20. It does not sound like that's the plan. This is closer to the Dodgers getting Kris Bubic than anything.
  21. I don't know if this goes down or something else does. But Garrett sounds like he's more of a team pet project to whom they traded two guys they weren't going to add to the 40-man. So I know the initial reaction is to think Garrett is tied to this, but I don't share that.
  22. Matt Trueblood. He writes here, has Cubs sources.
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