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UMFan83

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Everything posted by UMFan83

  1. They likely arent missing the playoffs, worse case they are 4 ahead in the loss column after today while holding the tiebreaker and 17 games remaining. If the Cubs go 9-8 in those 17 games, to miss the playoffs the Padres and Diamondbacks would both have to finish 15-3 or better to knock the Cubs out. Also, they still play each other 3 times, so one of those teams is taking 2 losses at least, meaning they'd have to go 15-1 in their other games to knock the Cubs out. Even if the Cubs really flatline and struggle, let's say 5-12, the Padres and Diamondbacks still need to both go 11-8 or better, with the of the teams needing to go 11-6 or better because they are getting 2 losses from the other one. I mean it's possible, but not super likely at this point. If we didn't hold the tiebreakers over both, or if one of the teams was much closer to the Cubs, I might have some concern because then it only takes one team getting hot to knock us out with an uneven finish
  2. There are no complete teams in baseball. But there are a number of teams more complete than us IMO. The Cubs pen for instance might be the worst unit (offense, defense, starters, bullpen) in the NL playoffs. Situational hitting is situational hitting and admittedly luck based year to year but it does feel like theres an approach issue in those situations.
  3. Arizona puts up 5 in the 10th and should now win today, putting the Cubs just 4 games up (plus the tiebreaker) over Arizona for WC3. Brewers clinched the tiebreaker over the Cubs today so essentially 9 games up Phillies now 0.5 ahead of the Cubs for WC1 with their win today Padres and Nationals start soon. If the Padres win their lead for a playoff spot will drop back to 4.5 games (albeit with the tiebreaker and with 17 games remaining)
  4. It sucks to have an elite offense that can't do the little things like make good contact with a runner on 3rd. Or an elite defense when your pen comes in and walks several guys and can't get strikeouts so you have to play the IF in and watch a routine grounder turn into a 2 run single. It's like every good thing the Cubs do is neutralized by a fatal flaw. They are a good team but no where near complete.
  5. Diving catch the end the guy. horsefeathers this team.
  6. They do...undeniable at this point. It's impressive (as I watch their RF rob Ramirez of a second HR)
  7. Must be nice to get a runner from 3rd home with less than 2 outs. Doing it 2 times in one inning is incredible. Never seen anything like it.
  8. Everyone complains about taking out Boyd and then the pen gives up a single and 2 walks lol
  9. Maybe. If the IF is back, the run scores, they get an out but the runner advances to 3rd with 1 out. They'd probably still get that go ahead run in.
  10. yeah im turning this off. Way to blow another one Cubs That will end what tiny percentage point chances the cubs had in the division as it puts the Brewers 8 games up and gives them the tiebreaker. And puts us behind the Phillies again.
  11. Gonna take some real luck to not be trailing heading into the 9th I'm gonna get groundout to the right side that moves the runner to 3rd and then an IF single to score the go ahead run.
  12. Yep, probably kept him in too long. Cubs starter has still not gotten an out in the 8th this season...
  13. Damn was really hoping PCA could somehow catch Schwab's
  14. Based on the league average of converting runner on 3rd less than 2 outs, the Cubs would have 15 more runs this year if they converted at least average. I think the conversion is roughly 10 runs for 1 win, I could be wrong though. But if true, simply being league average would give us 1.5 more win this year. If we were the best team in baseball at converting, we'd have 41 more runs this year so just over 4 more wins.
  15. Can't wait until we fail with a runner on 3rd and less than 2 outs in an elimination game next month.
  16. What do you want me to say? Onto Bears season
  17. Worried he's going full Alzolay. One of those anonymous relievers who was good for a year or two and then goes back into obscurity.
  18. Only difference is, a) The Braves are right behind the Dodgers for the 2nd bye, so you could end up facing the Dodgers in a best of 3 and b) if the Dodgers get the 2nd bye and you happen to get past the WC round you are facing them in the LDS instead of Milwaukee. Not sure which one I'd rather face though to be honest. I still think Milwaukee is the worse of the 2 teams, but the thought of losing to them again is not fun (though if we played them and beat them it would be incredibly fun so there's risk/reward)
  19. We should just drop to WC3. I'd rather play a road series in Atlanta's soulless suburban stadium than a road series against Philly
  20. I think Counsell is just washing this game, not wanting to burn the pen. edit: never mind he got pulled, he leaves pitchers in a headscratchingly long time sometimes
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