Dammit the Cubs fail at another “go on contact” play at the plate. Dont disagree with the call it’s just crazy how often we get thrown out at the plate
Of course 2 hard hit outs with RISP
edit: ok Madrigals was only 93 mph but for him that’s hard, I thought it might carry for a hit
Amayas out was 111 MPH with a .750 xBA
I see what you are saying especially how the pythag record suggests we're getting lucky, but I think the SP regression can be offset by the offense playing better but also the bullpen not blowing games at a historic rate. The Cubs are likely 4ish games better than they've played with 1-2 more reliable bullpen arms (assuming that 3 or 4 of the 6 games they lost with a lead late are won in that scenario). Hopefully having guys like Ben Brown and Wesneski in the pen makes a difference. Having Bellinger and Seiya back plus improvements from Happ and Dansby turn the 1-2 run wins we've been having into 3-4 run wins, helping our pythag record.
Tomorrow's starter Jared Jones in his last 4 starts:
1.57 ERA
2.88 FIP
.491 OPS against
10.6 K/9
His last start against Colorado: 7 IP, 1 H, 0 ER, 9 BB, 10 K
Yeah as I was reading your post, the bold was exactly what I was thinking in terms of where this is useful. Also just another data point when trying to figure out why a player is hitting better/worse than expected. I'm not sure how much bat speed varies from week to week but its possible a slower bat speed hints at an injury or maybe a mechanical issue or a higher bat speed as evidence that the hitter has made tweaks to their swing/approach.
Yes usually when they do that it’s because the player looks completely lost for an extended period and there is a benefit for them to develop more in AAA. You’re usually talking about players in their very early 20s who haven’t had a ton of MiLB PAs.
Michael Busch is a 26 year old with ~2600 PA between college, minors and MLB. I really don’t think more MiLB PAs are going to do anything at this point.
And then you consider where he ranks this season compared to his teammates (min 30 PA)
HR: 2nd
RBI: 2nd
ISO: 2nd
Average: 4th
OBP: 7th
SLG: 2nd (1st amongst currently active Cubs)
wOBA: 3rd
wRC+: 3rd
fWAR: 3rd
Yes he’s had a rough 3 weeks and yes he’s being exploited with high fastballs. But you can’t pretend that the first 3 weeks of the season never happened. He still did all those things. Rushing him back to the minors the first time he hits a speed bump, especially when the offense as a whole is really struggling doesn’t seem very smart at all. Sure if his still looking lost 3 weeks from now you might start having a discussion but damn it’s been 17 games.
I mean that's not great but I don't understand why that means he should be demoted to Iowa vs letting him try to figure it out here. A few weeks isn't exactly a large sample size and he's basically doing what all rookies do when they get to the majors and teams start to get a book on him. How he makes adjustments will go a long way in telling us how good he can be. Sending him down to Iowa to mash crappier pitchers doesn't really help anyone very much IMO.
They just really need to get the bats going. We know guys like Swanson and Happ have the capacity to hit much better than they've hit so I'm assuming they will...just really frustrating waiting this out.
The pen is the pen. They're gonna have to find options whether its external or guys like Brown and Wesneski taking bullpen roles. That is more fixable IMO than the offense.
But the ceiling is high for this team...like I said earlier it feels a lot like early 2023 with the nice start, some bumps in the road, but once the bats got hot and the pen sorted itself out (for a while) they went on a tear and put themselves in a position to make the playoffs
Who was suggesting Busch should be sent down? I know he's been struggling offensively and defensively but that really doesn't make much sense to me at all (no offense to whoever suggested that)
First walk off victory since Morel's 3 run bomb against the White Sox last August.
Since then, the Cubs have been walked off a whopping 9 different times by opponents.
This is Neris' 15th appearance this year. He's only successfully kept a runner from getting on base in 1 of those 15 appearances.
Edit: He's now allowed 2+ baserunners in 7 of his 15 appearances despite never pitching more than 1 IP in any appearance this year.
Sucks they couldnt do more with 1st and 3rd and 0 outs but I'll take the run. We've hit decently tonight....baserunners in 7 of the 8 innings so far, just bad sequencing to only have 2 runs scored.