Croatia yes; Spain goes through when they draw. I'd imagine Spain would want to win the group, though, and Italy wins the group with a 0-0 Spain/Croatia draw. I believe I read that Spain wins the group with a win OR a draw, regardless of the other results. Edit: http://www.sbnation.com/soccer/2012/6/18/3094016/group-c-euro-2012-advance-scenarios-spain-italy-croatia-ireland That's wrong. http://www.uefa.com/uefaeuro/news/newsid=1818000.html If Spain and Croatia draw 0-0 and Italy wins, Italy wins group C on tiebreaker c, most goals in games between tied teams (2 to 1 each for SPA/CRO) and Spain advances on overall goal differential ahead of Croatia. EDIT: If Spain and Croatia draw 1-1, Spain wins the group if Italy doesn't win by at least 5 goals, and Croatia would advance if Italy doesn't win by 3. If Spain and Croatia draw 2-2, Spain wins the group and Croatia finishes second. That's what I get for using SBnation for soccer related insight.